OpenAI Welcomes Sarah Friar (CFO) and Kevin Weil (CPO)
openai.com
openai.com
Sarah was thought of as the person who "ran" Square, and Kevin is thought of as one of the strongest product leaders.
They'd both be in my top 3 worldwide hires I'd try to make for these roles.
Landing her is a huge victory for OpenAI, and I wish her all the best.
Failing upwards would be her announcing she's raised money for a new start-up at which she will be CEO. (EDIT: To be clear, I'm agreeing with you.)
Instead, she's going back to where she has a track record. It would be like Musk selling Twitter. Or David Marcus going back to 2001 [1].
Isn't it fair to look at share price under their leadership? What other objective measures do we have of their management abilities? We take the OP's word for it that they're the best? Or is this like sports teams recycling the same 30 coaches?
This.
The valley is nothing but a machine. Feed young engineers in one end and spit unicorns out the other. The same players make it all go.
The platform shaping communication is a fact, but not a license to use it to program a worldview. The job of a general-purpose platform is to enable communication, but otherwise stay out of the way.
I don't use it a lot. But my Nextdoor is basically pictures of animal sightings, pictures of pets who got out and pictures, a few hours later, of them being found.
However, driving third-party innovation does not relieve OpenAI of the need to create consumer-facing applications like ChatGPT. If OpenAI was to remain exclusively a back-end API business, it would be leaving itself vulnerable to disintermediation as competition from other model providers like Meta enable swapping out the back end. I believe Kevin was brought in to make sure OpenAI has its own relevant front end innovation so that disintermediation is less of a threat.
This could have been a description of Facebook circa 2010, for a brief moment, everyone was happy with the arrangement.
Inevitably, the platform will start competing with the developers who "innovate" on top of it in order to gain additional revenue; see 2024 Facebook which is no longer a platform by most measures, or the many apps that got Sherlocked by Apple. The countdown clock has started ticking for OpenAI-wrapper products/startups, starting with the ones with the most revenue and/or utility.
The moment that every one who gave a shit about safety quit OpenAI you should have understood that there was no AI coming.
This has always been, and will always be about the money.
The google engineer who was saying google had AGI. The MS paper saying GPT had hints of AGI. The MS deal "you can have everything up to AGI".
The approach was one where a big enough model could be made to feed back in on it self (Q*). If we feed enough data into a big enough model then it will "tip over" and turn into AGI, or sentient or sapient... The problem is that this doesn't work, it never would have worked, the math does not support it. Pointing it back at it self doesn't get you more it gets you an ouroboros.
Why do you sign a deal "up to AGI" if you dont think you're close to AGI? They did, they were high on their own supply, reality set in, people look foolish, and they moved on.
Edit: Nevermind, looks like it's just a way to hype then!
M$ gets everything OpenAi does till they reach AGI.
The deal is "give me everything till you have that baby"
Unless of course you don't actually believe that.
https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8047
(N.b. in the ex-employee author's pdf article mentioned above, a page dedicates his pdf to Ilya, who is also out of the company, so in context it's a pointed statement writing that dedication IMO)
I tend to believe the plateau theory, given how AI development has occurred over the last several decades with huge leaps forward followed by winters.
Combined with the author's evident belief that facilely restating the concept of hard-takeoff singularity (as "AI can replace an machine learning engineer by...") suffices to change the nature of the basic claim he's making, I didn't see any pressing need to read further. Singularitarian sophistry is hardly novel in 2024, and at this late date retains no meaningful capacity even to entertain.
Scott Aaronson (the blogger above) is a professor and definitely is more sanguine towards the written article.
Dave Patterson (the Turing award professor of computer architecture) was interviewed last week, he said "We don't know what will happen!" or something like that: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YxVQsLA2ats&t=2045s
One of my own professors (a CS theoretician ) said, at an AI seminar last year, that there seem to be no known barriers left to AGI (paraphrasing).
Actually I'm personally on the fence, so while the pdf article discussed is not rigorous enough, it makes some interesting high-level arguments. One of them is that the recent growth needs to hit some threshold - this argument is not a continuous argument the way you had mentioned.
They were, for all practical purposes, acquired. The alignment group served its role in underligning that OpenAI was building Really Serious Stuff. There's no marginal benefit to having them around at this point, given their PR purpose has been fulfilled.
Seems like a lot of reasons why you would build a product, even if you think you're build a super AI.
OpenAI CPO: Kevin Weil, Instagram VP of Product 2016-2018 [1]
Anthropic CPO: Mike Krieger, Instagram Cofounder and CTO 2010-2018 [2]
OpenAI VP Consumer Product: Peter Deng, Instagram Head of Product 2013-2015 [3]
[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevinweil/
Kevin known mainly for his work at Instagram and Sarah for her work at Square.
Also implies that agi and some of the broader ideas might not come online for a few years.
This, OTOH is a just a simple straightforward C-Suite. Sam is the boss, and he hired two reports to handle areas where they have expertise. This might be the simplest corporate thing OpenAI has ever done, lol.
It's a pretty reasonable question for both of them. Perhaps more for the CFO, given what we know of Altman's, er, lack of candour with the board where money is concerned. But maybe given the "Her" debate it applies to both of them, in different ways.
Is this a company where the executives can really be more than rubber stamps?
But in the grand scheme of things, I don't think it's in their top 15 priorities. People here talk as if the Her thing was almost an existential threat to Altman's leadership.
† See Apple's recent apology for their ad. Do you think Tim Cook or his executives lose sleep because of the backlash? https://edition.cnn.com/2024/05/09/tech/apple-apologizes-for...
And we got a wrapper around ChatGPT 4 + a cloudy-ish dystopian spyware-like copy of Copilot+ that sends your screenshots and activity to a "secure cloud".