Yeah, martyr effect is likely it seems.
[1] https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presi...
Relatedly, the US election timeframe is ridiculous.
If a party can’t get its voters to come out - especially reluctant voters, that can make a big difference. If you are a Democrat but aren’t that keen on Biden and you think he’ll win your area anyway, you might lot bother with the half hour trip, and that might swing the election.
Trump proved in two minutes that whatever else you can say about him, he's very capable of responding well to pressure.
Unfortunately, the election was absolutely decided today.
What capability he showed? Knowing you are guarded by tens and hundreds of officers, anyone would raise a fist.
No, it would not be easy and far from common to take that in apparent stride so quickly as he did. It was indeed impressive regardless of what you think of Trump the candidate in all other regards. You saying anyone would raise a fist is absurd.
Come on, it's not like the world hasn't watched Trump's tweets in the past eight years.
Trump was unable of decisive action between 12noon and 5pm on January 6th, despite being commander in chief of the Army, the National Guard, Air Force, and all the powers that be.
He was so unable of decisive action, it was Mike Pence who eventually made the call to ask for National Guard for help.
4+ hours of inaction. And you call a fist-pumping photo-op to be the thing you care about?
Had Trump done what you have suggested here, it could have been easily construed as a coup, the real kind.
The Joint Chiefs had publicly announced 6 months prior during BLM riots that if Trump would issue such an order to the Sec. Def., the generals and staff officers of the COCOM wouldn't execute it. And that was not two weeks before investiture of the new president.
If he'd tried it, that would be a very short lived coup of the real kind.
I don't disagree with you. I merely wanted to add that whatever anybody is saying left or right, it probably wouldn't have worked had he tried an actual coup. From a rational POV I don't really understand all the brouhaha.
Compared to a lot of other situations elsewhere, Jan 6th was a minor spectacle, nothing serious (see Yellow Vests protests in France).
But instead, Trump gave us hours of inaction. Precious hours wasted during the time we needed leadership most.
I'm not planning on voting such an indecisive man into office.
You know, long after Pence authorized the National Guard units and activated them?
Shaky Trump had his chance to prove he was a decisive leader back then. He failed the test in the most spectacular fashion.
Really not wanting to defend Trump here - a dictator in the making - but you should be aware of your own biases. Elections are mostly not decided on rational choices _you_ would make based on _your_ perspective and _your_ logic, any of which might have many failings.
So yes, that fist pumping photo is _that_ important and will probably get Trump a 10+ percentage points of vote, and the win, because unless the DNC pulls a rabbit out of their hat, OTOH you have an elderly tired old man with terminal Parkinson's whose own party is trying to get rid of at the last minute.
Otherwise, there's not much point in discussion or truth discovery.
When has any scandalous Trump story damaged him? The access Hollywood tape came out weeks before the 2016 election and he still got elected.