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If pieces got bumped into a higher apogee wouldn't their orbit end up with a lower perigee as well? If so I think that might actually be better for deorbiting quickly

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As long as it doesn't hit something while it's in apogee.

One collision might be barely statistically possible. Enough collisions to start Kessler takes a lot more than one.

Isn't it the Kessler Syndrome when the debris from the first collision creates the subsequent collisions?

Diffuse debris while at higher orbit can take out satellites in those higher orbits (like Iridium, Kuiper, etc..)

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