Yes, since CrowdStrike won't tell us, we'll have to rely on our own or third party analysis. As I write "Since as usual the company won't release any detailed information on what really happened, we'll have to rely on other sources. I found that Dave Plummer's account on YouTube was very good, and trustworthy." But, absolutely, probably is a required qualifier for some statements about the details.

What is definitely known is that a WHQL kernel mode driver from CrowdStrike crashes, and removing a single file external to the driver causes it to stop crashing. Some pretty sure conclusions can be drawn from that. No "probably" required.