Tiny number of 'supersharers' spread the majority of fake news
science.org
science.org
Too many people get very angry that people share things they disagree with, and then start talking about clamping down on communication. No, sorry, but your ideas lost. People are allowed to think and share things that make you angry. If your views aren't mainstream, there's a reason for that. "Fake news" is only a tiny part of the equation. If you pick up that censorship weapon, that we all implicitly agree to not use, you will not be the last to wield it.
This is absolutely the correct take, but also an idea that is unconscionable to the majority of people in government and other institutions involved in setting policies today.
Your argument rests on the presumption that we have some kind of Oracle that can divine true information from false.
> rooted out and treated like the cancer you're choosing to be
It's cool that you think humans have changed in nature significantly from the time of the Inquisitions, but when you speak like this about people it's pretty clear we haven't.
Not wrong, but when others' mis- and ill-formed view of the world starts effecting others then some kind of action needs to happen:
* https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html
* https://www.cdc.gov/measles/about/history.html
* https://www.cbc.ca/news/health/canada-measles-outbreak-vacci...
Removal of a few super spreaders is infinitely more feasible than having everyone else change their behavior
They aren't a tool to identify fake news just an additional information layer which you either trust or xou don't.
>If your tools are poor, make better tools
If you are a bad painter buy better brushes.
You solution doesn't give the people the tools you still have just a source which claims to show what's true.
The real tool is the user himself using his brain. But that's hard to achive.
Most social media interactions about status plays, "buy my stuff" grifting, and - most of all - tribal identity politics and affirmations of belonging and identification.
With fake news there's also a fair amount of narcissistic contrarianism.
All of this passed through an online culture optimised for engagement through dopamine hits, rage, fear, and grudge farming, quick-hit entertainment, and other addictive mechanisms.
The real motivation in all of this is emotional self-soothing, not a desire for accurate facts.
So gluing "This isn't true" on any of that won't make a difference, because the problem is structural.
Fake News is a cultural and emotional exploit. It reflects cultural values, and it needs cultural and psychological defences.
Some options include better accountability for mainstream journalism; finding healthier income models that don't rely on addictions and ad tech; teaching media literacy in schools; and generally tidying up online media toxicity at all levels.
A normal adult needs to use to many tools and chase so many different types of education by themselves, off the top of my mind: financial, real estate, health, technology, purchasing habits, utilities providers, news and misinformation, nutrition, commonly applied scams.
Maybe we should just make taking advantage of people illegal, and prosecute those that do it.
How do you define this in law?
Many of us tap-tap on keyboards and charge people thousands of dollars per week for that. Are we taking advantage of them? We then watch as the staff who works hard to clean our office buildings make 1/10th of what we make. Are we taking advantage of them? If someone comes to my house on a weekend and charges me double the normal price to unclog my toilet or get my heat working again, am I being taken advantage of? If there’s a shortage of generators in an area and I drive in a truckload of them from hundreds of miles away and make them available at a profit to myself, am I taking advantage?
Different people will have legitimately differing opinions on questions above. “Make it illegal to take advantage of people via laws” is much easier to say than to do.
When you teach people to recognise fake news they will be able to recognise your fake news. What you want is to cut people from enemy fake news (or truth, they are enemy, it doesn't matter) so they will believe everything you say while enemy can't influence them.
If you want nobody in your country to read any news procured by China/Russia, this kind of defeats the original idea. You've now built something else entirely - like a glorified teletext or minitel.
The Man® want us to only read his fake news to be able to get away with whatever they wanna push.
One fundamental precondition for a functional democracy is the right to be wrong, since that is judged arbitrary anyways.
The problem with manipulation stems from algorithmic ad feeds anyways. E.g. chronological 'my friends only' feeds did not have that problem.
Hell, even if it was adults given some training for self-control, the vast majority of them will dip into the sweets table from time to time.
People are really good at rationalization, such that even if they know up-front which choice was fake news and which was not, I bet you'd similarly observe a significant fraction (if not majority or super majority) of people choosing the fake news to feel better.
