BMW Overtakes Tesla in European EV Sales for First Time
electriccarsreport.com
electriccarsreport.com
YTD Tesla is way ahead - https://imgur.com/56eG7CN Actual Numbers - BMW registration for the month of July 2024 were up by 300~ cars.
Original Source - https://www.jato.com/resources/media-and-press-releases/bmw-... Quoting this comment -
streptomycin- Yes https://i.imgur.com/ZNv1AyD.jpg Although BMW is making some nice EVs and they are selling more than they used to, the headline is misleading.
ultrablack22 - Tesla produce a lot of for the EU in China. They have a schedule where for each quarter, months 1, 2 and 3, in Month 1, they produce cars. In Month 2 they sail them over from China. And in Month 3, they arrive and are sold.
BMW managed to overtake Tesla in the first month of Q3, barely. When Tesla really had no cars for sale.
Do the manufactures consider sales to dealers in their sales numbers or are they actual sales to people that then registers the car as in use?
Are the numbers what the makers sell to the dealers but have yet been sold to a buyer, or are they legit sells to buyers? I can see where the makers pad their numbers by using what was sold to the dealers to have on the lots as they've technically sold the car, but it's a misleading number. Same game as storage makers using powers of 10 vs powers of 2 in their capacity claims.
1. Dealers will order certain high demand vehicles all day long when they are allowed to do so ("allocations") even though they don't have specific consumers in mind to buy them.
2. When new models become available they will also order a bunch of that new model.
3. They will order some random vehicles to look nice in their showroom or on the lot. Fun example: I recently drove by a Porsche dealership that had a bunch of Macan's lined up out front -- one in each color!
So, sales to the consumer is more useful because it's the only way to measure actual consumer demand. This is also why you sometimes see a model that hasn't been manufactured for several years show up in these new car sales reports... they were sitting on a lot unsold for that long.
You can also find numbers for how many of each model they've manufactured each month, which is useful for different reasons of course, and sometimes they sit on the manufacturer's lot for weeks or months before they're delivered to dealers. We saw this coming out of the pandemic when there weren't enough trains to transport the cars (most cars leave the plant on a train).
IMO waiting for a full quarter may be more reasonable, but waiting for a full year and it’s old news.
> they are using registrations
> which means actual sales
No, you register a car in order to drive it on public roads in a given country.Some purchased cars are never registered (track use, private export etc.), or defer the registration (no reason to pay road tax if you're not driving it yet).
It’s possible there is some underlying bias here, but there’s no reason to assume it favors one company over the other enough to offset a 300 car difference in a single month especially as the total numbers just aren’t that high.
I agree that registrations is probably the least bad metric, and I doubt BMW is gaming it in this case.
But saying it isn't gameable is a bridge too far. Manufacturers can trivially game it, it's just marginally more expensive to do so than to shift manufacturing numbers between quarters
E.g. BMW used to operate its own car rental, they could manufacture 1k vehicles each month in Q3, then sell them all to themselves in the last month of Q3, and register them at the same time.
They can also do this with any "self dealing" or corporate registrations by simply sitting on inventory and then lowering their prices, consumers would take care of the rest.
As to shifting the quarter something is sold, people aren’t getting a car before registration here. Selling of excess inventory at a discount is still actual sales.
And yes, you'd need to deliver the car to consumers. I'm just saying that you can time shift when that happens, if you wanted to inflate the numbers in the short term for whatever reason.
What makes metrics like manufacturing actually “gameable” is you can still sell the cars manufactured with the buzz from manufacturing more X than anyone else. Pump the numbers for 6 months and then cut production and coast until product is sold off. Your out a little time value of money but it doesn’t take much free play to cover that.
OK, let's assume the title misled me. What do I now believe as a result that is incorrect.
Titles are not summaries. It is expected that readers will read the body of the submission not merely the title. Is the JATO Dynamics report accurate. The title is simply repeating an alleged fact contained in the report. Is it false.
If all a reader ever does is read titles, I am afraid "misled" is an understatement for how disllusioned that reader may become.
People defending Tesla and Musk always come across as try hard.
Your statement about people defending Tesla and Musk always coming across as "try hard" is subjective. I could say the same about you, who consistently criticize Tesla and Musk as try hard, but I won't, because I prefer to focus on the facts rather than making generalizations.
I would have posted a similar comment if the submission title was something like "Samsung beats Apple in July sales by 300 devices" while the article revealed that, year-to-date, Apple had actually outsold Samsung by a 3:1 margin and if it wasn’t true. In such a case, I would consider the title to be misleading.
I chose to comment on this specific post because I am familiar with the automotive industry. It appears that the source cited in the article may be misleading because The data from https://eu-evs.com/bestSellersCharts/ALL/Brands/Bar/Year-by-... does not seem to support the claim made in the title.
In the future, instead of attacking the poster as "try hard," it would be best for everyone to read beyond the title, verify the sources, and engage in constructive discussions.
