How much is the stock movement a direct response to news like that, and how much is it someone gaming based on how others will react to news?
What is a "direct response"? Any change in price is still the result of individual actors expressing directional opinions.
In any event, this sort of news generally does not move the fundamental value of the business in a way that exceeds the "uncertainty band", so pretty much all of the active trading is necessarily in anticipation of how others will view the news.
This is in contrast to e.g. merger offers, which are much more about the actual value of the business (which has suddenly become very concrete and precise), and not trying to judge the reaction of others. But major events like that are a small minority.