Nailed it.
Block chain has no use.
AI and quantum hage obvious uses if they work.
Quantum is not close to working now. It's where AI was at in the 80s/90s.
AI may not be perfect but there is no denying that the GPTs were a dramatic shift.
IT was a massive leap forward for a 50 year old idea.
IF it takes another 50 years to make a leap of equal size, we might get to AGI before the heat death of the the universe.
> I don't see how AI, quantum and block chain are at all equivalent.
If we shut them off tomorrow what do YOU need to replace in your life without them?
A translator and editor would be nice? I use GPT to give feedback on my writing. It works well, especially suggesting other ways to word things. This is something I didn't even know I needed.
There are all kinds of other uses. It has offered advice to me on programming language design, approaches to math proofs, etc.
Again, I don't NEED these things, but yes it makes it a lot easier to have that there.
Just like I don't NEED google. I could scan through hundreds of thousands of websites or hire someone else to do it. But it's just easier to do that myself.
AI is nowhere close to delivering on its promises. But it's pretty useful for many tasks.
Quantum computers are vaporware. Quantum sensors are already here and game-changing. But just like AI, has failed to live up to hype.
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Crypto is already here and makes good on its promises: decentralized finance.
Full disclosure: I do not own any crypto besides negligible sums in forgotten wallets.
It's not that there is any claim to equivalency, its that these are the technology trends that are most useful - the trend itself, nevermind any sort of usable technology - for those who grift.
There's a difference between something being an extremely hyped development and it being an actual grift down to the core. The internet was an extremely overhyped development, but ultimately not a grift. Cryptocurrency was, to a large extent, both. Whether generative AI is one or the other won't be apparent until a bubble truly starts growing.
Most people don't really comprehend how much money there is in the hands of people at the top that just... falls down to whatever random stuff those people are getting worked up about at the moment. The vast majority of it ends up being nonproductive and it really does get allocated based on what those people see in their Twitter feeds. This is a much more pronounced problem than it was 20 years ago because of all the money printing governments have done, in general if you are connected to the government and banks, you will be the largest beneficiary of that type of action. None of this stuff is really subjected to market economics, it either flows through some kind of government/NGO bureaucracy or from someone who controls a monopoly or something similar to one. The waste and inefficiency in this modern pseudo-command-economy is mind blowing to behold.