There's also the CEO, who has a huge public profile, deciding to become extremely political, which smart CEOs usually avoid doing because it has little potential to help and lots of potential to hurt.
Especially with Musk's particular choice of which politics he wants to push, which alienate not only customers but also the government political forces. Tesla has massively benefited from subsidies to EVs, but is alienating the political party that has enabled all of that.
If Tesla had been run by a different CEO for the past, say, 3 years, nearly any CEO, I think it would be in a better position.
I really like my Model 3, but I won't be buying it again, and the direction of the Cyber Truck is so repulsive to me that I'm really really against being associated with the brand at all.
Well, he's expecting some reciprocity from the next administration for all his help, and Trump has said openly that he will support EVs as a consequence of Elon's strong support.
What strong support? I recall that Elon publicly announced he was going to do a massive contribution to Trump's campaign fund, and then he announced like two days later that he wasn't going to do it.
I don't think he has publicly announced anything like that. Actually, he denied it.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/article/2024/jul/24/e...
On the flip side, support for the EV tax credit will probably be phased out if Trump wins according to recent articles I've read.
So then it seems it's not necessarily business logic but more about personal ego, etc.
I guess you just ran your own misinformation.
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/elon-musk-has-said-he...
… and you might want to check with the source before saying he didn’t announce anything:
The idea that it has anything to do with Tesla, as opposed to anything else, is a bit weird.
If one or two Republicans like the idea of EV subsidies without union labor, their votes could have shifted everything. But of course, there was universal condemnation of these polices by all Republicans.
At the time of Biden's electic car summit in 2021 to which Tesla was not invited, Telsa had 75% of the EV market in the US.
The idea that US's EV policy didn't have anything to do with its largest EV company is perhaps surprising.
https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a61935592/ford-cancels-thr...
At this point, it feels more like a ban on affordable mainstream EVs than an anti-price-dumping measure.
Source?
Recent news says otherwise.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-would-conside...
https://www.thestreet.com/electric-vehicles/elon-musks-endor...
What Trump is really saying is that he's for sale.
Trump also told the oil industry he's for sale. He said they should give him $1 billion and that would be a "deal" because he would help them avoid taxation and regulation:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/09/trump-oil...
Everything is transactional with Trump. He's only interested if it benefits him personally. He only cares about himself.
https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-rewards-donors-admin-posi...
https://www.barrons.com/articles/trump-harris-election-campa...
I feel that what Trump says out loud publicly others say behind the cameras away from mics with a wink and a nudge.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/26/two-billionaire-harris-donor...
His word is worth nothing.
And politics, well, only for people who do not agree with him it is an issue. But that's normal in politics, is it not?
50% is a big chunk of your target market to piss off
Excluding a part of the population for no practical reason at all is bad business. But when the politics becomes extremist, that share becomes huge, and it becomes disastrous business.
Some people are motivated enough to lose business for their principles. But the guy's principles is "big business is right"... I'm not sure what he wants to achieve.
Companies do this all the time though. The trade off is, of course, that you get more support from customers the other side.
> But the guy's principles is "big business is right"... I'm not sure what he wants to achieve.
This is not an accurate representation. For example, the Twitter acquisition followed a period of Twitter (and most other social media) banning a lot of conservative accounts for publishing truthful reporting (New York Post) or actual satire with the disfavored political leaning (Babylon Bee), at which point Musk did a Twitter poll asking the entire site if Twitter adheres to the principle of free speech:
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1507259709224632344
70% said it didn't, so he bought it.
This upset a lot of people (not least the people who liked the preexisting system that tended to ban their political opponents) and they've been characterizing everything he does in a negative light since. So then you'll get a lot of stories about a left-leaning account being suspended with the implication that he's just doing it the other way now, with no investigation into whether the suspension was deserved, or just characterizing the unavoidable false positives and false negatives in moderation as a willful bias etc.
That isn't to say he's a saint, but the impression you'd get from reading a lot of this coverage is that he's the devil.
> the Twitter acquisition followed a period of Twitter (and most other social media) banning a lot of conservative accounts for publishing truthful reporting (New York Post)
The NY Post's Twitter has been banned multiple times, including the most recent one that happened in March 2023, well after Musk's takeover of the company.
> or actual satire with the disfavored political leaning (Babylon Bee)
Yes. Twitter had terms of use. And posting hateful and targeted attacks misgendering people was against their terms. This wasn't some "THEY'RE PERSECUTING ME FOR MUH CONSERVATIVE BELIEFS!". This was just flat out them being unambiguous assholes.
They were, in particular, suspended immediately prior to the 2020 election over a story that was substantially accurate.
> Twitter had terms of use.
Everything has terms of use. All of the terms of use are purposely written so that anything the company wants can be construed as a violation.
But also, "misgendering people" is a point of political dispute. "We prohibited the opposition's politics and then banned them for it" is in fact what they're objecting to.
If I ask you to call me Bill and you keep calling me William, you're an asshole. I don't know how misgendering people is any different. Just call people what they want to be called. You don't have to turn this into some ideological battle.
