you should probably have a kid
benexdict.io
benexdict.io
And also, humans probably overshot on reproduction in the 20th century. It was 5-10x growth. Cutting back and focusing on quality for a century or two seems like a good idea.
Trying to proselytize or raise a crisis about fertility is pointless.
"A Troublesome Inheritance" https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00G3L7VFM/ref=kinw_myk_ro...
"A Farewell to Alms" https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B001EQ4OLA/ref=kinw_myk_ro...
"Human Diversity" https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B07Y8K5FX8/ref=kinw_myk_ro...
Read the citations and go from there.
The context was about the lack of science popularization, and he took the example of this book and his author, which he copiously insulted, and said it was exactly the reason why scientists do not trust journalists and avoid them, because while being ignorantly misquoted and misunderstood isn't a good feeling, being approached with bad intentions and being misread and misquoted on purpose in order to push political agenda is worse. I would have to research more on why this book in particular was on his mind, but i would bet that most geneticists think this book is hogwash.
I said "read the citations and go from there", meaning: you'll find the names of researchers, the names of journals, and keywords to search for; and looking up citation indices will help further.
To be honest, I mostly asked because i thought i had missed a new study between 2019 and today, so giving me pre-2015 books wasn't helpfull :/
Or historical equivalence when David Ricardo, in response to Malthusian population doom disaster predictions pointed out that increasing rents causes smaller families.
I feel this time it's different isn't reason itself.
I don't have a strong opinion one way or another, but a half century without a growing population seems like it'll cause some changes/consequences for investment and retirement.
Will the overall stock market grow faster than inflation when there aren't more customers to buy stuff? Can you actually save for retirement when your investments don't grow?
I have no idea how things will change, but it's not obvious that quality of life will improve.
If it was, it would have been corrected already.
2. The way this problem has been self correcting in history was through the destruction of the society through calamity or conquest and someone new moving in either with actual new people or with a new ruling regime. Neither of those sound like any fun to me, I'd rather people change the prevailing custom through discourse, as this article is attempting to do.
But- if you're sure the answer is no, it's no - no judgment.
I don’t really have a point, just reflecting.
Do you have any insight into why you feel that way?
From basically the very moment you realize you're having a kid you essentially become the #2 person in your own life. Its more so for the mother, but even the father likely needs to do some maturing in preparation to being a good dad.
If you're hoping to be a good parent you need to start weighing every decision on a basis of where it leads to. There's simple things like affordability: deciding to make smarter financial decisions because you're going to be supporting another human for the next couple decades at least. There's more complex things like suddenly seeing your own health as a liability and needing to straighten yourself out if you want to set a good example. Things get way easier if your life has structure honestly. Having good habits about food prep, cleaning, chores makes things way easier and bad habits really make life more difficult than it needs to be.
You also need to adapt quickly. You realize that you don't define your schedule any longer. Whether you sleep at night is up to the kid. As they grow from baby to toddler you start to see how the fundamental things like routine have impacted your child and you can begin to make connections to how you did things 6 months ago impacts how things are going now. Self reflection is huge, knowing how your emotions, your reactions, your behavior is a template this person learns from humbles you.
That makes a lot of sense.
Hats off to those keeping it together full-time.
However we encourage single mothers in a positive way is worthwhile.
To a person, they spent many years trying to be "responsible adults" and then they feel they've given something up, they've missed something. They suddenly (sometimes when the kids leave the house and sometimes before) want to act like kids themselves and have adventures of self-discovery! 50 is not 20. It's a bit unseemly.
I wonder if mid-life crises happen because of parenthood.
I posted this story few weeks ago. Story + comments will shed some light on why people in the U.S. (and other developed countries) are not having kids.
Much of the value system of the liberal west and the westernized world (i.e. what we call the modern world these days) is, if not explicitly anti-natalist, implicitly anti-natal. That is it values other things, like personal achievement and self-actualization over having children and all that entails (e.g. self sacrifice). This is the value system I grew up in, and I see the result. My dad had 35 first cousins, and the seven total cousins (including my siblings and me), have produced only seven offspring.
I really think we're in an interesting situation with current falling fertility worldwide and the prospect of declining world population. In a world with a shrinking, graying population, tight-knit subcultures with pro-natal value systems will be in a very strong position. They will grow rapidly as a share of population.
