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Yes that’s accidental gambling. Or what i like to call “at the right place at the right time”.

Ask a Yahoo employee how that same plan would have worked out for them.

That being said, good for you. :)

Mostly agreed, but as an employee you do have some semblance of material non-public information that gives you a structural edge in assessing the stock. (This probably works better at a 1k-5k company than a Google/FB, but I can't say because I haven't worked at the big faangs).

I've benefited financially from having a good sense of how well things are going and holding/selling accordingly (within the confines of the law and blackout periods, of course).

> non-public information that gives you a structural edge in assessing the stock

This can also cut the other direction too. I had a slightly negative sentiment about Google during my tenure there due to the organization I was in. When earnings call season rolled around it didn't matter since the ads revenue line always dominated everything else.

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