If your gender is like your name, which you can choose yourself, then it can't be bound to anything you can't change, like your chromosomes or the hormone levels you had during puberty. In other words, it can't map to biological sex. Which, okay, that's kind of the idea, isn't it? Someone wants to have sex male but gender female.
Except that then nobody really cares about gender at all. When you want to have things like women's sports or prospective dating interactions in which people may want to have biological children or anything else where sex differences actually matter, what people want you to declare is not your gender but your sex.
This then becomes the motte and bailey where gender is supposed to be different than sex but somebody who has reason to actually care about sex is then told that they have to accept gender instead or they're a bigot, as if they aren't different. And that is the point of political contention.
The difference with pronouns/gender is that they depend on and proclaim external facts. ("She" is used for women and by going by she, I am a woman.) And by asking someone else to say that I am a woman, then really, aren't I forcing someone to change their definition of "woman"/"man"? Why do I have the right to force someone to do that?
Out of curiosity, if someone asked you to use plural pronouns for them, would you? (This is hard to ask in English, because "your" is used for both singular and plural subjects, and "they" has also commonly been used for both singular and plural as well, but imagine) What about pronouns in other languages? Do you really think that in communication, the other speaker shouldn't have any say in any of this?
I don't appreciate comments that suggest that someone you're discussing is an "asshole" for doing something you disagree with and don't think that contributes to the conversation.
You’re omitting that they had to make targeted attacks to be banned. You could talk in the abstract all day, as so many did, and never have a problem - it was only when they started targeting specific people who didn’t consent to some kind of debate. This is like going into a gay bar, yelling in some dude’s face that homosexuals are going to hell, and then whining about oppression when the bouncer tells you to leave.
If by "do this all the time" - you mean pander towards a specific affinity group, then I agree. Patagonia's politics are well known.
What's less common is for CEOs to reverse polarity and publicly declare loyalty to a party in opposition of the products alleged mission.
Take at a look at the list of US states by vehicles per capita or vehicle miles driven per capita. Red states at the top. If you're trying to get people to buy electric cars and stop burning oil, those are the ones you need to convince.
Aside: do you believe that Elon's actions are motivated by the desire to reduce gas emissions in red states, or is this more of a thought experiment? My hot take is that his frustrations with Covid lockdowns in California kicked his animus toward Democratic party politicians into high gear.
They do when they run a charging network.
Also, it's easier to sell an electric car to someone who is going to put a lot of miles on it because of the lower cost per mile, and does more good if the goal is to reduce CO2.
> do you believe that Elon's actions are motivated by the desire to reduce gas emissions in red states, or is this more of a thought experiment?
It's a counterpoint to the notion that progressives who live in cities and ride mass transit are the people the CEO of a car company has to appeal to. Whether the goal is to make more cars electric or just to sell more cars.
> My hot take is that his frustrations with Covid lockdowns in California kicked his animus toward Democratic party politicians into high gear.
That's probably not irrelevant.
The problem with politics right now is that everyone sucks and instead of trying to do better they all just want to tell you that the other side sucks worse, which causes aggressive polarization when most people are only listening to one side's pundits or the other. Everyone is being told that they need to vote against the enemy without ever being told what they're voting for.
People (Musk not excluded) then end up in one bubble or the other and the people in the other bubble are obliged to hate them out of tribal loyalty. Which especially rubs people the wrong way when it's someone who isn't squarely in one tribe or another.
Nobody blinks an eye when a Texas oil billionaire takes the conservative position on some issue.
70% of his followers and/or who saw the poll said it didn't. Hardly a valid survey by any best practice among pollsters.
I'm not quite sure that Trump's publuc would rush over to buy Teslas.
This does not tell me anything. Maybe the republicans just have better arguments this time. Or the other way around. And then the losing side after elections may have to grind their teeth for a while. That is the way it is supposed to be.
The size of Musk's ownership stake adds another layer to this metric, but at the limit, that really that just means the words "they" in my previous statement can be replaced with "Elon Musk"
That is one philosophy:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedman_doctrine
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shareholder_primacy
It is not the only one:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stakeholder_theory
* https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2012/06/26/the-shareholder-v...
They do not actually.
* https://archive.ph/VCUp4 / https://www.ft.com/content/7bd1b20a-879b-11e5-90de-f44762bf9...
* https://www.pqmagazine.com/the-myth-of-shareholder-ownership...
* https://www.forbes.com/sites/petergeorgescu/2021/07/21/the-s...
* https://edwardslaw.ca/blog/shareholders-agreements-in-canada...
* https://www.ippr.org/articles/who-owns-a-company
* https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-instituti...
They have certain claims, but so do customers, suppliers, employees, governments (taxes), bond holders, etc. The claims of shareholders come last, which is why owning stock gets you higher returns (than, e.g., bonds from the company): you're at highest risk of losing money from being last on claims, so you should be rewarded for that higher risk.
