There are only ~2300 Series C companies.
You're going to need to be this size to have a ~$100M+ exit.
There's about ~5 years between funding Series C and Series D [1].
Only ~55 Series C companies got funding in Q1 [2].
Only ~39 Series D companies got funding in Q1 [1].
You're going to have a MAX of about ~.7 * ~2300 * 1/5 = ~322 successful > $100M VC exits per year.
Ultimately, you really need to IPO to have a successful exit - and there's only ~257 per year total, only ~65% of which are VC = ~167.
~5% of FAANG is L7+ - if you're including Microsoft, Nvidia, AirBNB and all the other companies with FAANG-like pay - you're at >2M employees.
That's ~100k If the average tenure is ~10 years before retirement - you're looking at ~10k per year.
Okay - it's about ~100 per successful exit.
[1] https://carta.com/blog/state-of-private-markets-q3-2023/
[2] https://www.mosaic.tech/saas-startup-funding/series-c