Will plants grow on the moon?
nautil.us
nautil.us
Should this become necessary however, it won't even be an issue long-term. Why? Because you'd grow things underground. There's absolutely no reason to do anything above ground on the Moon. We have pretty strong evidence of ancient lava tubes so there's no need to excavate either.
Ideally, you'd seal a lava tube and put in air and you could live in it with the plants being natural oxygenators.
Long-term you'd probably want to see if you could manufacture growth medium on the Moon from available materials.
[1]: https://gardenculturemagazine.com/growing-hydroponics-in-spa...
If we can grow plants above ground, that can free up resources for an underground colony.
If you grow stuff on the surface and in the sun (with some imaginary window that let the good parts of the sun rays go through, without any of the bad stuff through), wouldn't that be at least slightly more energy efficient, compared to growing stuff underground with lots of strong lights?
There's no atmosphere so the only way to get rid of heat is to irradiate it away into space or pump it away and do the same thing. Likewise, heating is a big problem and an energy waster as you're irradiating away heat.
Going underground just avoids the heating problem, the cooling problem and the radiation problem. It also avoids the issue of meteor impacts on the surface. Those craters came from somewhere.
Excavation is expensive but it depends on what you're working with. Is it loose? is it hard rock? I don't think we have good knowledge of the geology of the Moon because we'd have to go there and start drilling cores to find out. The presence of ancient lava probably means we'd be dealing with some hard stones too like basalt or granite. But that's just a guess.
Lava tubes, if sufficiently large, just solve so many of these problems.
It's just easier to collect power and produce the light you want to grow somethin gunderground.
NB: most of the visible craters on the Moon are billions of years old, and were created during the late heavy bombardment, 4.1 -- 3.8 billion years ago:
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Heavy_Bombardment>
There are still constant meteoric impacts on the Moon, most as micrometeroids, though occasionally large enough to be visible from Earth. The one observed here in 2023 likely created a ~12m / 40ft diameter crater:
<https://www.space.com/meteorite-impacts-moon-february-2023-v...>
The larger craters would also likely have survived passage through the Earth's atmosphere, FWIW, so that wouldn't have saved you much either.
A more significant problem for any surface structures would likely be dust launched by human-based rocket landings and launches. Lunar dust does not billow from rocket exhaust, it is launched on a trajectory, probably sub-orbital, and will continue moving at its initial velocity until it impacts terrain or a structure.
This was first clearly realised and demonstrated during the Apollo 12 mission, which landed ~180m / 600ft from the Surveyor 3 unmanned lander. Parts of that spacecraft were returned to Earth, where it was discovered that they'd be sandblasted by lunar dust, largely as a result of the Lunar Module Intrepid's final descent:
<https://www.space.com/4956-lunar-landers-sandblasted-moon.ht...>
So it's probable that most man-made lunar structures would either have highly-resistant exteriors or be underground. And landing zones out of line-of-sight (or parabolic trajectory).
The Astronomy Stack Exchange suggests both north- and south-polar locations, near Peary Crater (north) and Shackleton Crater (south):
Is there a reason to do anything below ground? We already aren't doing anything above ground.
Underground just requires LEDs and solar panels. Both of which we can make quite cheaply.
We've tried that on earth and it doesn't really work. You need a lot of plants and a wide variety of plants.
Living on the moon is a fantasy. It won't happen in any of our lifetimes. Mars is an even greater fantasy.
Every single mars mission proposed by musk relies on a pyramid scheme where every round of launches sends more and more people until one day self sufficiency is achieved and the first guy sent to mars will have a chance of returning to earth.
Spoilers: Can't be done without a huge amount of vegetation. Algae, on the other hand, can work, but it still takes a boat load of algae for just 1 person.
There's a LOT of oxygen on the Moon (basically in every rock). There's effectively no carbon. If you want to grow plants there - you need to take carbon with you (probably in the form of coal you'll burn once there to generate the CO2 needed for plants).
1 person eats about 1000 kg of food per year, which is about 500 kg of carbon. If you grow plants in a yearly cycle you need to sent half a ton of coal for every colonist. The ones born on the Moon too.
I have no idea how to calculate the steady state or what the losses would be.
Is the radiation close to normal light on earth, so that maybe fiber glass tubes could be used to route the light in a controlled manner into underground caves?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aeroponics
TIL
IIRC, most analyzed samples of Moon regolith contain something that plants don't exactly like, but can tolerate. Some selection and / or genetic engineering may be required to produce plants that grow readily on regolith-based soils.
They certainly require other lifeforms. The vast majority of plants depend on microbes for nitrogen fixation.
> Growing plants on the ISS is a complex business, and Porterfield says a chief concern is that plant roots depend on gravity to draw water.
So while the radiation might be similar (I'm not sure), other variables are different.
NASA has succeeded to grow some plants on the ISS, by making them grow towards a source of light (i.e. LEDs), but until now this has worked only for some very low-growing plants, like lettuce and some varieties of cabbage, not for plants with deep roots and high stems.
It should be much easier to grow algae in the absence of gravity, but those are not as tasty as terrestrial plants.
Water attenuates radiation quite rapidly. And has other uses.
<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41646990>
<https://isoe-network.net/publications/pub-proceedings/sympos...>
Its nice dreaming about options but this aint realistic.
