The Black Death is far older than we thought
cosmographia.substack.com
cosmographia.substack.com
I've recently watched a documentary about those "proto-villages" found (... to be bigger than initially thought) in Moldova but the hypothesis for their decline was else (still according to the doc.): the theory was that at some point they just became too big to function as a whole. Initially when the size was reasonable there was also a kind of "proto-democracy" that worked naturally but that did not scale, and when the settlements became bigger that cohesion did not work anymore and people left.
That being said, the theory of a plague also makes sense, the more the people the more the chance to spread it.