I find it hard to believe Google will let go of their golden goose. It's too risky for them.
AFAIK this is why the UK's competition authorities were hostile to Google removing third party cookies.
But in practice, the engineering lift and complexity of the solutions is absolutely massive, so many companies simply will not be able to play ball. Additionally, because the internet will be more private the sketchy companies doing things like fingerprinting will cease to exist. Google has never said they will kill off competing solutions that are not privacy safe (UID2), but have explicitly said they will stop any fingerprinting, cross site tracking, etc.