Does Godwin's law (rule of Nazi analogies) apply in observable reality?
cyber.harvard.edu
cyber.harvard.edu
OTOH, Western culture has been strongly dualist (good/evil - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dualistic_cosmology#Moral_dual... ) for the past 1500-ish years. In non-dualist cultures, things might work quite differently.
The fact that the probability doesn't approach 1 implies that the number of conversations in which some participants veer toward Hitlerism (1) is greater than the number in which interlocutors are willing to rise to the bait. Probably because they heard about "Godwin's law", the most effective tool since holocaust denial to silence people who will call out fascism.