But the correlations are not strong enough, nor do they imply causality. And there are other personality metrics which have more predictive power.
That's not to say MBTI has no predictive power - it has some but they are weak. If all you know about someone is their MBTI type, you have more information on their personality than, say, knowing their hair color.
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/105960112211214... talks about an "intuitive cognitive style" which looks to tie to https://www.researchgate.net/publication/256450858_Not_All_G... as the easiest place to start, but I'm seeing research back to Cognitive Continuum Theory.
I'm still digging in (this looks like a productive rabbit hole) but this looks like a more rigorous paper based on a different foundation.
This leads to a lot of confusion. Jung for example might call a type "Introverted Intuitive with Feeling", and in MBTI that is INFJ, where the J means they extrovert the Feeling, but are primarily actually perceivers! Then there's Introverted Feeling with Intuition, which in MBTI is INFP, the P here meaning they extrovert intuition, but since they're primarily introverted they are "introverted feelers" foremost. I think this MBTI formulation has really made Jung's ideas unnecessarily confusing.
Also, Jung himself was not fond of people typing others, and thought people ought to learn the ideas and type themselves and of course allowed and discussed that some are not differentiated strongly in some dimensions, although he did view that as being a sort of lack of development.
So is it science? I guess I'd call it an interesting analytical model and leave it at that.
Also, yes, introversion is a concept in more rigorous forms of personality science, but it's normally distributed. The idea of a sharp binary between E and I is very MBTI and complete BS. It's great for identity formation, bad for actually understanding human behavior.
Introversion/extroversion is in both, but while in the MBTI it's a binary identity (as this article seems to posit), in the Big Five it's a spectrum that is close to normally distributed.
The MBTI does measure aspects that roughly correlate with other, scientifically accepted measures (such as the Big Five, where the classic MBTI basically is only missing the 'neuroticism' aspect, which is added as another dimension in some variants of the MBTI). As such, I believe it does have some validity on its own.
But the big problem is that the MBTI simply dissects every one of its dimension into two halves and your 'type' is based on which respective halves you fall into. But if your personality dimensions are well-calibrated, you would expect most people to fall exactly into the middle of the scale, and so it's pretty silly to then fully assign them to the camp they just barely end up in. This still kind of works for people that very clearly are at one end of the spectrum in all the dimensions, but it doesn't really work well for the majority of people.
All that is to say, I think if there was something like the MBTI that also had a neuroticism axis, and would use three intervals (of roughly equal 'expected size' among the general population) per dimension, it would be a lot more accurate. But at that point, you'd basically just have a clustering of the Big Five into 243 'types' -- which makes it a lot less handy than the neat '16 personalities' the MBTI offers.
(Although, that said, the one thing of MBTI that does comport with modern understanding of personality is that introversion-extroversion is one of the main axes, although unlike MBTI's theory, it's more of a gaussian normal distribution than a bimodal distribution).
Granted, this part of the theory doesn't really get explored much in its usage in popular psychology.
I'm preaching to the choir, but I get fired up about this stuff.
I won't pretend its perfect, but it can be a fun team-building exercise and provide common language for discussing differences.
We are working on a stealth startup which will use AI to analyze e.g. Slack messages and build out results of personality tests using methods like MBTI, so that e.g. when reaching out to someone in your workplace, you can get view a personalized overview of how to interact with that person, their behavior, how they might prefer you communicate with them, etc. Email in my bio for anyone interested, we're looking for early adopters.
In my current team we all sit down about every six months and agree how we should communicate, giving our own preferences.
After a few weeks, it's back to normal, i.e. 90% of the team making real-time interrupts in Teams, irrespective of stated preference, urgency, whether info is supplied as agreed, etc.
I don't see it being much different because an AI tells them so.
I couldn't see myself paying for something like that, anyway, but would be interested to hear your business case.