Having IOUs from the company in the form of future goods or services owed to customers, interest payments owed to debtholders or future taxes owed to the government do not equate to having an actual ownership in the business.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/06/gay-rights...
No, it does not. Not buying something from someone does nothing to impede their right to free speech.
And your argument applies to the right-wing when it comes to left ideology as well. Like the Bud Light boycott.
I want to push back on something here because I am centrist, even right-leaning in some respects. What Elon Musk has done is not normal. Donald Trump is not normal. He is dangerously unfit for office. The tactics he and Musk have engaged in (such as courting and amplifying extremist groups) have nothing to do with ordinary civil discourse between "conservative" and "liberal" philosophy or policy proposals. And it's a false equivalence to suggest that they do.
These people shouldn't complain when their is no creativity left in society.
That second part is at risk, and if Elon's decision making power has been better reduced, they'd probably be really far ahead of where they are now.
Yes exactly in politics and not in business, in particular if you are the CEO.
Well, it has actually worked for him. The world makes a lot of exceptions about etiquette for him.
I don’t know about this. Virtually all CEOs of tech companies bent over backwards to support BLM and many donated tens of millions to those BLM affiliated organizations - many of whom turned out to be grifters. But if anyone takes a public stance supporting an opposing political ideology, suddenly it is a huge controversy for CEOs to be political? Or take something that liberal societies support like free speech - when Musk advocates for a minimalist approach to moderation it suddenly becomes “fascist”?
To me the hyperbolic outrage in response to Musk just seems like a dishonest power struggle, where people on the political left are bent on only allowing their voice and influence in society.
There has been nothing minimalist in Musk's moderation, he's been banning people on twitter all along. His whole free speech thing turned out to apply only to speech he likes and ban the rest.
I'm in the process of buying my 3rd Tesla, because I still don't think there's anything better out there (based on my personal needs). I'm not making any political or moral statements. I'm just buying an excellent vehicle.
Consumers are free to make choices based on anything they want: but whining in public about how some tweets affect your opinion on a car is not the same thing as privately making choices. This subject was opened for discussion and it remains open.
Also unlike artists, the head of a company oversees hundreds or thousands of people. Their whims and actions likewise have direct impact on people’s lives.
personally, my purchase decisions do not include the personality or celebrity of the company (CEO or otherwise).
There's objective measures you compare against another product (like price, looks, performance, quality etc), and you choose the best fit.
Looks is not an objective measure. You buy a nice looking car because its look evokes positive feelings in you. But other things can evoke positive feelings by association. The brand itself, marketing campaign, corporate image. For many, these (usually carefully cultivated) associations are overshadowed by a loud, controversial, partisan CEO who doesn't evoke positive feelings.
It used to be that Tesla cars evoked for me feelings of progress, sort of futurism (although I never really digged its rather bland design), eco-friendliness. Nowadays I see a Tesla and feel a low-key disgust.
This is a normal hacker news commenter position, but not a normal consumer position.
One of the first things you learn in a freshman year marketing course is the fact that consumers in general make spending decisions on feeling, not on raw data. It's the reason commercials you see on television are all about vibes, and not remotely about the raw performance numbers. See also: Apple never wastes its time droning on about the specs of their devices in their commercials.
This is why the public persona of Tesla's CEO has a material impact on the company's sales, and why it's hurting the company. I'd argue that Musk has outright disdain for his customers and considers them 'woke,' and is enthusiastically running the company into the ground out of pure spite.
Also it was a crap car.
"I bought this before we knew Elon was crazy"
Haha what. Price has dropped, quality increased, their self driving tech recently had a step change in functionality. I don't really think Tesla is suffering but I think most of these narratives are in peoples heads and don't reflect reality.
If there are 80 different models on the market and Tesla makes 5 models… that’s a tiny percentage of the choice that consumers have to pick from.
I own a 2019 model 3 and will be replacing it with a 2024. In those 5 years, it's accumulated a bunch of improvements. I don't exactly have a changelog to work with, but here's what I can think of off the top of my head:
- more powerful rear motor, 10% faster 0-60, breaking 10s quarter mile
- track mode v3
- heat pump
- matrix headlights
- adaptive suspension w/ frequency response suspension dampers
- ryzen media control unit
- triple pane glass
- heated steering wheel
- sport seating
- ventilated seats
- usb-c ports
- rear entertainment system
- HW4
- updated wheels/tires
- exterior styling updates (front bumper, non-chrome handles, etc...)
- interior styling updates (LED lighting, carbon fiber dash, etc...)
Oh, and there's also the fact that I'm only paying 70% of what I did the first time around (inflation adjusted).There are stories of people getting out of a Tesla to help their kids out, closing the driver door before opening the back door, and having the electrical system die before opening the rear door. Whoops!
