FYI, the map looks horrendous for democrats after the 2030 census. Estimates give Texas +4, Florida +3, and various other southern states +1 for a total of +12 on solid red states.
The origin of local power to stymie development is from the post WW2 years when freeways were mandated, but local communities they bisected were inevitably the politically weak ones.
Now, the NIMBYs include those same VCs [1] that publicly posted that America should build at scale again… just not in their town.
[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/08/marc-andre...
- development zoning (restrict development to low density residential),
- slowing development with required surveys (eg. CEQA)
- permit friction
- rejection of mass transport in growing population regions
- mobs at city planning meetings,
- Open Space preserves (private contracts to maintain nature in area where high demandIs this really the case? My understanding, based on voting data, is that Gen Z was overwhelming for Trump and Trumpism. If anything, Baby Boomers have gone way more left than they have been in previous elections.
[1] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/exit-polls
Young people (18-29) are the age demographic where Trump made his biggest gain from 2020 to 2024. The only demographic where Harris had gains as the oldest demographic.
So while democrats still won the young vote, the trend is in the opposite direction.
[1] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/exit-polls
No they aren't. Gen Z young men are all voting for Trump.
>America is getting more diverse and more educated
Diverse maybe, educated no. They're getting more college degrees than 50+ years ago I suppose, but they're not worth much compared to college degrees in the past. These days, college just makes up for utterly lousy secondary school education. Educational standards in the US have been in decline for a very long time.
https://www.axios.com/2024/09/28/gen-z-men-conservative-poll
Just look at the headline. But the numbers just saying "18-24 are slighyly more conservative than 24-30". While the lion's share simply say they are moderate.
So it can really swing any which way.
As another statitic:
https://i.redd.it/6sekbauh9uec1.jpeg
Only up to 2020, but for the US you see that liberalism for men only stagnated in 2020, not shift conservative.
South Korea... I have no clue what has happened.
> These days, college just makes up for utterly lousy secondary school education.
A bit questionable (I reckon lousy grade school just means less college, and college participation rates are decreasing), but I do agree that secondary education has utterly tarnished its standards. NCLB can't even explain this horrible drop.
From the exit poll data, I see a 2 point lead for Trump among men age 18-29. That's interesting, but probably also within the margin of error. (For women in that range it's an overwhelming 24 point lead for Harris, making the overall support for Harris in that group pretty strong, albeit not as strong as I thought and much weaker than in 2020 and 2016.)
> ...more college degrees...
Yes, and regardless of your opinion of them, this has been inversely correlated with support for Trump. This has not changed from 2016, to 2020, to 2024.
And yes, there's a huge gap between the sexes in political leaning, and according to articles I've read, has a lot to do with young men being sexless and angry (not that this is the women's fault). Basically, GenZ men are turning into a bunch of angry incels.
And yes, college degree attainment is inversely correlated with Trump support, in general. I never said otherwise; I was just making a side point about the country being "more educated". Sure, more people these days have college degrees than 50+ years ago, but on the other hand, 50+ years ago the US didn't elect anyone as vulgar as Trump into its highest office so it doesn't seem to have helped that much.
This insulting and dehumanizing attitude is why they left and will continue to do so. Good work!
"you are an incel for disagreeing politically" > they are not and get pushed to vote trump > Trump wins
Only one "party" is really loosing here
"you are an incel because of your actions" > they are and get offended and vote trump > Trump wins > things for them go from bad to much worse
So when things get even worse for them under Trump, they have no one to blame but themselves, and certainly not random people on the internet that they feel offended by.
Wait! The term incel was already around when GenZ were still busy wetting dipers.
If you don't believe me just look at Mississippi. A state where demographics alone should've made it between blue and purple. Instead, 15% of all Black adults in that state are not allowed to vote. Similarly, in Florida, 10% of all adults cannot vote. Voters passed an initiative by direct democracy to allow felons to vote, but DeSantis just blocked it anyways and the courts, which he controls, backed him.
Democrats, despite winning the popular vote in all but 2 elections since 1988, are pretty much completely out of power
After some research it seems like this is due to felony convictions. I agree voting privileges should be restored upon completion of sentence, but dang I'm more concerned that 10% of all adults in Florida are convicted felons, what's up with that?
The effects of the Fentanyl crisis is truly going to haunt the US for decades to come. absolutely unbelievable.
Mississippi is a very obvious case. The white power structure there simply does not want to allow black people to vote so they use all available means to prevent that.
It's almost as if they need a different platform that can get them a win instead of complaining that the majority of their voters live in a handful of states.
The election system is what it is.
If you want to win, you need to do something to win - not complain about the system.
Sure, there have been changes since then, but it’s probably always been optimal to go for many states as opposed to the handful of biggest ones.
This shit pisses me off so much. Why can't they play by the same rules? The supreme irony is, if Dems were willing to occasionally fight dirty/play to win as well, at least when they still had some power, it would have likely forced Republicans to try to govern well occasionally rather than simply always playing to win.
This is an example of something that happens across the country. Most deep red states are heavily gerrymandered. In contrast, almost every single state that uses an independent redistricting commission is blue. This means Dems are unable to play by the same gerrymandering tactics as Republicans
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/puerto-rico-governors-ra...