Why the collapse of the Generative AI bubble may be imminent

All those “bona fides” were self assessed. Pass.

And the thing is, I am not in disagreeement that the hype has gotten ahead of the reality. But the rationale for a collapse has more to do with human and market dynamics than “LLMs hallucinate”. The web was All That but we still had a bubble in 2000.

Agreed. Also been calling it for a while. Despite my best attempts, the only real uses for LLMs I've found are making chatbots (especially to interact with APIs), writing things like press releases, and using Github Copilot (which is admittedly awesome).

Sales pitch with zero value for a substack

It's not exactly throwing your hat over the wall to make a bold statement and then paywall the justification. His "boba fides" are "I did something 12 years ago, also my other predictions weren't wrong".

I like a positive track records but "not being wrong" isn't the same as being a true prognosticator.

Paywalled