.
Maybe confidence in judgments is a good proxy for quality in judgments, but history seems to offer examples to the contrary.
I worry that we’re quick to assume that all truths are knowable, and it’s just a matter of trying hard to find them out. As amply demonstrated by the endless flow of “true crime” media, sometimes situations are ambiguous, memories unreliable, evidence scant, and reasons mysterious. Sometimes people get away with stuff, sometimes you just have to decide who you believe. Some uncertainty is irreducible: I worry that even a spectacularly well-“fixed” justice system will always have to take decisions on incomplete information.
[0] https://www.nippon.com/en/japan-topics/c05401/order-in-the-c...