Sadly, I'm unaware of any real solutions to the fake news problem that don't make things even worse.
It's something I keep coming back to, and I'm really not sure how to resolve it.
Do those people do a good job? Kinda - they tend to get everything uniformly wrong and sometimes they really screw something up, but in general they land more often than not in reasonable compromises. And while your Senator may be a corrupt idiot, the people in their staff may be okay and steer them generally in a sane direction.
"fake news" typically amounts to false rumors, amplifying unprovable/unsubstantiated claims. That's what needs to stop, and what is greatly damaging discourse.
I would be delighted to read about opposing opinions, provided they are presented + supported by provable facts.
Opinion
a view or judgment formed about something, not necessarily based on fact or knowledge.They do need to be compatible with factual reality, otherwise they're called delusions.
[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/Anarchy101/comments/pyfhzb/please_e... (Sorry for the Reddit link, it's the most succinct explanation I could find)
Like the Steele dossier or the rumor of a pee-pee tape [1].
Look, Id love to silence Rachel Maddow as much as the next guy, but there is no objective function to reliably do that without also silencing inconvenient truths (Mai Lei massacre, fake WMD, Biden's corruption, etc).
[1] That's when I knew power was out to get Trump by any means. Journos seriously reporting that a hotelier is unaware that top hotels are riddled with bugs? Bullshit.
It was literally all lies, just proven in court, and the producer just apologized to one of the subjects for those lies and pulled it from distribution.
When one of the primary architects of right-wing strategy advocates a key tactic of "flooding the zone with bullshit", that side has no complaint. Particularly when that tactic is derived specifically from Russian dezinformatsiya techniques, where the goal is not to get people to believe the lies (the few who do are a bonus), but to exhaust reason and get people to give up and say "we can't tell what is true". At that point, they are most manipulable.
[0] https://www.npr.org/2024/05/31/g-s1-2298/publisher-of-2000-m...
[1] https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/31/media/salem-will-stop-distrib...
I think it is incorrect to call such tactics "Russian dezinformatsiya techniques". It's rather "leftist techniques". Putin just uses it because he was a member of communist party and KGB and was taught it this way.
So, unless you want "The Epoch Times" to be included with the truth censors, your donkey movie is not at all like my examples.
Btw, these lies I listed cost millions of lives in the third world. But Im old fashioned like that. I still think Black/Brown lives matter.
No one can be trusted, unfortunately, including trusted sources, or platforms or governments. All of the above will abuse their trust when things prove difficult, trust be damned.
[1]https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/28/health/nih-officials-foia...
The first one has an expiration date in the (unknown) future. The second one has one that’s already in the past.
Thirdly there’s the category of "still useful but not true" like Newtonian physics.
If the private communications matched the public ones and there were no efforts to obfuscate, then the best conclusion would be they just called it wrong.
I didn't see any emails where they were showing agreement with a different set of facts than what they were communicating to the public? Open to seeing sources behind that claim though.
You think CDC et al didn’t know they had limited public credibility with which they could guide public behavior? These people live and breathe questions of institutional credibility all day every day. They obviously know their careers are put at risk even by being wrong never mind by lying.
Same is true for Hunter Biden's laptop story.
Many more examples could be found.
I hadn't heard this yet. Unbelievable. And yet all of the sites I found it on from a quick search have at some point in the past been branded "fake news." In fact, one source, the New York Post, was falsely branded "Russian disinformation" on the eve of the 2020 election and suspended from Meta and Twitter, only for its story to be verified subsequently when it had minimal consequence.
Of course it does contain some real content, since it was constructed from a hack of his iCloud account, but that doesn't validate anything else on it and some of the earliest claims about it seemed to involve eg planted child porn. You only find it credible because those were successfully suppressed so hard you don't even remember them.
