> Build it and it will come to 50-100x today's launch capacity
Yes, because Starship promises 50-100 times cheaper delivery of kg to LEO.
Read https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2021/10/28/starship-is-st... on the subject.
Yes, because Starship promises 50-100 times cheaper delivery of kg to LEO.
Read https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2021/10/28/starship-is-st... on the subject.
You are suggesting that pessimistically, Starship is aiming at $30-60/kg to LEO. (Or, using the optimistic estimates, $15-$30/kg to LEO).
I don't think in even Elon Musk's wildly optimistic press conferences he pushed a number below ~$100/kg to LEO. I don't know where you get the idea that launch costs are going to come down 50-100x.
Wildly optimistic would seem to be even lower estimations. If both oxygen and methane we can get from atmosphere - and we have both efficient detanders and demonstrations of e.g. Terraform Industries which use solar panels and oxygen to pull CO2 from atmosphere and produce CH4 - then the question is of optimization, and we're just starting here for this application. So, a flight of Starship might get cheaper than $1 million - the question is, how much and how soon?