The Coming Labor Shortage Is Not Good News
theatlantic.com
theatlantic.com
What is this person talking about?
How else are we supposed to make real wage gains?
(Global population boom over the last several decades was an artifact of lack of access to family planning and contraception access along with empowerment and agency [2]; that population was squeezed by economic systems, systems which will now need to face the consequences of humans having agency and autonomy to choose not to have children, which otherwise would’ve been extracted from as adult workers and taxpayers [3] [4] [5])
[1] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu...
[2] https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate#what-explains-the-...
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_purpose_of_a_system_is_wha...
[4] https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2024-002.pdf
> “Once a woman receives enough information and autonomy to make an informed and self-directed choice about when to have children, and how many to have, she immediately has fewer of them, and has them later.”
https://www.amazon.com/Empty-Planet-Global-Population-Declin...
> Our findings suggest that continued trends in female educational attainment and access to contraception will hasten declines in fertility and slow population growth. A sustained TFR lower than the replacement level in many countries, including China and India, would have economic, social, environmental, and geopolitical consequences. Policy options to adapt to continued low fertility, while sustaining and enhancing female reproductive health, will be crucial in the years to come.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... | https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2
* Ozimec does mention this, contrary to the hed
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40894962
But going back to your point, efficient energy pricing--fossil as well as renewable -- are maybe another (contemporary) example of innovation-reducing, uh, habits (/grooves)
Personally, you might be excited by the parallel prospect of LLMs as nonsolutions to the perennial problem of academic wage depression