OpenAI valuations this year have ranged $80-150bn. Since it’s funny money anyway, let’s call it $100bn for easier math.
That’s a $7bn stake.
That’s a $7bn stake.
Current OpenAI raise is rumored to be at $150B, so 7% is over $10B.
A businessman lied? Pikachu's everywhere were shocked.
it truly is the ultimate triumph of the VC class.
However, OpenAI don't even seem to have the goal of achieving this type of truly human level AGI - their own definition of AGI is along the lines of "able to perform most economically valuable tasks in a mostly autonomous fashion".
source: https://youtu.be/hM_h0UA7upI?t=973
I think the consensus of people with the most valid opinions is that AGI is actually not that far off, definitely in our lifetimes, and likely in the next decade.
I'm personally not concerned if we recreate a human in a computer, in fact we might be better off not doing that. If we can replace nearly all manual labor, all software development, and all driving, then I would be really happy with the state of automation of "AGI" (societal ramifications aside).
It's interesting to see what Noam Shazeer (largely responsible for the transformer design) did with it after leaving Google.. not pursuing AGI but instead entertainment chatbots (character.ai).
AGI may well be achieved in our lifetimes (next 50 years), but 10 seems short considering that it's already been 8 years since "attention is all you need", and so far that's all we've got! Maybe o1 is a baby step beyond transformers (or is it really just an agent?), but I think we need multiple very large steps (transformer-level innovation) to get closer to AGI.
If one wants to appeal to authority, then how about LeCun, privvy to SOTA LLM research at Meta, yet confident this is entirely the wrong approach to achieve animal/human intelligence.
After all, what are the engineers gonna do? Quit? They’d be replaced in a month, I’m sure every open position OAI posts gets thousands of qualified applicants from people dreaming of FIRE and/or terrified of automation. And obviously they’re way too proud to consider unionization.
It's not rocket science.
He figures out what people want to hear, tells them that, then does whatever he thinks is best regardless of what he said.
When put that way, it does sound a bit sociopathic though...
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/sam-altman-artificia...
Wow.