https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abductive_reasoning
Is abductive inference synonymous with bayesian inference?
Is abductive inference synonymous with bayesian inference?
https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/abduction/#AbdVerBayConTh...
For example suppose you go outside and the streets are wet. Perhaps it rained, or perhaps someone drove a fire truck around spraying water all over the streets. You might select the former because of its higher prior probability.