"In November 2022, CBS News published the results of a forensic analysis they commissioned of a copy of the laptop data Mac Isaac initially handed to federal investigators in 2019. The analysis, conducted by Computer Forensics Services, found data, including over 120,000 emails, "consistent with normal, everyday use of a computer", found "no evidence that the user data had been modified, fabricated or tampered with", and found no new files created on the laptop after April 2019, when Mac Isaac received the laptop. The chief technology officer of Computer Forensics Services added: "I have no doubt in my mind that this data was created by Hunter Biden, and that it came from a computer under Mr. Biden's control". Also on November 21, CBS News published the first photograph of the damaged Macbook Pro, which had been provided to them by Hunter Biden's legal team.
According to reports on January 16, 2024, new filings by the U.S. Department of Justice's special counsel, headed by David C. Weiss, appear to be the first public confirmation of the laptop's authenticity by the DOJ. The filings refer to the laptop connected to Hunter Biden stating, “the defendant’s Apple MacBook Pro, which he had left at a computer store.”"
Is that fake news?
For instance, they said in the same case that a picture of a table saw with sawdust on it was cocaine Hunter Biden was using.
The defense in the case has said some of the material is not authentic (eg https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ded.827...) but it's pretty irrelevant to the case so they are probably not actually going to work this out.
The idea that you can’t trust anyone is part of the ongoing disinformation campaign. Acting like the truth of information is only binary and ignoring the intent, degree of truth, and degree of damage, is a way for politicians who are spreading misinformation intentionally to rationalize doing so by blaming and attacking everyone else just because they try to do the right thing and get it slightly wrong.
We don’t need to trust politicians, we just need to trust each other a little bit. The campaign to sow distrust and polarize voters is working. Don’t let it work on you. Yes, some people are sometimes bad. Don’t forget that people are sometimes good, and most of the country aren’t politicians. Most of the country is decent people trying to get by, and we all pretty much want the same things.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disinformation_attack#Undermin...
Fake news and false rumors are as old as humanity. They are not a problem that needs to be solved, and we certainly don't need governments or media executives acting as arbiters of truth.
That said, the Twitter/X Community Notes feature seems to be working well. It has been refreshing to see (mostly) false claims by prominent public figures debunked.
https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/biden-clai...
How about a child sex ring happening in the basement of a pizza joint that has no basement?
No, your honor, actually, I ducked in to a Quick Mart and came back out two minutes later with a perry. So that is absolutely false.
Are members of Congress clients of prostitute (sorry escorts)? Most likely. Have any engaged in statutory rape? Likely given what we know about the Epsteins. Does that translate into that conspiracy? No. But the worst is now DC points out the ridiculousness of that conspiracy to boohoo the likelihood that some members of Congress and their staff engage in below board activities.
I could be wrong, but I think we're discussing when someone posts something like, "Smoking does not cause cancer."
That's very different.
Mathematics is not applicable to reality by itself. Math can be a tool among others to deal with truths and lies, but it is useless by itself.
> Fake news and false rumors are as old as humanity. They are not a problem that needs to be solved
Why do you think so?
Firstly there is a non sequitur: from "X is old and was not a problem" doesn't follow that "X is not a problem now". Burning coal was not a problem, but it is a big problem now.
Secondly, why do you think that they are not a problem to solve? There are agents that weaponize rumors and fake news. I see no obvious ways to reason, that they will fail inevitably, that we need just wait and watch how they will fail. But if you see a way to prove it (in any meaning of a proof, not necessarily in mathematical one), I'd like to hear it.
> we certainly don't need governments or media executives acting as arbiters of truth.
Are you proposing a radical change on how a democracy works? Any democracy has courts that act as arbiters of truths. Democracy cannot exist without these arbiters. Democracy has parliaments, congresses and suchlike to decide on what is a best way to tackle the current problems. These authorities are also acting as arbiters of truth in some sense.
I believe you want to say, that we cannot trust governments to run uncontrolled, and yes, we cannot. But the problem of limiting powers of governments is an old problem, it has solutions in some specific cases. So now we need to figure out how to control fake news without giving governments too many powers. It will not be easy, but we cannot say it is impossible before we tried.
