Boeing Halts 777X Flight Tests over Damage Found in Engine Mount
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
The problem is that that is such an unacceptable situation that it can't ever be allowed to happen.
Boeing is a huge employer in the US, not even counting all the direct subsidiaries who would shut down if it was shut down.
Boeing is developing critical space hardware for NASA. As great as SpaceX is, the US should not rely on a single company for this. I don't think even SpaceX wants this.
If Boeing did fail, that leaves Airbus as the only commercial jet manufacturer? I don't think anyone, including Airbus and definitely not any airline which has used the airbus-boeing dance during price negotiations wants this to happen.
Not to even mention the supply chain issues with keeping our massive fleets of Boeing airplanes flying if Boeing goes defunct.
We also have to consider the defense implications of loosing what is now our only serious domestic manufacturer of many military aircraft and other ordinance.
Boeing literally can not be allowed to fail, the implications would be too great. I also literally see no other path for Boeing but failure.
I also think out of the ashes of that failure something much more focused and better would emerge and that, without that failure, it probably never will but still the failure cannot be allowed to happen.
This is a problem discovered during testing. It could mean testing is being done properly; probably it’s a bit late in the dev cycle, but it’s not necessarily a bad thing; now it’s making news because of what happened with Boeing in the past.
But not finding failures during testing maybe means you’re not testing hard enough.
Also not an airplane expert...
Agreed that finding issues is (often) good (it means you are human and you also found your errors).
But of course such testing, certification, is costly and uneconomical, and if you aren't allowed to fail, then you can't do the correct testing either...
I suspect the issue is two-fold: Firstly, Boeing can't afford to fail, and hence can't test. Secondly, it is driven primarily by profit, not safety, which is part of why it can't afford to fail. Profit drives/motivates new features, efficiencies, and ultimately complex systems, which require exponentially more time to thoroughly test than simple, inefficient, easily verifiable systems.
Falling apart because they are no longer profitable may not be a good thing either - sure, something could "rise from the ashes", but that thing will be in all likelihood, immature, poorly tested, and mostly incompatible with existing systems.
The best bet would be to simplify, as much as possible, all systems, suppliers, etc, and to double, quadruple, perhaps even expand by an order of magnitude the testing effort(s). Perhaps even some sort of new New Deal could come about...
This seems to be a certification test (https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boein...), aka the "make-or-break, 0-failures allowed test before we get final approval to sell this aircraft, and we are 99.999% sure this test is going to go flawlessly".
Failing is a pretty big deal. This should have been found far sooner in the process.
This is not quite the same. This is finding a failed part that should not have failed, as it should have been designed to -at least- pass the flight test requirements it was designed to fulfil.
And what this article failed to mention was that similar structural issues were found on 2 other test aircrafts.
What they are saying here is that the component was designed to X, but, not manufactured to those specifications.
Depending on who made that actual component, this is either a failure of Boeing directly or a failure of Boeing to ensure that their suppliers have adequate processes in place to capture these kinds of problems.
This is actually a much more serious failure than a design failure because the problem can't easily be systemically addressed, there is no single component they need to address now. Boeing can not simply say "we checked the other engine mounts in production and they are fine". Even saying that they addressed the issue with the production of that component is insufficient. The real root cause here is why any component which did not meet design specifications was accepted and allowed to be installed on the aircraft. Boeing will need to do a huge review to understand this and may need to inspect and replace huge numbers of other, seemingly unrelated, components.
But I also wonder if we aren't pushing the limits of what's reasonable for a 2-engine passenger airliner. I get that the more people you can put on a flight the more money the airlines make from that flight, but there's a practical limit somewhere.
That points to major structural issues. Or better said, yet an other structural issue on an aircraft type that is already 5 years late.
This is, to put it mildly, premature. No-one expects Boeing to actually go under.
This discovery is a setback, and Emirates won't be happy (also to put it mildly), but it's hardly a company-killing event.
Well, they had the opportunity to sign for an other aircraft, and "unexpectedly" jumped ship at the last moment, so that's on them.
For how much longer though? They're clearly not up to the task of being the second supplier, so NASA is going to need to find a new second supplier.
And of course all the apaches, globemasters, ospreys, super hornets..
They are definitely too big to fail.
This is also a problem of incentives:If you can roll your dice and the only possible outcomes are:
A) you save your corporation some money while lowering reliability and fucking up safety, but you get a bonus and IF something happens you are either long gone or never held accountable
B) you do nothing, you gain nothing
Then it is clear why more people choose A. If you want management to feel what they are doing is "taking a risk", then make it really, actually risky for them. Especially if it has the potential to kill people. I am talking about significant jail time on top of losing all benefits made during the act. I am an electrical engineer. If something I am not giving my work due diligence and it ends up killing people, I go to jail. If management makes me use flammable materials to safe money and they burn down an orphanage it is a tragic accident that nobody can change, even when you have whistleblowers warning about it internally and publicly.
I constantly heard the phrase that management has to earn a lot because of the huge responsibilities they carry. If the most dire consequence to breaking those responsibilities is that you leave your job with a golden parachute, then that does not sound like it comes at a huge risk. Sure you need to be able to act like a amoral psychopath, but that is a price they are willing to pay.
This is just never going to happen. I agree with you but it's not how power structures work.
Even if there was some type of governance structure setup to do this, those CEOs would workout how to make someone else the fall guy.
The best hope we have is healthy competition, even now, I search for flight that offer AirBus.
Much of the issues Boeing has are as a result of government involvement.
