MMP at 25: how proportional representation changed New Zealand forever
stuff.co.nz
stuff.co.nz
Reading this doesn't raise my hopes unfortunately. Seems like a series of happy accidents that eventually broke through the self-interest of the politicians.
Is this a dumb take?
As under PR there is no/little consequence of splitting into a new party.
As an analogy, imagine if open source prevented forking by ensuring if you forked nobody could find you.
All PR has some negative consequences to be sure - they are not absolutely perfect - but I would argue on balance better.
Some say PR requires compromise. To my mind this is a feature. If the voting public don't give an absolute and clear majority then what they're saying is maybe your mandate isn't great. How about we limit you to just the issues where there is clear cross-party consensus. Rather than being reckless with a "majority" (which under FPTP could be well under 51% of population)
However this happens in FPTP as well, they're just called wedge issues.
Obviously a view on abortion shouldn't dictate a parties view on tax. In FPTP it does dictate that implicitly where as in MMP it would be explicitly negotiated as part of a support agreement between two or more parties (to varying degrees, i.e. explicit suppport, or perhaps supporting a bill to the point it will be voted on while allowing a conscience vote by their members).
Tory leader David Cameron's solution to this was to undercut UKIP support by offering a referendum on leaving the EU, their core policy. Eurosceptic voters would be appeased by the offer, and return to the mainstream Conservative fold, but the anticipated Remain victory would confirm Cameron's business as usual leadership.
This did not happen.
The moral here is that far from stopping a dominant party agreeing to the demands of a fringe party, FPTP itself led directly to a fringe party being able to pressure a dominant party into lurching towards an extreme position. It is a stupid system.
Of course it's a major change to the system of government and never going to happen.