- after ignoring the persistent warning you had days in advance that the 12v is dying
- you lose power in the exact few seconds between
- first securing every vehicle door
- and then proceeding to open any other door
- and there's another passenger inside
- and they are also incapable of operating a door
then you will have to either jump your 12v or otherwise somehow unlock your door. The odds are diminishingly small given all of those factors, but wait there's also more: - You don't have all the accidental 12v drains that happen in other vehicles (lights, accessories, etc... accidentally left running)
- The 12v is constantly replenished from the main battery, rather than a more unreliable alternator
So, I suppose there's this and then there are also the odds that your passenger is immediately struck by lightning as they exit the vehicle. At least in the former unlikely scenario, emergency responders can help you out with relative ease and little harm.https://www.popsci.com/technology/tesla-lock-issue/
I have also been (briefly) locked out due to what may have been RFI. Teslas are entirely dependent on radio to unlock the doors from outside.
> their self driving tech recently had a step change in functionality
Can you please expound on this? What does this mean in more concrete terms?
That's a useless superlative unless it's level 5.
You always know what you're are doing next.
GM's supercruise allows safe hands free driving as a L2 system. That's better than Tesla
Waymo is operating a true L4 system in multiple markets. That's better than Tesla.
Tesla has a better than average L2 system in autopilot. They have a downright dangerous L2 system in FSD that through its very design encourages unsafe driving habits. It lulls drivers into a false sense of security, but FSD can still hand control to the driver at the very last moment when they are unprepared to safely operate a vehicle.
Research has shown the L2 systems that border on L3 capability are dangerous, which is why all of the competition is staying well clear of that design and yet Tesla is forging ahead. There are times when going against the grain is a path to innovation, like Tesla using thousands of small cells to deliver viable BEVs. Or SpaceX using fast iteration on cheap reusable rockets. This isn't one of those cases as research has shown this pathway is not just non-viable, it's a safety risks to the public. There is a reason everyone else is working on L3 and L4 and developing it under carefully controlled testing conditions and methodologies. Tesla just slaps 'beta' on it and sends 4000 lbs of steel out hoping it doesn't run anyone over. When SpaceX rockets blow up during testing no one gets hurt. That is not true of FSD development.
I love my Tesla, but FSD is dangerous and the marketing was well into scam territory. There is a reason NHTSA and the FTC both have gotten involved.
For an optimal driver-assisted recovery in the latter incident, I needed to have been paying rather close attention to the navigation, the lane lines, and surrounding vehicles, starting before the incident, and I needed to take a rather fast and considered action. It was dicey. But this would have been a complete nonissue if I were _actually driving the car_, because that’s how humans work. The middle ground of not driving but being ready to override instantly is simply not how humans work.
1. They have cut costs (or adjusted style?) in highly dubious ways. The forward/reverse selector is gone in most new models, replaced by a swipe zone on the touchscreen that is only present some of the time. The 3 and Y require looking far from the road to see whether you’re signaling left or right — coupled with the turn signal stalk not physically staying in place when signaling, there is no good way to tell the current state of the car.
2. Self driving has taken a step change, IMO into the uncanny valley. A couple years ago, FSD was bad and could maybe go a block or two between failures. Now it can go multiple miles before it screws up dramatically. This seems quite dangerous — it’s hard to be ready to rescue the car when you don’t expect it to mess up.
My overall impression was that (a) new Teslas felt like video games, not cars and (b) the older models, circa 2020, with new software seem genuinely superior to current models.
I have an old Tesla that I like quite a lot. Even notwithstanding Elon’s behavior, I do not want a new Tesla.
P.S. has anyone seriously contemplated the way that water drains from the Cybertruck hood? If they copy that design to other models, I can only imagine they will have huge upcoming warranty/rework/lemon law costs.
Has it though? Look at what a mess the Cybertruck is. Price is nearly double what was originally promised, quality is the lowest of any vehicle on the US market.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-...
>Cybertruck sold nearly 4,800 units in July - its best month yet and making it by far the best-selling vehicle in the U.S. priced over $100,000
Isn't that also because of the actions of its owner?
This pains me because the Model 3/S is a decent sedan and one of - if not the most - efficient cars on the market.
https://evmarketsreports.com/byd-and-tesla-lead-the-global-e...
(except if you really were focusing on single model sales, but I'm not sure it's relevant)
> "The company’s (BYD) success is driven by a dual strategy of producing both fully electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)..."
BEVs and PHEVs are not the same thing, and the size of batteries used in each is radically different.
BYD have a company policy of conflating their EV/PHEV numbers (their own made up term “new energy vehicles”) as it makes their “EV” numbers look great in misleading statistics like the one you linked.
Most people are not going to compare gas car production counts to Tesla, given the entire reason Tesla exists is to not produce gas cars. BYD still make gas cars - all PHEVs have a gas engine.
We can subdivide on long range travel, trucks, lightweight mobility, cars with a US plug, or having a plugin architecture or not, but that's not what the article was about, nor what we're looking at here IMHO.
When you measure something to compare, it’s helpful if it is the same.
This trick of conflating PHEV numbers is something most manufacturers don’t do, and BYD have been called out on in the past.
