Assuming Waymo is able to drive safely, it seems like a matter of time until Tesla is able to achieve the same, no? I can’t see why Waymo should be able to do it but Tesla should not given enough time.
Assuming SpaceX can make reusable rockets, it seems like a matter of time until Blue Origin is able to achieve the same, no? I can’t see why SpaceX should be able to do it but Blue Origin should not given enough time.
Assuming Microsoft can make a desktop operating system, it seems like a matter of time until IBM is able to achieve the same, no? I can’t see why Microsoft should be able to do it but IBM should not given enough time.
See how ridiculous that sounds. Serious technological R&D is not something you can just pick up off the ground with money and time.
For OS - which is software, more similar to EV - Linux devs are able to make a much better OS than Windows, commercial success on the consumer front be damned. OS is pretty much commoditized but everybody uses Windows for enterprise because of vendor lock in, not because it’s hard to make an OS. Arguably, windows is the worst of the three popular OS’s despite having the largest commercial success.
OpenAI was able to make great GPT models and everybody else followed suit pretty quickly.
I think bleeding edge tech with larger moats takes longer than bleeding edge tech with smaller moats. The moat for self driving is low enough that there are many companies pursuing it with only VC funding. Compared to self landing rockets, which is being pursued by two companies backed by the richest men on earth.
If, in the first place, you actually meant that somebody else will figure it out, then it is logically unsound to argue that a arbitrarily chosen entity, Tesla in this case, is a shoe-in to figure it out as well. You need to present actual arguments for why they in particular will be a somebody.
If you actually thought the argument you presented initially was logically sound, then you meant everybody and the arguments you have just made are irrelevant as they only argue “there exists”, not “for all” which is what your initial argument rested on.
tl;dr You are mixing up “there exists” and “for all”.