Claims that the Earth actually revolved around the Sun, including by people like Galileo, tended to have extensive initial flaws (for instance Galileo also incorrectly assumed circular orbits, which causes lots of problems) and were completely unproveable given the technology of the time. So you have somebody saying something hat many would have considered plainly offensive and/or pseudo-scientific, that had negligible public support, that had proveable flaws, that contradicted centuries of expert knowledge, and was also spread by somebody who was in general somewhat anti-social - he initially had extensive support from the powerful Church of the era, but lost it largely through publishing what, for the time, were quite vile insults directed at them for not immediately jumping on board with him. His former relationship is the reason he was able to spend out the remainder of his years in the relative comfort of house arrest.
Obviously any sort of 'new vision' of speech policing that would effectively censor Galileo is a terrible idea. And this isn't just an issue of the past, the person who discovered handwashing/germs faced similar issues among countless other examples that are outside the scope of this post.
A "fact" as a unit of information is itself subject to the whims of people and cultural attitudes. Is it a "fact" that a whale is a mammal? No, it's a fact that the majority of modern biologists classify a group of animals collectively referred to as whales as a member of a group of animals they call mammals. Is it a fact that "X murdered Y"? No, but it is a fact that a group of people working together to investigate agreed to formally write down that X is a murderer and retaliate accordingly. (You can't even say for sure that they all believed that X murdered Y because each may have a different understanding of what "murder" is, or that they had doubts but when along with the vote, etc.)
When people say "I only believe in statements that are supported by facts" they rarely think about the nuances of the "supporting facts". 600 years ago it was a fact that Christ died for our sins, etc.
I believe it's probably true, but it's important to realize that I'm taking the word of these historians and archivists on faith; I've never seen these documents, and I could not verify their authenticity were I allowed access to them.
It's only through careful examinations of what we as individuals can personally verify can we start to identify what kind of informational waters we swim in, and start to protect ourselves from "fake news".
There would be documentation if he existed.
But does this mean one shouldn't be able to publicly express doubt of Jesus' existence? I would say no. Because while there is both overwhelming evidence and consensus, there was also overwhelming evidence and consensus for the Earth being the center of the universe. And the greatest leaps in society's state of knowledge tends to come from the times when these 'things everybody knows' end up simply being wrong.
It's okay to say, or even believe, things that are most likely wrong. The whole point about Freedom is having the Freedom to make choices, even when those choices or views may not be what somebody else would consider appropriate. When such choices become sufficiently detrimental, like theft or murder, we prohibit them by law. But prohibiting having the 'wrong view' just seems very myopic. If you change your view after reading those articles, that's cool. If you don't (or even more likely don't even check them out), that's also cool.
[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sources_for_the_historicity_of...
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* = Interestingly this exact observation led Thomas Jefferson, who created his own sort of sect-of-1 Christianity, to compose his own Bible, the Jefferson Bible [2]. He took all the likely factual context and writings in the bible, and removed all the supernatural aspects of it - essentially turning it into a historical text with moral lessons. Quite a shame no copies remain.
There is. But there's plenty of room in the definition of "fake news" to be biased and to exclude falsehoods that you support.
Even this paper excludes falsehoods propagated by the left, like the Steele Dossier or the claim that Hunter Biden's laptop was fake.
And as expected, some people here are downvoting this, thus proving my fundamental point. Any discussion of "fake news" is inherently political, though perhaps not always consciously.
Edit: and despite all the evidence otherwise, some people still believe in the fake news.
"Data from a laptop that the lawyer for a Delaware computer repair shop owner says was left by Hunter Biden in 2019 – and which the shop owner later provided to the FBI under subpoena – shows no evidence of tampering or fabrication, according to an independent review commissioned by CBS News."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hunter-biden-laptop-data-analys...
The prosecutor in the case against him did recently claim it was real without providing new evidence of that. In the same document, he claimed a picture of sawdust on a table saw was a picture of Hunter Biden doing cocaine.
(Other stories about "Ashley Biden's diary" were also faked, though by different people, and faked in different ways.)
They also keep trying to say that Hunter's glass flute (or maybe its a piccolo?) is a crack-pipe!
Why would he photograph himself with a crack-pipe in his mouth? He wouldn't -- he's obviously practicing his music lessons.
