I don't have numbers at hand, but I remember the JDK Expert Group talking about this extensively in the past and why they deferred bringing Value Types for such a long time. They hoped complex enough EA can get rid of indirections and heap allocations but it just wasn't powerful enough, even with all advances throughout the years.
You can craft a workload which violates the hypothesis by only allocating objects that live for a long time but both JVM and .NET GC implementations are still much faster designs than Go's GC which prioritizes small memory footprint and consistent latency on low allocation traffic (though as of .NET 9, SRV GC puts much more priority on this, making similar tradeoffs).
Would Java's moves towards "integrity by default" mean that this could be ruled out in more cases?
I'm not privy to the exact APIs that OpenJDK exposes but in .NET the main limitation around escape analysis that spans multiple methods is the fact that CoreCLR has re-JIT API which allows to perform a multitude of actions like attaching a profiler or a debugger to a live application and forcing the runtime to deoptimize a particular method for debugging, or modifying the implementation and re-JITting the result. Debug codegen is very different especially around GC liveness tracking and escape analysis that builds on top of it - it means that even debug code would have to uphold stack-allocated nature of such object in some way, complicating the design significantly. In addition to that, debuggers and other instrumentation may observe object references that would have otherwise not escaped local scope.
This creates an unfortunate situation where the above almost never happens in production, but ignoring it and "just stack-allocating anyway" would lead to disastrous breakage for all sorts of existing instrumentation. Because Go does not have to deal with this constraint, it can perform interproc escape analysis without risk - whether a pointer escapes or not can be statically proven. For NativeAOT, .NET could approach this problem in the same way, but paraphrasing compiler team: "We would like to avoid optimizations only available for one of the target types be it JIT or AOT, and only supporting AOT would not benefit the majority of the .NET users".
There is, however, recognition that more comprehensive interproc analysis could be very beneficial, including the EA which is why it is planned to work on it in .NET 10:
- https://github.com/dotnet/runtime/issues/108931 IPA framework
- https://github.com/dotnet/runtime/issues/104936 Stack allocation enhancements
Profiling and debugging would be separate considerations -- I'm really not sure what limitations those impose on the JVM JIT.