"Within the next three years, robotics should be completely solved, AI should solve a long-standing unproven theorem, programming competitions should be won consistently by AIs, and there should be convincing chatbots" (2017)
"We will completely solve the problem of adversarial examples by the end of August"
As a person who actually builds this infrastructure for Data Centers: Bwahaha!!!
This guy should have been laughed out of the room, and probably been out of a job if ANYONE took this guy serious. There are Elon levels of dillusions, and then there is this!
With just a raw language model instructions and chat didn't work to near the same degree.
Both elements are important and they were early in both. Illya's first email here talks about needing progress on language:
2016
Musk: Frankly, what surprises me is that the AI community is taking this long to figure out concepts. It doesn’t sound super hard. High-level linking of a large number of deep nets sounds like the right approach or at least a key part of the right approach.
Illya: It is not the case that once we solve “concepts,” we get AI. Other problems that will have to be solved include unsupervised learning, transfer learning, and lifetime learning. We’re also doing pretty badly with language right now.