https://katedowninglaw.com/2019/09/08/the-great-open-source-...
as a really great read from a lawyer on the various factors and motivations, and which in particular touches on AGPLs lack of ability to protect what many of these companies are worried about most. Specifically:
> That understanding was the genesis for the GNU Affero General Public License 3 (AGPL 3) published in 2007: it was meant to solve for this exact problem by adding language to the GPL 3 which required companies to provide source code for software that users interacted with via a computer network if the software was modified AGPL 3 code (or a derivative work of such modified AGPL 3 code). But even the AGPL’s obligations can be avoided by simply not modifying the AGPL 3 code, which there is often no reason to do, or by building layers between the AGPL 3 code and proprietary code. That’s why a lot of these middleware companies didn’t choose to relicense to AGPL 3 and why MongoDB, who was already using AGPL 3, chose to revise the AGPL 3 to expand the circumstances under which services running on AGPL’ed code must open source the previously proprietary parts of those services.