Just look at the entire starliner debacle, in any truly free market Boeing would have been fired as a vendor years ago. They were (and are) way behind schedule, their unmanned demo flight was a failure, they still went forward with a manned flight which has been an abject failure -- the crew is on month three of what was supposed to be a 3 hour^W^W9 day tour. They might not be coming home till February. I hope they have someone watering their plants.
The government approved the merger.
The government allowed Boeing to run with minimal FAA oversight.
I'm speaking of their commercial aviation side, not the military/space stuff.
I agree with both of your points, the government should never have allowed the McDonnell Douglas merger (I assume that's what you mean) and I can't possibly agree more that the FAA's "self certification" regime was a hilariously bad concept which was made worse by their implementation.
The government hasn't been involved, that's the problem. We elected people who want to deregulate everything and this is what we get.
There's several smaller players in the regional market, like Embraer, Comac, Tupolev, but none of them have long range or widebody craft.
It really shows that it was designed in this century. The focus on type certificates/training is really holding the industry back (as well as causing the terrible MCAS crashes).
Also I don’t think Airbus would have a problem with Boeing going out of business.
I’m not sure how the relative straightforwardness of that approach maps to a company that basically has two main supply chains (737 in Renton and everything else in Everett with North Charleston as a satellite.)
Space and weapons.
Commercial narrow body (+ military derived from commercial)
Commercial wide body.
Then break up supply chain (where it hasn't been already).
I'm not quite certain. Airbus is possibly quite happy to have a stumbling giant occupying that space and tripping over its own feet. It's a lot more comfortable than having to compete against a heavily subsided Chinese company, like what is happening in the EV market. (Not that they are a threat at the moment)
This is partly due to engineering/QC not being up to standards, insofar that the airworthiness certificate delivered by the Chinese Aviation Administration is not recognized/trusted in the West.
But it is not a political decision. Chinese manufacturers wanting to be able to sell and fly their airplanes in the West can simply apply for an EASA (or FAA) certification, like other manufacturers do. If they pass, they are good to go.
>Boeing literally can not be allowed to fail
They're too broken for America to repair. They should be shut down, and the pieces sold off to Airbus for pennies on the dollar. Then Airbus can take over the designs and start building better-designed aircraft at the ex-Boeing facilities. There should simply be a stipulation that none of the management is allowed to be American, because obviously they can't do it any more.
- Issue found on 3 test aircraft
- During certification tests (ie very late in the game)
- Boeing-designed thrust link is cracking (this links engine to wing). Made of titanium. There are two on each engine for redundancy.
https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boein...
Since I can't read the article otherwise.
I read a long time ago that the Boeing CEO was cutting costs by outsourcing as much as possible.
He said that this was the way forward and was financially wisest. This was before the MAX problems.
I think we can compare this to the massively vertical integration of companies like Tesla, or even US steel back in the day.
Does anybody think there is a link between vertical integration and quality? That maybe all this outsourcing messed things up?
I’d love to hear your thoughts.
Being truly vertically integrated is no guarantee for quality in my experience.
Yes. For an American example, have a look at Apple. For international examples, have a look at the Japanese keiretsus like Toyota or Mitsubishi, or the Korean cheabols.
`(Adds analyst comment in fourth paragraph.)`
Are you using an ad-blocker? If so, the problem might be a paywall. I suggest adding this line to your uBO custom filters:
https://gitflic.ru/project/magnolia1234/bypass-paywalls-clea...
I plopped that filter text in, and... BOOM. Problem eliminated! Thanks man.
It's obviously not good if one fails and the engine falls off the plane, but, a 777X should still be able to fly with a single engine.
Of course, that capability is more geared to "we saw a high temperature on the engine so let's proactively shut it down and land as soon as we can" and not "the engine fell off the plane and landed on someone".
Also, the engines are pretty close to the centre of mass so it's not a huge deal. Asymmetric thrust will be a problem but the drag situation will be better than with 1 engine disabled! After all there is no inactive engine face catching a whole load of air. And an engine failure situation is already a known situation.
Also, if it had failed as designed it would have only lost one. The other one was only lost because the first engine hit it on the way out. As well as the leading edge of the wing and the slats. The plane was doomed but not because of imbalance. It just could not fly under 270 knots.
as the aircraft was beginning its takeoff rotation, engine number one (the left engine) separated from the left wing, flipping over the top of the wing and landing on the runway. As the engine separated from the aircraft, it severed hydraulic lines that lock the wing's leading-edge slats in place and damaged a 3-foot (1 m) section of the left wing's leading edge. Aerodynamic forces acting on the wing resulted in an uncommanded retraction of the outboard slats. As the aircraft began to climb, the damaged left wing produced far less lift than the right wing, which had its slats still deployed and its engine providing full takeoff thrust. The disrupted and unbalanced aerodynamics of the aircraft caused it to roll abruptly to the left until it was partially inverted, reaching a bank angle of 112°, before crashing in an open field by a trailer park near the end of the runway. The engine separation was attributed to damage to the pylon structure holding the engine to the wing, caused by improper maintenance procedures at American Airlines.
It is a safe-life part, so yes, it is a single point of failure part for that engine. And, if something fails unexpectedly, it could significantly damage the wing too, as has happened in the past with deadly consequences.
The problem being encountered on two other test planes, makes it a lot more problematic, as the probability of the second engine shearing off then becomes a lot, lot higher.
I learned this from this superb article describing what happened when they failed in the wrong order: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/concrete-and-fire-the-cr...
Once one mounting point fails, the other ones will fail as well. The mounting points are engineered to try to minimise wing damage when that happens.
News at 11.
[..] has significant structural problems on three test aircrafts [..]