“Completely autonomous self-driving cars next year”, — every self-driving startup CEO in 2015. As someone said in the comments above, it’s a miserable way of life, but I’m still very pessimistic about this extrapolation.
We can quibble where Waymo falls on the "completely autonomous" scale of things, but self driving cars are here, 9 years after 2015.
Oh, sorry for my non-US-centric view. And yes, I am nitpicking, sort of.
I didn't say anything about a timeline for _solving_ these, just that the short timeline for drop off in demand for compute is unfounded since there is still so much ground to cover. The article takes the shortsighted view that the current state of text generation feels like it's in a lull (I strongly disagree with this for a variety of reasons chief among them being that 1. the supposed stall in progress hasn't gone on long enough to call it and 2. the big players are all focusing on productization and making the current SOTA as cheap as possible to improve their bottom line and expand its applicability) but there are a large number of other domains and sub-domains where these techniques can be applied and will likely see similar rapid advances as the amount of available data increases.