Who Killed the World?
pudding.cool
pudding.cool
The increasing gloominess around our predicament is to a large degree due to the persistent failure of positive forces and behaviors to mitigate destructive trends. There is no point imagining a unreachable utopia if we can't indicate a real path towards it.
Its not that there is strictly zero evidence on our ability to avoid a major civilizational setback in the visible future. There is at least the open source movement. This is a remarkable, highly non-trivial behavior and it has already affected our reality. It is still little-known outside tech circles. Maybe there are other such positive stories in other circles. Somebody should base a sci-fi scenario on them :-)
> the influences on his decision included that he had been told a U.S. strike would be all-out, so five missiles seemed an illogical start; that the launch detection system was new and, in his view, not yet wholly trustworthy; that the message passed through 30 layers of verification too quickly; and that ground radar failed to pick up corroborating evidence, even after minutes of delay
So you have a highly trained and informed person applying a mix of reasoning and intuition to guide their action rather than blindly and lazily follow instructions - or worse, be pushed around by fears, group think, peer pressure, etc. without regard to actual impact.
Clearly if the majority of people would exhibit such behaviors we'd be in much better shape, but how do we get there?
> What if we reject the notion that the economy must produce more and more, but rather embrace the notion that a functioning society is only as successful as its least privileged soul?
Among other things, I think the world is going to need a lot more air conditioners, and the energy to run them. Economic growth is a vague abstraction, when you get more specific, there are some important needs.
And re; what you're describing, if you have an AC you (generally) don't need more AC's, that'd be pretty pointless. AC units aren't a thing that makes any sense to hoard away, so the future you're imagining where people in "mansions in the desert" somehow have all the AC and everyone else is just "boiling" away doesn't really seem like a realistic concern. Especially so if people agree that building more AC's will help.
I don't mean look at some specific mansion, I almost even mean the entire countries, particularly Qatar. If you've ever been there, it's mind-boggling how much extravagant waste is displayed everywhere. I mean true extremes of marble and gold foil everywhere, along with the relevant aspect of HUGE air conditioned structures.
I mean so truly excessively huge where vast amounts of empty space are being cooled for nearly nobody within large malls, indoor plazas, mansions, etc.
Also, while I can see a valid point being that maybe they're more corrupt and wasteful than most, I'd just wish to then say I've seen some pretty tremendous waste in western countries, there's just usually more of an attempt to disguise it. And related to your point about hoarding, I'd ask you to consider what the benefit of extra private yachts or the Nth additional mansion or apartment is for a very rich individual are. Why hoard away ships, or trinkets, or homes that won't be occupied? It's a difference of mindset and desires/goals.
But if your goal were, for example, to provide air conditioning to most of Mexico, I don't think reusing existing stuff is going to do it. You're going to need manufacturing.
You'll also need some way of making sure that effort doesn't get redirected, because it will attract people trying to get a cut of it.
Which I find deeply confusing as these precisely correlate with QoL compared to life 100 years ago. E.g. the air conditioner was just invented and way more expensive 100 years ago. With the attitude of "as successful as its least privileged soul", I doubt the air conditioner would be nearly as available today.
I hear you about the Revelation Space series. The first (titular) book is one of the best I've ever read.. but it is painfully obvious there was no plan.
But I feel it’s a bit dated and rooted in “US American culture” - not a bad thing per se but it feels to me like it’s not real realistic to expect that kind of culture to survive the strive that is coming.
It would be cool to compare with other, non sci-fi stories. EG: I have been noticing the rise of escapist fantasy narratives in popular media — wish fulfillment stories where a Mary Sue like main character rises above all challenges without struggle. You can see this particularly in light novels, manga, and anime in the now popularized "isekai", "cultivation", or "system progression" genres. It would be interesting to find out how the public's fascination with these types of stories correlate with economic, social, or political undulations in the real world.
It also didn’t have a lot of happy endings. Because the world didn’t end, it just got continuesly shittier.
BTW, why single out "the EU block becoming regulatory" as something negative prophesied by Cyberpunk? I have recently watched a video about the timeline of Cyberpunk 2020/2077 (which is just one universe, granted), and the EU sounded like the only ones who had their shit together, even though they were facing sabotage from all directions.
This is also reflected (and probably heavily influenced CP2077) in Ghost in the Shell, where European Union, in somewhat fluctuating alliance with Soviet Union, is probably among the best locations to live.
