We're neither disembodied brains nor bodies in isolation of basic needs like shelter or desires for energy-intensive conveniences, so I challenge that we should try to assess energy consumption in the way you're proposing. The outcome and the inputs required to get to it are the two relevant variables IMO.
Being consistent, though, I should've included the amortized cost of training and the energy cost of the rest of the data center to the 4o analysis. I don't think that those costs would be more than a factor constant greater.
When we can create disembodied brains that don't have needs for shelter and desires for energy-intensive conveniences, I buy that we can do 10% of the energy accounting.