So many key players in EV (Tesla, rivian, lucid…) will never make a gas car - so of course BYD including over half a million gas cars in their “EV” stats makes for an unfair comparison across the industry.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/byd-ma...
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/byd-ma...
You won't see that story on HN unlike the Q4 2023 news which was on HN several times because only bad news about Tesla gets upvoted here and on Reddit. And the propaganda works, because as you can see people start believing in falsehoods.
BYD pure electric sales were down 43% and you say they're growing very very fast? What?
On Reddit a comment like this with a counterpoint and source can get you permabanned from large subreddits like /r/news because it goes against the agenda. Recently it happened to people posting SpaceX responses.
But it turns out that having a hundred years of domain experience building cars actually matters for something. Tesla cars have had a lot of avoidable failures on technical merits.
German EV's are probably better built - fewer electrical issues over a longer duration (I hope), and fewer moving parts to replace.
I think this is a product differentiation / segmentation problem. People who wanted the current Tesla offering are being outnumbered by people who want buttons / information displayed front and center.
There's also a difference in brand positioning. If I know nothing except the car one drives, driving a Tesla, BMW, Audi or Mercedes conjures up different stereotypes in my mind. Which manufacturer wpuld you associate with the following: a Senior VP at Goldman, a petrolhead who does occasional track days, a Bitcoin millionaire, a suburban mom, a FAANG L5 SWE in the SF Bay?
It would have been our second Tesla purchase and now we have none. Could not imagine being associated with Elon in any way and certainly not in the car I drive around.
Which is probably the main point. It's well known that American companies sell a higher proportion of their cars in America than in Europe and vice versa. That a foreign company was ever outselling domestic producers in a region with a large automotive industry is an unusual and generally short-lived phenomenon.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/elon-musk-wades-into-ge...
Along with X's well adjusted moderation policies:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/elon-musk-gives-gold-ch...
I'm sure the Germans are thrilled with all of it.
Actually it is you who is insinuating something, incorrectly. You’re suggesting that Musk said the attack was justified. He didn’t. He retweeted an article that suggested a connection between the attacker and Paul Pelosi, and Musk added, “There is a tiny possibility there might be more to this story than meets the eye.” Musk was careful to acknowledge that the chance that there was more to the story was low (“tiny possibility”). He also later deleted his own tweet within a few hours of it being posted.
I don’t see a problem with people speculating about what may have happened. We know what happens when speculation is not allowed - you get situations like the lab leak theory being incorrectly suppressed until it is too late to investigate WIV or hold the CCP accountable. As for why people speculated anything in the Pelosi situation at all: the official recording of the police interaction in this incident has Paul Pelosi telling police that David was a “friend”. This caused people to search for reasons this friend would be visiting the home at odd hours.
These days I usually default to reading that sort of comment as saying the things with the tiny chance was likely, and the smaller the stated chance the higher the likelihood.
I don’t have a Tesla, but if someone is going to judge me based on the assumed political views of the CEO of the car brand I happen to drive… they need to get a life.
Does the company make a good car? That’s the only thing that actually matters.
Car OEMs invest millions in branding on the basis of/to promote the opposite of what you're saying: the brand is an expression or an extension of the buyers identity.
As the old saying goes… we spend money we don’t have, on things we don’t need, to impress people we don’t care about.
We can choose to not do that, and the marketing department can go to hell.
But separating which is which is not always easy, and I'd rather spend my time on other things. As a result I take "intangibles" as a rational factor in buying decisions even if the intangibles themselves might not necessarily be rational.
A Model 3 or Y isn’t a flex. They start around $30k, which isn’t exactly luxury pricing. Making cars people can afford is a good thing, but once that happens, it stops being a status symbol.
Personally, I have never seen a Tesla and assumed the driver was a Trump supporter. The much bigger stereotype is that the left buys EVs.
I don’t think many people are trading in their Cummings diesel 2500 truck for anything electric. The die hard Trump fans would be on Truth Social, not Twitter. They might like some stuff Elon is doing, but I don’t think they are going to give up their gas engines over him.
Basically social signaling.
regardless of your politics, it's not a good thing
I would say its hard to argue it is likely some factor in the middle. I'd love to see it studied.
I'll anecdotally add that I've always found Teslas design language pretty ugly, but did pine after the status of owning one briefly. Now I would never buy one for the association with Musk. So there you have it, scientifically there are at least 3 of us, and at most 8 billion of us. Further study is needed.
Personally, I decided to not to buy a Tesla because of how he over hyped self driving and then tried to weasel out by calling the system ‘full self driving’ when it’s clearly not. It doesn’t mean the cars are actually crap, but the company just came off as hella sketchy. Like how they didn’t care about panel gaps or similar issues because people were buying cars sight unseen, just gives this cheap vibe without actually hitting that price point.
It’s not that uncommon for people to quietly boycott companies. My mother refuses to get Starlink because of Musk.
