I see a lot of outrage around fake posts already. People want to believe bad things from the other tribes.
And we are going to feed them with it, endlessly.
It's relatively trivial to photoshop misinformation in a really powerful and undetectable way- but I don't see (legitimate) instances of groundbreaking news over a fake photo of the president or a CEO etc doing something nefarious. Why is AI different just because it's audio/video?
And it's not the grounbreaking the problem, it's the little constant lies.
Last week a photoshopped Musk tweet was going around, people getting all up in arms against it despite the fact it was very easy to spot as a fabricated one.
People didn't care, they hate the guy, they just wanted to fuel their hate more.
The whole planet run on fake content, magazin covers, food packaging, instagram pics of places that never looks that way...
And now, with AI, you can automate it and scale it up.
People are not ready. And in fact, they don't want to be.
Even what's free & open source in the special effects community is astonishing lately.
I'm certain you'd be shocked to see the amount of CG that's in some of your favorite movies made in the last ~10-20 years that you didn't notice because it's undetectable
But, yeah, I do think it is some kind of bias. Maybe not survivorship, though… maybe it is a generalized sort of Malmquist bias? Like the measurement is not skewed by the tendency of movies with good CGI to go away. It is skewed by the fact that bad CGI sticks out.
And it already happened, and no one pushed back while it was happening.
It's by Language Jones, a YouTube linguist. Title: "The AI Apocalypse is Here"