My understanding is that it would still take hundreds of years for the solar wind to strip away the atmosphere. If a civilisation had the technology to quickly put an atmosphere on the moon, it has the technology to continually replenish the atmosphere as long as that civilisation lasts.
It would never be practical (or a good idea) but a post-scarcity society could pull it off as a vanity project.
Could keep you alive long enough but eventually you'd want some other nutrients.
You generally need animal products for B12, but you can use supplements, I think. B12 deficiency can take a year or more to manifest severe symptoms.
The results may be a day late and a dollar short (adjusting for inflation since 1939 or whenever), but Musk did actually get people to build spaceships, and his worldwide competitors there are floundering.
SpaceX is approximately half of mass launched to orbit, globally, including all other national and international space agencies. They are always free to trip up over Musk's hubris, but this hare isn't resting on its laurels or snoozing during the race — Starship (if successful) will eat the market for the Falcons. Conversely, quite a lot of the turtles (notably Boeing and Arianespace) are indeed resting on their laurels.
Other heavy/superheavy launchers can only catch up with and not surpass SpaceX until Musk disappears for whatever reason; getting past SpaceX without that probably needs a non-rocket launch system e.g. a Launch Loop or a skyhook/rotovator. Suspect only China can organise both investments and streamline the planning permission. Although at Musk's wealth level "buy sovereignty over a 10km wide strip starting on the coast of Mauritania and ending on the east border of Mali" is conceivable so even that's not a shoe-in.
Starship is still interesting even if they don't build a Mars colony. Or a moon colony. Or low orbit hotels. Or asteroid mining.
I think that even if they send some test missions on the Mars launch window 2 years from now, plenty will go wrong, and the same for the next window 4 year's from now. If Musk hasn't made too many political enemies to continue by that point, then they probably have a reasonable short for a crewed mission in the launch window after that, 6 years from now.
If SpaceX doesn't have a demonstration Sabatier process plant that fits into a Starship by the beginning of 2028, they've stopped caring about going to Mars. ISRU is too important, so even if they actually send any ships that way, without a Sabatier plant they would be no more relevant than the trans-Martian Roadster.
But this will make the matter more urgent for him, there is no reason for him to take it slow and steady, the opposite, he will push Starship hard. The next few years it will be vital for NASAs Moon landing. And after establishing a fuel depot in Earth orbit, which sounds science fiction now but is the plan for Artemis III, there will be whole new possibilities.
For example:
> 10,000 Teslas a Week [Link] 2,615 days since Elon Musk promised producton of 10,000 units a week by the end of 2018. (8/2/2017) "What people should absolutely have zero concern about, and I mean zero, is that Tesla will achieve a 10,000 unit production week by the end of next year." Elon Musk, quoted by Giovanni Bruno in The Street
They are producing now around 2 million cars a year which is four times 10K a week.
———————————
> Teslas Are Boats [Link] 1,703 days since Elon Musk advised consumers that Teslas can safely function as a boat for short periods of time. (1/31/2020) "A Tesla works as a boat for short periods of time, as an electric car has no air intake or exhaust to block & battery/motor/electronics are water-sealed." Elon Musk in a Tweet
I mean, yes? Everytime there is a flood people are astonished about this. This videos from 5 days ago:
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/CEUq8PUAPWk
You could nail him on a technicality in that it is a submarines, but come on:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBwmAMNI9qk
———————————
> Super Fast Starlink [Link] 1,315 days since Elon Musk promised Starlink customers their speed would double by the end of 2021. (2/22/2021) "Speed will double to ~300Mb/s & latency will drop to ~20ms later this year" Elon Musk in a Tweet
Some customers are hitting that:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Starlink/comments/1fh303p/live_in_t...
I had assumed that statements are added only after they've become false, so the 1st and 3rd of your examples would have been added on or around 01.01.2019 and 01.01.2022 respectively.
As to boats vs flotsam (the 2nd), I've already used up my thinking-about-Musk budget for the next couple of years, but since you've nerd-sniped: floating Teslas weren't cargo, so they're not flotsam; they weren't deliberately thrown overboard, so they're not jetsam; and as they haven't been abandoned, they're not derelict; but as I doubt they can navigate, unless they're displaying vertical lights or balls they're not conforming boats not under command, either.
Lagniappe: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghost_ship#Historically_attest...
EDIT: closer to the boat/not boat boundary: https://www.flightglobal.com/airframers/us-regulators-given-...
EDIT2: so I watched the YT short; that's not even a boat, that's just a car wading.
Sorry, "boat" had left me imagining (1972) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vb9hh65iCik
He posted this several days ago: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1837908705683059166
Nukes can fly, but for that transit you get far more opportunity to shoot them down. Bigger issues are "why are they bothering to target Mars, there's not much there" and "oh wait, that was a great place to stick a second-strike capability, Outer Space Treaty LOL, so of course it's being targeted".
Elon is not great at estimating how long tasks will take. He originally promised that full self driving would be complete by 2018.
But, yeah, Musk timelines are not something I would put a lot of faith in.
Snark aside, SpaceX may be thinking of MREs instead of growing food.
Christopher Columbus wasn't unique in believing the world was round, he was rather unique in his vast under-estimation of the distance to Asia. The only reason he survived is dumb luck that the Americas were about where he thought Asia was. All of his doubters were correct that he would die before reaching Asia.
Of course, this way, way far down the list of reasons not to take Christopher Columbus as a role model.