The problem is that this was easy in a inefficient corporation within a market where everybody was inefficient. But the things you have to do to keep these gains are getting more and more ridiculous, more and more amoral.
This is our problem. The times where easy gains with honest products was possible is long past, now everything has to be a scam, a meta game, some sort of hidden monopoly or so cutting edge that it isn't even profitable.
Like in television, you've got Black Mirror which usually has near contemporary stories set in horrifically messed up versions of our world, but also Doctor Who and Star Trek, which are far more optimistic and deal with a far wider mix of settings and time periods. Like Utopia, a dystopian story set in the year 100 trillion where the simple passage of time has destroyed all but a handful of worlds via entropy, and the last remaining humans are trying to survive a dying universe.
And there are arguably more stories in those mediums that do deal with outside threats more than internal ones, often due to the 'monster of the week' structure some of these shows and stories run on. If you want sci-fi stories with external threats, virtually every sci-fi game you can think of has you killing hostile aliens and mutants and monsters by the thousand. Plenty that don't have any ties to Earth or current events too, and simply take place in a completely independent setting with entirely original problems.
This is, as ever, a discussion about production - about the web having matured around a limited set of standards and frameworks, and web development no longer being as fun as it was, before it was a job for many people here (or at least before expectations became so rigid.)
https://archive.org/stream/pdfy-2F_iHS6BLtGJb2ad/TheFateofEm...
This presentation is a smaller part of that paper:
The good old science fiction basically corresponds to The Age of Intellect. Current SF corresponds to The Age of Decadence.
His result is that this is not true. The trope is also related to historically untenable ideas such as the "noble savage" or, if you take it too far, fascism's quest to bring back "real men".
I'd say the power of a group of people depends on not only the size, but also on the morale and organization. Mr Deveraux mentions something similar at the end of your link.
Looking trough this lens, the change in Age from Intellect to Decadence is a hidden breakdown of the organization. Even if the number of people rises, the coherence and trust of the group disappears.
The other end of the Glubb paper seems similar. The old empire is less organized than everyone expected, and the 'barbarians' are actually a new group, better organized and more willing to adapt then expected.
In that respect, I don't see how dystopian/post-apocalyptic fiction can generally be optimistic for the viewer.
Contrary to other posters I mostly enjoyed the scrolling art style and presentation.
I’ve yet to read any kind of optimistic sci-fi that operates in a capitalist society. The two most obvious (Star Trek and the Culture) both envision a post-scarcity society enabled by technology so advanced it might as well be magic.
At the time when he killed himself Fisher was developing the idea of "Psychedelic Socialism" as a potential counter to Capitalist Realism. I enjoyed this discussion of the idea:
https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/psychedelic-socialism/
As I understand it, the idea is that "consciousness raising" is a necessary component of catalyzing and maintaining the sense of empowerment, hope, and motivation necessary for a social movement to succeed. Although the consciousness raising in psychedelic socialism could literally be psychedelic drugs, Fisher is mostly using that are a metaphor. Consciousness raising could also take the forms like music & art, yoga, religion, ritual, reading circles, etc.
This suggests that things like the New Age beliefs of the Hippy movement, the Pan-African/Afrofuturist symbolism of the civil rights movement, or the rock and roll of the anti-Vietnam protests were not just trivialities. Rather they were essential to the movement's ability to impact the world.
Personally, although I found some of the specifics of their viewpoints a little wacky (and in particular some of them are disturbingly anti-psychology), I found the overall ideas that they raised useful. That is to say: for your average person I think the best course of action is to just "absorb what is useful and discard the rest" when reading their discussions.
All "optimistic" sci-fi is reliant on a utopian fantasy in some form, I wouldn't be looking to sci-fi authors to actually have a workable recipe for how to achieve any given desired societal outcome..
Divorce-from-reality-as-virtue was stupid back when Aristotle was using triangular models of falling objects and it even is stupider now. I don't get how so many supposedly smart, educated people fall for things which are so obviously complete and utter bullshit.
Fossil fuels are the easiest and most effective way of powering transport at the moment (and pretty much the only game in town for air travel). Doesn’t mean they aren’t a massive problem.
The "down" arc: thalidomide, Chernobyl, Challenger, oil crisis, "Silent Spring", global warming, and the rise of environmentalism.