In regard to Musk, I'll avoid anything he is related to. He doesn't treat others with respect, but he demands it for himself. He's egotistical, highly emotional, and impulsive. He's successful only because he inherited wealth and was able to parlay that into greater wealth.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/08/10/musk-te...
https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2024-08-22/tesla-reputat...
Lost sales:
https://electrek.co/2024/08/06/tesla-loses-corporate-sales-o...
Declining sales:
https://electrek.co/2024/08/13/tesla-doing-well-china-but-sa...
https://electrek.co/2024/07/05/tesla-model-s-x-sales-crashin...
Deliveries are down:
https://insideevs.com/news/725736/tesla-production-deliverie...
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68715906
Losing market share:
https://insideevs.com/news/727744/tesla-market-share-2024-q2...
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/09/business/tesla-electric-v...
https://www.theregister.com/2024/07/18/tesla_sales_market_sh...
My original point was to the "Elon schadenfreude" crowd cheering for BMW and swearing off Tesla because they don't agree with the founder's actions. Seems like selective outrage to me.
As the established automaker move into the market and charging is standardized, it would stand to reason that Tesla would suffer, as people see they can get higher build quality from experienced brands. The cool-factor of Tesla also starts to wear off when they are everywhere. Last time I was in a place I needed to Uber a lot, 4 of the 5 riders were in Teslas.
So very popular!
When you run a company whose core customer base is tree huggers, it takes a special kind of crazy to say the kind of stuff he has. Of course he can think what he wants, but no one is forcing him to retweet every spicy meme he comes across.
When he started calling people pedophiles on the internet and when I saw the board whose fiduciary duty is to keep the CEO in check do nothing, I exited my entire position.
It is an absolute failure of the board that no one questions his dumb decisions of pandering to the right to save some taxes, when the main customers are on the left.
TSLA price today: $232.22
bad move
What I find funny is that Teslas high profile investors repeatedly and completely dismiss this effect as being insignificant, but anecdotally I do think it’s a large portion of Tesla’s owners.
It’s also not like he has traded one customer base for another. The conservatives he’s trying to cozy up to seem just as anti-EV as ever.
Then they dropped the price, dramatically, and I found myself on the fence.
Then Elon endorsed Trump and promised to spend the money I’d give him for the Tesla on electing Trump (albeit indirectly).
So, I do not have a Tesla, nor will I ever be tempted again, not even if they are selling for $1.
I just think Tesla can't find footing in the real low-end EV market because of BYD + Renault and associates (that market is small atm so it isn't an issue), never got in the high-end EV market so it has to compete with historic automaker in a market they have a lot of experience in.
I mean, it depends where you live, but Naughty Old Mr Car has stuck his oar in on, at least, Irish, British and French politics, and has also said many extremely stupid things about Ukraine. He’s getting harder to ignore in Europe.
It is good to see there are more players creating EVs that people are willing to buy.
https://apnews.com/article/china-byd-auto-seagull-auto-ev-ca...
They seem to be really focused on chasing the Boomer demographic. I’m a happy former customer (twice over) but wouldn’t consider anything in their EV range - which means I wouldn’t consider buying a BMW again at all unless there’s some sort of radical strategic change.
Why they’re not pumping out $25k 250 mile range city cars for millenials and gen z is a mystery to me.
Plus at that price point they are not competing with other compacts - which aren't that popular anyway - but with a 2-4 year old used car. One of my collegues just bought a 4 year old Toyota Avensis for the same price. Which one do you think will last longer?
BMW platforms now are both for ICE and EV, but "Neue klasse" that will start to arrive soon is a from-scratch, new, electric only platform. That will really make the cars more spacious. The sportiest platform is supposedly architected for 1350 hp, so it will be interesting to see if BMW will take up the lap time fight with Porsche. That would be interesting.
1) That batteries would remain really expensive. Lithium batteries have been falling in price for a long time and EV demand was only going to drive new innovations and economies of scale, so even at the time that seemed like a poor bet. BMW wasn't entirely wrong since battery prices stayed quite high during the model lifespan, but it didn't really matter because bet 1) lead to bet 2) 2) Carbon Fibre construction. BMW bet that EVs would need to be light to extract range from small batteries, so they made a CFRP monocoque and made a wager they could find ways to manufacture CFRP at scale more cheaply. They were pretty wrong (though it has led to an explosion of carbon fibre trim options on M models that is nearly pure profit)
i3 had such a small battery, but it still had the huge EV cost penalty that made early EVs very niche. That proved pretty fatal, though the few that got one did tend to really like them.
That double failure scared BMW pretty badly and they retreated to shared platforms, so every EV they sell can't take advantage of the packaging benefits being an EV allows. There are huge spaces for engines up front that is nearly all wasted.
Despite that deficiency BMW has invested a ton into their EV powertrains, so they actually have some of the best efficiency out there.
I am also upset that Smart failed at turning their ForTwo into an affordable EV.
Two great small cars that are gone.
