When all is said and done I bet Gaza had very little effect on overall D turnout. If it did, those that either sat out or voted R specifically because of Gaza did so to spite their face. An R administration will turn their backs on a lot of geopolitical happenings and let those involved run wild, of which the Palestinians will have little to no voice at all.

Also people vastly underestimate the political calculus in full throated support of Palestinians and by association, Hamas. There is a whole other side of this conflict and that is with Jews who also care about the resolution, but also care about Israel and the fact they've had rockets constantly fired into their territory. They also vote overwhelmingly D. You alienate one group for another and you've made no ground in terms of voter share.

Literally noone in America cares about this enough to swing their vote.

There is probably a large non-vocal group of Democrats outside deep blue areas that doesn't agree, which is why they went that direction

While I agree that genocide is bad, all the numbers point to this not even having had been a factor.

> It's not like people warned that supporting a genocide would cost Harris the presidency...

That's fair. She lost a good number of votes, but 10M+ popular votes? Would that account for it?

Yes, and now those people are stuck with Trump who is far worse on that score.