Garry Kasparov defeats Alan Turing in chess in 15 moves
chessbase.com
chessbase.com
The article mentions they also played at 5-ply and it lasted 27 and 30 moves against Kasparov, which is probably better than most casual players would do.
Not too far off from a modern algorithm, except that it lacks even basic optimizations like alpha-beta pruning, etc. and an incredibly fine-tuned evaluation function and a huge library of opening and closing moves.
http://uscfsales.wordpress.com/2011/07/01/an-“easy”-engine-f...
So what takes so long? I assume their process is roughly "consider all possible moves, decide how good they are". So if they only look one move ahead, that sounds to me like when they evaluate a potential position, it can take more than a few seconds and they do it without reading possible future moves. Which seems unlikely.
Am I misinterpreting "one move ahead"?
He's being witty, is all.
"As time goes on, your thought process will start to be based more and more on your positional intuition. Instead of explicitly weighing certain details against each other, you will instinctively be able to feel what direction the game is headed in. This intuition does not come naturally, but instead is the result of playing hundreds and thousands of chess games. Over the course of all those games, you will see positions similar to the one you are playing right now, and even though you may not explicitly internalize them, your subconsciousness will recognize the themes from before, and you will have some vague recollection or understanding of the position based on your prior experience."
IIRC, in phase one, experts see wo or three moves to look deeper into. Non-experts see many more.
I recommend reading "het denken van den schaker" if this interests you. It is very readable by laypersons (and a translation in English exists)
Even a cursory understanding of, say, the trials our ancestors went through in the 1300s makes it obvious that he's wrong to project back his little exponential curve that far.
See http://www.revisedhistory.org/view-garry-kasparov.htm for details of Kasparov's beliefs. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Agricultural_Revolution and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medieval_demography for basic historical facts that show some basic flaws in Kasparov's arguments. (About his points on Roman numerals, they are indeed entirely unsuited to calculation. The Romans did all calculations using abacuses, numerals were just their way of writing down the answers for which purpose they are just fine.)
Also, he sure is good at chess.
And yes, he's amazing at chess. However that is not necessarily an endorsement of his abilities at anything else. Paranoid delusions seem to be a significant occupational hazard at top levels of play. (See Bobby Fischer for a significant example.)
Any theories on why that is?
Maybe having super-charged pattern-making ability makes for great chess AND great paranoia.