In social science, defining provable facts is also a major problem since very few publications can be replicated. In fact, most provable facts in social science is estimated to be provable false, a fact found by meta studies a while back. A common finding is that the further one goes from pure math, the worse the provable facts become with social science sitting furthers away in the spectrum.
Thus I often see a different and more strict definition of "fake news". Fake news is only when an opinion has been been made with the intention of misleading for political gain, with strong emphasis on the intention aspect. It thus becomes very close to the definition of propaganda, but with additional restrictions. Intentions are also very hard to prove, especially with provable facts.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_Most_Published_Research_Fi...
I would not point to a specific study. Primarily because I would have to dig through a rather long list to find the one that I found "best", but also because in terms of fact finding, its better if people did this independently. "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False" is a good one however.
I think this is true, but it's not because of the distance from pure math. It's a choice made by researchers and journals regarding the standard of evidence required.
Physics demands very strong evidence for publication, a p-value of 5-sigma or more, less than a 1 in a million chance of getting a publishable result from a random experiment.
Social science is typically satisfied with a p-value of 0.05, a 1 in 20 chance of getting a publishable result from a random experiment. That means a whole lot of results are published that are nothing more than the scientific equivalent of dice rolling snake-eyes.
In fact, rolling snake-eyes is less likely (1/36) than getting a publishable result from any given social science experiment (1/20).
Fortunately, this also means it's an easy problem to solve, if the will existed. Simply requiring a much higher standard of proof would filter out a lot of the false social science results.
It’s not so ambitious because it’s dificult to completely avoid facts. Political discourse regularly refers to actual facts ‘Russia invaded Ukraine’ is the kind of thing you can fact check and it passes.
Politics also uses facts in misleading ways. The kind of things where Fact Check goes: “Trump wrongly said the judge wouldn’t allow an “advice of counsel” defense. Before the trial, Trump’s attorneys chose not to seek such a defense, and Merchan held them to that decision.” aren’t what most people refer to as Fake News. From a certain point of view ‘Darth Vader killed your father’ and Social Security may tax income but it’s not income tax because we have a tax called Income Tax yadda yadda.
That is what was defined as fake news and actively censored in our very recent past.
The problem with censoring fake news is that ultimately someone has to decide what is real and what is fake, and once censored, it becomes very difficult to discuss and revise that decision.
What facts was the assertion based on? I've always thought that while possible there wasn't supporting evidence.
If it is presented as a possibility then it is a theory, right?
Slap the word "conspiracy" in front of the word "theory" and then you have a theory which can no longer be discussed in a reasonable manner.
An accidental bio-lab leak does not require any sort of conspiracy.
Wednesday, March 8, 2023
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES COMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND ACCOUNTABILITY SELECT SUBCOMMITTEE ON THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
Excerpt:
"Some say the virus came from nature that, according to recent papers discussed in New York Times, the science is dispositive. Some say it’s too unique, too primed for human transmission, that there’s too much circumstantial evidence that points to COVID–19 coming from a lab. As well, in three years, there’s been no track found to prove that COVID–19 evolved naturally from an animal or a mammal or a tick to become highly infectious to humans. The truth is we don’t know the origins of COVID–19 yet for sure. We don’t have a smoking gun.
First, the science behind COVID–19: the genome of COVID–19 is inconsistent with expectations, and is unique for its group of viruses. COVID–19 has both a binding domain optimized for human cells, and a furin cleavage site, or a small part of the virus that makes it so infectious. That has never been seen before in a SARS-related virus. In other words, COVID–19 has unique characteristics that made it very infectious to humans. These have never been seen before in any other viruses of its type.
Most viral outbreaks are slow and small. CDC data shows SARS infected approximately 8,000 people worldwide, and eight in the U.S. Similar with MERS, which infected approximately 2,000 people worldwide. But COVID–19 was primed for human transmission. It has infected more than 750 million people worldwide. Dr. Redfield, one of our witnesses here today and a virologist, has even said that he believes COVID–19 had a detour from nature to be educated how to infect humans.
