Millennials Are Becoming Boomers
awealthofcommonsense.com
awealthofcommonsense.com
Money is a way to assign priority to the acquisition of a resource, similarly to the role of a queue. If a generation is wealthier or not compared to others, it only speaks about how we share resources in society, assuming the wealth is being consumed.
For a society to be richer overall, it doesn't need more money. It needs more resources.
IMO every generation is wealthier even if it has the same $ share, because quality of commodities get better over time with technology on average.
It's not always true. Technology is only valuable if it can increase abundance.
Healthcare, education and house prices seem to be doing the opposite. Ironically those are the core things that have heavy caps on supply and supply is artificially chocked, not letting the free market optimize for prices.
For example, take home pay from two 100k salaries is about $11,850/mo total. A mortgage, taxes, and insurance on a 1.1 M home (a small 2 bedroom that needs work here in the Bay Area) could be $8k/mo, not considering upkeep costs. Childcare for two children would be ~3k/mo, already bringing it even, without food, cars, etc.
The chart showing home ownership rate is broken down by "generation" but each cohort becomes skewed towards older members of that group as we move towards the present. If you look at boomers and millennials at age 25 that's a fair comparison. But if you compare boomers and millennials at age 40, you're now comparing all people born 1946 to 1964 (18 year range) against just the millennials born 1981 to 1984 (3 year range). This group of older millennials were in their late 20s when house prices tanked after the financial crisis and in their mid 30s by the time home prices started rising dramatically in 2020. This selection bias means if there is an overall downward trend in home ownership, the boomer line will stay fixed but the millennial line for ages 28 to 43 will move down next time the data is analyzed. This is almost certain to happen.
The second bit of fudging that's going on is that this chart is looking at home ownership. But a home is not a house. Millennials and Gen Z are more likely to buy an apartment than previous generations. It's not fair to say that a boomer buying a free standing house is equivalent to a millennial buying a two-bedroom apartment. The quality of life and the opportunity for capital gains are much lower.
The big takeaway: the kidult generation is finally understanding that they too will continue to age. Not as an insight, just admitting to what's already happened.
This is also not a new phenomenon. The "boomers" were of course the "don't trust anyone over 30" generation. (Talkin' 'bout my gen.. gen.. generation)
Children always perceive themselves as somehow a separate species from the previous generation. Then they grow into it.
Another glaring example is the Sunrise Movement (which I wholeheartedly support!). Greta and crew where touting the "grownups ruined everything" mantra. Now they're all adults (at least legally).
Most everyone gets there, and the alternative is grim.
Just because folks got a cheap rate on houses doesn’t mean they can afford the risk over a lifetime.
Boomers could work relatively simple jobs and pay off a house. Right now a house is a much much much larger liability than it has ever been
Decades ago when housing prices and pay were better aligned, there was a much better chance of being able to scrape by if it came down to that, plus it was easier to pay the house off in a reasonable amount of time giving that less of a chance to occur.
Point in case, where I live a pretty typical pre-interest-spike house payment is twice the gross income of someone working a full time minimum wage job which doesn’t cover food, utilities, clothes, etc. Not only does this put ownership out of reach for a lot of people, but makes it possible to quickly turn precarious for even many of those who can afford it.
And this just gets worse for more expensive areas where the disparity is much more extreme like in the SF Bay Area.
* far less job stability -- you don't get a gig for life, or at least 20 years like Grandpa did, and Dad could at least ride the boom and growth cycles of the 90s and 2000s
* housing costs a lot more, and even if you can afford it you're far more apt to be fired, which makes it risky to stick your neck out
* no safety nets, and brutal conditions in the job market mean if you catch an axe then you're out of luck -- that house is now a big ole liability
I was curious why you believed that. Other commenters have helped me understand why you believe that's the case. My opinion is that we're in the middle of a housing shortage in many places. Interest rates are up, but people are still buying houses, so the liability, for places where people are still buying houses isn't three "much"es level of liability in my mind (and my area). If it becomes a millstone around your neck, sell the house. Which is easier said than done, but that's where I'm coming from.
First off, this data uses a generational start date of 1979. I've never, ever seen a millennial range defined here, but sure, let's go with that. Half or more millennials are home owners? Bullshit. Show me where that data is coming from. Let's assume it's true though, I'd surmise most of these numbers are from boomer generations dying off and leaving property/inheritance to their children. Does that really say all that much?
As far as "biggest wealth generation jump since 2016" like yea no shit, I'd guess you could take a slice of years from any generation that's exiting young adulthood into their careers and see a similar relative jump. This is a red flag example because it doesn't measure against similar ranges in other generations early career years. Your wealth doesn't change much as a percentage of your total wealth as you get older and richer - for reasons that shouldn't need a lot of explaining.
In other words, I have $1 to my name and it goes to $3 within 8 years. a boomer has $100 and it goes to $110 in 8 years. Wow, these millennials are complaining about a THREE HUNDRED PERCENT increase to their wealth compared to us?
“more or less” is doing some heavy lifting. The chart referenced shows a pretty dramatic discontinuity between Millennials and Gen X / Boomers from age 25 to 35 w.r.t homeownership rate.
When I was in college I had several friends who “owned” their homes because their parents bought it for them. All the children in the family used those homes in school, then they were sold at a profit.
Of course this was going to happen, it's what always happens, generation after generation. It's called 'The Cycle of Life'. We've been doing it for several million years.