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it happened in 2016

Yeah, but Turkey went way far away from EU much earlier.

When, in your opinion?

Already during Erdogan's prime ministry, it was well known that Turkey is not really joining EU at least since 2010.

Erdogan didn't come to power much earlier than 2016 though

He was a prime minister with parliamentary majority since 2004: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2002_Turkish_general_electio...