Furthermore, they will be youthful and vibrant when the rest of the world is old and getting older, which should afford better protection against youth attrition than they have today. In 2124, a young person leaving their, Mormon, or Traditionalist Catholic, or Ultra-orthodox Jewish community for the secular world may feel less like a small town kid moving to the city and more like a kid leaving the city to live in a an economically depressed small town.
In democratic societies these communities will also have growing political power. We see this today in Israel, where secular women's total fertility rate is 1.9, while Haredi (ultra-orthodox) women's TFR is around 6. The Haredim was a microscopic minority at the founding of Israel and now they are a voting bloc big enough to topple governments.
My original comment in that thread highlighted this.
> People keep pointing to how "expensive" it is to have kids, however I see rich, well off people having fewer and fewer kids. I really think deep down the reasons are social and societal. The decline of the family system, religion, and traditional values have all led to this.
Look around. People just don't want kids (no matter the money). They don't like to admit this but they find it burdensome. They want "freedom". At least this is my observation.
I find this to be more common in America than in other western countries.
As one American friend put it: "Americans love their granite counter tops more than they love their children".
#1 reason not to have a kid: the apparently universal and irresistible urge to constantly tell other people about the latest unremarkable thing your unremarkable kid did and how proud it made you
Notice how many desks will have pictures of and/or drawings/things from kids but their partners are absent or minimally featured.
It's clearly an expression of love for the author's child, but it's wrapped in a selfish sentiment in our modern world.
Most people that are not trying to have children have chosen so either because they know they cannot afford to give a child a good life, or because they loathe to bring a new life into the quickly deteriorating world around them.
Or, maybe it's because raising children is hard, and expensive on top of that, both in revenue costs (which eats into your hobbies and indulgences) and opportunity costs (that time could be spent on your career, that money could be invested into your business or credentials, etc.)
I'm not trying to imply that people who don't want kids are selfish, because those are legitimate reasons. I just don't think everyone who's abstaining from having children is doing so purely because they think it's because the kid would be better off never having been born.
If you're unsure, spend time with parents. See the work they put in. Determine if you can live with that.
Everything the OP said isn't necessarily wrong (I don't have kids but have heard similar sentiments), but they are glossing over the ABSOLUTE INSANE FUCKTON of work that he/she/they've put in up to this point.
If it was something like, “kids are pretty good but we still get to hang out with friends and do some sports and dancing like we always did”, I think it would be a better pitch.
I do have kids, so consider me a single data point that what OP describes is not universal. I certainly haven't experienced anything even remotely describable as a "mystical oneness of all things" despite having 4 children.
If you prefer data, 20% of fathers are classified as "absent" by the US census SIPP.
This line sticks out to me:
you see life as a collection of experiences to be sampled
...because I feel like that was my hardest adjustment to becoming a parent while the vast majority of my friend circles are either single or DINKs. You very quickly become a sideline to many people. You get invitations to join the pint after work, to go hit up the trails each weekend, to travel, to do frivolous things on a whim but you just...can't anymore. I think I struggled with that transition for a long time. Partially worried I would lose my friends and become isolated, partially the FOMO of no longer being able to partake on all the things that were most enjoyable to me.But thinking about it at this point? I've lost a few friends (not in a breakup sort of way, they just slowly faded out) but the ones who stick around were always those I was closest to. I do miss out on a lot more of the hobbies I once loved but at the same time I've traded those for experiences that are new, different, and fulfilling in their own ways. I've truly been a believer that the best reward always comes after a period of suffering or struggle. In the same way that cold glass of water feels like heaven after a strenuous workout that immense feeling of reward when your kid takes first steps, first words, first sentence just crush all other emotions and swell you with joy and love. Is 2 years of hard work worth that immense wash of emotion? Arguably yes. And I hope to keep getting hit with those experiences.
I've never been shy to say it isn't something for everyone. You sacrifice a lot to have kids. Financially, physically, emotionally, mentally, it all takes a toll, but the rewards are also so much deeper than anything else.
Readers of this site are strongly technical people. Family and community are crucial components in the operating system of society.
The benefits to your technical tasks at hand will be indirect, but they will obtain.
Even if children of your own are undesirable for the spectrum of reasons, adoption is worthy, and even supporting other parents second-hand is beneficial.
Grow the soul.