(someone have that graph about all the good things stagnating in 1971?)
Environmentalism and precautionary principle thinking in general steer away from techno-optimism by asking "what could go wrong with this?"
The content analysis of each film and TV show was generated with the ChatGPT 4o large language model. [..] So the content analysis for each film and TV show – as well as the short explanation of its answer – are based on ChatGPT 4o’s responses.
I immediately discounted everything I'd just read. I cannot imagine doing this work manually, but I also cannot imagine believing that these effects are real based on ChatGPT's determination.
Maybe that's just indicative of my current "AI" cynicism, but it was remarkable to me how immediately my opinion changed.
Would you still think about this and feel that you have learnt something?
Disclaimer: I don't think it is a good idea not to reveal usage of AI. I just feel it is wrong to dismiss what you learnt just because you read something from an LLM. It is not about something you read being absolutely true or having mistakes or whatever, it is about what happened in your mind, what you take from that experience.
Is this fiction or non-fiction? If it's fiction, then sure, yes, enjoy the ride. You can let it change the way you think a little.
If you're going to act on it? No. It's like reading a scientific paper and discovering an error in the statistical work: it invalidates the whole thing and you need to forget it.
Too many people these days are taken in by clever little just-so stories on social media that have no more validity than Rudyard Kipling's animal stories.
(On the other hand, as a piece of media criticism it's totally fine! The observation about pessimism is not new and seems valid even if it isn't and can't be "objective". Separate issue.)
And where do you draw the line of invalidating errors and not so important errors (Sorites Paradox)?
This said, there are cases where a contradiction undermines the whole thing. I am a legal and one law professor warned us students, if we say A is valid but not A as well, he will dismiss the complete answer.
Once I got a contradictory information from a government agency and I was forced to follow up with a request for clarification. That's bad.
After all, animal stories like Rudyard Kipling's have a long history of providing people with tools for thinking about life and social issues.
Does the author of this piece post their dataset? That would allow people to cross-check the results from GPT and see to what extent they think it got it right or wrong.
Categorizing 200 films based on ~10 attributes by reading their wikipedia overviews feels like it would be not significantly more work than building the fancy scrolling visualisation itself.
If there were 1000 films being analysed then I'd definitely be looking for some sort of tooling to help (or crowd sourcing the analysis)
Are a content analysis of films supposed or expected to be Truth - with a capital T? Can they be? We are in the realm of fictional narrative as to what concerns the films. Granted, all fiction and narrative must have a connection with Reality - i.e. 'the real world' (however that may be defined) - anything else is impossible. However, fiction is a playground where you can play with the concepts that exists in Reality, in ways which we cannot do in Reality itself [note]. So it is by nature 'detached' from (but coupled to) Reality.
As ChatGPT is an AI language model, is it reasonable to assume that what it can and will produce is always a narrative? Even when asked to make a computer program, are ChatGPT producing 'factual code' or a narrative written as code? Albeit, a narrative that can actually be run through a compiler?
If ChatGPT produces narratives, then the question is not whether analysis of science fiction films are True or False, it is a question of how good the narrative is - i.e. its quality ... I think?
And here only humans can judge the quality of the narrative. It is currently impossible for an AI language model to evaluate a narrative (I contend), as its evaluation will itself be a narrative... (this may be where our humans minds are currently being tricked by our own human invention, the 'AI'...)
So in a way, does a film analysis narrative made by an AI language model about a science fiction film not become science fiction in itself? It is the knowledge about the premise of the analysis narrative that becomes important. But then the premise is important everywhere we meet narratives? It this obvious or non-obvious?
My head is slightly spinning here... as it seems to me that the film analysis is in itself a narrative and is visually presented in a format that shows and indicates a narrative...?
[note] This 'playing' with reality may actually feed back into Reality, and often does. Here I do not relate to entire branches of narrative which is intentionally made to make feedback to reality e.g. so called 'news' (at least modern news and journalism) and political influence/propaganda.
The "you read that on the internet?" attitude, aka "wikipedia isn't a source"
This feels like some sort of sci-fi film already.
Frankly, my "input" related criticisms are more around IMDB rankings and whatever criteria ended up with "Despicable Me" being considered a science fiction film.
Words don’t change depending whether they’re true or false but I would hope it’s clear their value does.