Second, the known research occurring in China: We know the Wuhan Institute of Virology was conducting gain-of-function research on novel bat coronaviruses by creating chimeric viruses, combining two viruses together to test infectivity and infecting mice with these viruses, work that former COVID–19 task force coordinator, Dr. Deborah Birx confirmed was, in fact, gain-of-function, contrary to statements by Dr. Fauci. We have learned that the Wuhan Institute has poor biosafety and was conducting this research at only Biosafety Level 2, described as the ‘‘Wild West’’ by Dr. Jeremy Farrar, a virologist from the U.K., now Chief Scientist for the WHO.
We have learned through a leaked DARPA grant application that with U.S. taxpayer backing, the Wuhan Institute proposed inserting furin cleavage sites into novel coronaviruses, the same unique genetic aspect of COVID–19. And we know, according to a State Department fact sheet, the multiple researchers at the Wuhan Institute were sick with COVID–19-like symptoms in the fall of 2019, before the Chinese officially announced the outbreak.
Third, concerning the actions of NIH and EcoHealth Alliance, records show that the National Institutes of Health while the U.S. was under a moratorium on gain-of-function research, exempted EcoHealth Alliance and the Wuhan Institute from this very ban. Records show that the National Institutes of Health allowed EcoHealth to conduct risky research on novel coronaviruses at the Wuhan Institute without going through the potential pandemic pathogen department level review board.
Records show that EcoHealth violated Federal grant policy, and failed to file its five-year progress report for more than two years.
Records show that EcoHealth violated the terms of its grant and failed to report an experiment that resulted in gain-of-function of a coronavirus at the Wuhan Institute.
Fourth, for some reason that we do not yet know, leaders in the scientific community took action to attempt to convince the world that they should not take the lab leak theory seriously. Dr. Francis Collins stated he was more concerned with harm to ‘‘international harmony’’ than he was with investigating the lab leak. Dr. Fauci said the lab leak theory was a ‘‘shiny object that will go away in time.’’
The president of EcoHealth, Dr. Peter Daszak orchestrated a letter in The Lancet that called the lab leak a ‘‘conspiracy theory,’’ a statement that directly benefited Dr. Daszak himself. And four scientists, after a conference call with Dr. Fauci, completely reversed their position. Dr. Kristian Andersen said he found ‘‘the genome inconsistent with evolutionary theory.’’ And Dr. Robert Garry said he ‘‘really can’t think of a possible natural scenario.’’ But a few days later, published a paper saying the exact opposite, a paper based on the new emails we released claim to be prompted by Dr. Fauci himself.
Fifth, the intelligence: FBI Director, Christopher Wray, confirmed publicly that the FBI assessed COVID–19 most likely originated from a lab incident in Wuhan. The Wall Street Journal reported the Department of Energy now also believes a lab leak is the most likely origin. These aren’t run-of-the-mill agencies. The FBI used experts in biological threats and is reportedly supported by the National Bioforensic Analysis Center and the Department of Energy used its own Z Division, experts in investigating biological threats. These are some of the facts as we know them, but there’s so much more to do."
- Hon. Brad R. Wenstrup (chairman of the subcommittee)
https://www.congress.gov/118/meeting/house/115426/documents/...
https://oversight.house.gov/hearing/investigating-the-origin...
---
Here's an info dump on the subject from Swiss Policy Research, a website described by Wikipedia as "a website that has been criticized for spreading conspiracy theories":
https://swprs.org/on-the-origin-of-sars-coronavirus-2/
I'm not presenting this as anything other than a source of information, whether true or not. The site clearly has an agenda, but information is information. The statements there should serve as a jumping-off point for further investigation.
On that note, it looks like Google's algorithm is still boosting official sources on the subject, and is conceivably deboosting sources it deems to be unreliable (I'm not sure if it's controversial to state that online censorship was rampant during the pandemic), so the search for information may be deceptively difficult. You may have better luck with alternative search engines.
