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Comment by tw04 | Hacker News Reader

> Should Taiwan fall, and China choose to ban exports from there to the US, then the fun and games would really start.

If it looked like Taiwan was actually going to fall, the first thing to be destroyed would be the fabs. There’s almost 0 chance China gets anything usable. If they thought they could, they would’ve invaded during Trump’s term.

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Destroyed by who - the US or Taiwan? If by Taiwan, IMO it is extremely unlikely. Scorched earth tactics have only been used by the most bitter, determined combatants in a conflict, who are expecting a long protracted war. The cutting edge chips have enormous economic value but virtually no immediate or even medium term military value to China (the time it would take to design and start using them in hardware is years at least).

autoritarians ruin everything they touch,corrupting all things innovative . They cant even run stockpile logistics in the long run.

Yes, the huge advantage the US have is the ploddering, bullying, all powerful party. Sometimes I think in a funny way the CCP and the US government both want the same thing - the suppression of the economic development of China.

TSMC themselves has said they'll disable them, and machine manufacturer ASML has plans for how they could do it.

https://9to5mac.com/2024/05/21/chinese-invasion-of-taiwan-ts...

Why trumps turn trump was clearly more resilient to china then Biden if anything now before new president is best time to invade

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