Estimating Bidders' Valuation Distributions in Online Auctions (2005) [pdf]
cs.ubc.ca
cs.ubc.ca
With the Japanese, it is really difficult to estimate prices - as I suspect more bidders fall for the sunk-cost fallacy. Auctions can extend for hours, as bidders throw in last minute bids. These are more “sniping-proof”
With EBay the price tends to be closer to the expected price.