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And remember how a lot of people not even related to the field were predicting ChatGPT 16 by this time a year ago?

Never heard of that, the closest I did see was a meme of:

GPT-3.5: *small circle* 175 billion parameters

GPT-4: *huge circle* 175 trillion parameters

(I think the second number was constantly being increased with each day that passed, but perhaps I misremember)

I guess I am reading HN too much :shrugs:

you must have been living under a rock. The hype last year was unreasonable. Everyone thought AGI would be with us in a single digit year period