Nevertheless, I appreciate the effort. And the i4 looks (and drives) sweet.
Right, they have disguised the electric ones as phenomenally ugly late-stage German cars, so you can't really tell they are electric without getting closer than you'd really like. From a safe distance it just looks like any other BMW with grill cancer.
And the weight, of course.
Batteries in the floor make a good amount of sense if done right.
1. Just the battery for a -hybrid- (1.1kWh) can weigh at least half as much as a 3 cylinder engine. putting it either under the front or in the trunk is an issue, as now you have to have a more reinforced firewall or reinforced whatever to keep the battery from being an additional force in an impact.
2. Lower center of gravity is always a good thing.
> And the weight, of course.
3. Weight is interesting because we start to see some of the fun 'delta-V' issues. As an example look at the GMC Hummer EV, the F-150 Lightning, and the Cybertruck. You can see that as the weight goes up the amount of battery to increase range also goes waaayyyy up.
Everything else than the battery or motors are poor quality if you compare to any other above average brand.
[0] https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-reliability-owner-s...
[1] https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-reliability-owner-s...
Also poor quality of what?
> Also poor quality of what?
Basically anything other than battery or motors. Interior build. One big touchscreen to make anything as cheap as possible. Brakes. Suspension.
EVs literally have less wearing parts by design and somehow they managed to made these few ones worse than on average.
In Germany, TÜV (Mandatory inspections in Germany), placed Tesla Model 3 for 111th in reliability, just behind Dacia Logan which was in the second last place, when the first mandatory inspections in 2023 started.
You can find many sources about this, here one example:
https://www.carscoops.com/2023/12/tesla-model-3-ranked-last-...
(The electronics is arguable.)
It really depends on the model. When a company produces 2 million cars a year and has a shitload of models in their lineup, some are going to be problematic.
For gasoline engine, for example, the B48 engine is highly reliable [1]
I'm one of those "oddballs" who'll never ever buy a new car because to me buying a new car is deciding to be a guinea pig. I buy cars that are 3 to 5 years old, once it's known if the model is a reliable one or not.
Take, say, a used 4-series "Gran Coupé" with the B48 engine. It's a complete bargain, ultra-reliable and one heck of a sweet ride. I drive higher-end stuff but we picked that for my wife two years ago and it's really a good car.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businessinsider.com/bmw-ix-...
Image: https://bmwi.bimmerpost.com/forums/attachment.php?s=aae66d26...
I'd say you've indeed been living in a serious bubble. The European Commission decided, years ago, that by 2035 (which is around the corner), not a single new car could be sold in the EU if it wasn't 100% electric. Not even hybrid.
Since that decision they backtracked a little bit but meanwhile all the german automanufacturers started freaking out and started, in a hurry, to come up with EVs.
It's not just BMW. Porsche, Mercedes, Audi/VW: they all produce EVs now.
Most of BMW’s electric cars (with the exception of the notably weird-looking i3) are also pretty subtle; you wouldn’t really know they were electric unless you looked closely. In particular, they’ve kept some approximation of their trademark grille.
Although BMW is making some nice EVs and they are selling more than they used to, the headline is misleading.
Tesla produce a lot of for the EU in China. They have a schedule where for each quarter, months 1, 2 and 3, in Month 1, they produce cars. In Month 2 they sail them over from China. And in Month 3, they arrive and are sold.
BMW managed to overtake Tesla in the first month of Q3, barely. When Tesla really had no cars for sale.
We're at the point where Tesla will stop being a near default choice as people realize they have other options. So we'll start to find out what their popularity really is.
The US has also been distorted by the charging network issue, but as more and more manufacturers get access to the Tesla network in the next few years that will cease to be an advantage too.
https://i.imgur.com/ZNv1AyD.jpg
Could it change? Maybe. But right now Tesla is the most popular EV in the US and Europe.
I’m fairly sure that if you take Volkswagen AG as one vendor (which you probably should, because it is one), they outsell Tesla (they have about six brands producing electric cars, mostly rebrands of the VW id.3/4.)
The major qualification for headline-writer, as always, appears to be the ability to make slightly crap puns.
Tesla build quality is terrible. Their service department is overbooked, under staffed, expensive, and not set up for success. Environmental people won't want to support Elon, and right wing people who like him won't want to buy an electric car.
It's only a matter of time before established players eat Tesla's lunch.
Edit: My formulation is confusing. I meant whether folks really think that Tesla will eventually have 10x BMW's revenue.
My personal opinion is that TSLA has only one direction to go for a while. Down. Nothing about the business supports the market optimism. Not that I'm going to run out and short the stock, mind you, that old adage about how long the market can stay irrational seems very on point in this case.
Explicitly allow and encourage racists on his social media platform?
He also annoyed me as a Brit recently retweeting some stuff that civil was inevitable in the UK because we'd let a lot of muslims in. Not that I think you shouldn't be able to criticize islam but it's very far from the reality here and there's no need to amplify a lot of bunk from people who have probably never been to the UK.