DATE: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
TIME: 9:00 AM ET
LOCATION: 2154 Rayburn House Office Building
https://oversight.house.gov/release/wenstrup-to-hold-first-h...
“COVID-19 COULD have leaked from a lab” is perfectly fine. Saying “COVID-19 leaked from a lab” requires evidence or it’s not news even though you claim it is thus the label “Fake” news.
I don’t have any specific solutions for fake news. My interest is more in how the internet and society is evolving rather than what to do about it.
IIRC -- in 2020 any mention of such an idea was met with accusations of racism.
Distrust of the CCP doesn’t link to racism in most western eyes because they don’t differentiate between different Asian groups as distinct races. Race is basically just White, Hispanic, Black, Asian, Native American, and maybe Pacific Islanders.
In addition, most of us a were not there so the determining factor rest on trust. Do we trust russia, or the multiple sources that said russia invaded Ukrain. We do not need the independent quality of a math proof to determine a case like that.
Outlawing war propaganda is way older than censorship of fake news, and have pro and cons are different than those around fake news.
So some though not all Fake News is Propaganda, but a great deal of Propaganda isn’t Fake News either.
Except that it did happen on a minor scale by right-wing militia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Belgorod_Oblast_incursion...
- COVID came from the Wuhan virology lab
-The NIH was funding gain of function research in Wuhan.
- There are rich pedophile businessmen that are pimping out underage girls to be able to blackmail them.
I could go on and on, because those are all horrible unsubstantiated rumours and I am glad we hunted down people who shared them persecuted and hounded them and limited their freedom to share things like that.
Looking back at the output of certain major media outlets during the pandemic, I'd suggest it might an idea to hold everyone to the same standards, regardless of whether the opinion is seen as "opposing" or "mainstream"...
"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so."
It’s basically a DDOS attack. It takes seconds especially with AI to generate bullshit but hours to debunk it.
I certainly haven’t thought of a way to address that imbalance.
Or that Hunter's laptop outlining his old man's corruption was fake?
What do you think are lies that should be censored and how quick are you to identify them?
IIRC the articles had very poor ideas of what Americans would find scandalous because they spent much of their time talking about how big Hunter Biden's penis was.
Even non-political figures who are known to be corrupt will not be prosecuted or pursued because of the difficulty of securing a conviction or simply priorities and limited resources.
When it comes to people to with powerful political connections, you are talking a different level of 'difficulty pursing this case'.
No mystery no story.
It’s like when Bezos responded to a tabloid threatening to post his dick pic and out him for sending one by owning up to it and threatening to post it himself. Based.
Of course this falls apart in this day and age, where many seem to rely on whatever flows thru their social media feeds / reels.
It is certainly a user problem, where we need to counter by educating ourselves to deal with this the new reality of bad actors being common place, educate ourselves and our peers, and permanently solve the social chain of trust-issue in our digital lives with new technical solutions.
China has entered the chat. Obviously HN is a western focused site, but it always fascinates me when people just assume Western ideas of freedom are just a solved problem.
Those freedoms, historically speaking, are very much not just a thing we should all expect will continue in perpetuity. So statements like “your ideas lost” sound a bit childish from a global perspective. Do I hope freedom of speech continues to prevail? Absolutely. Is it just the inevitable conclusion you suggest? Not at all.
It is feasible that a Wild West marketplace of ideas had a tendency to select truth given the communication media from the printing press to social media, and now with social media that dynamic is weaker, nonexistent, or inverted.
And what about people who reject reality itself?
No? We are angry that the firehouse of falsehood is making civil discourse between Americans impossible.
Sneaky of you to slip that in there, new throwaway acct.
Volume is not equal to facts or truth.
Yes, censorship is dangerous.
But the article is NOT an argument for censorship.
Everyone knows the sagacious Mark Twain quote: "A lie will fly around the whole world while the truth is getting its boots on".
Social media puts that effect on rocket fuel. When some cohorts are using that to consistently and disproportionally amplify lies, it is very reasonable to add a small amount of friction, or require someone to prioritize what they repost. This does zero to stop posting lies, it only forces them to select the highest quality — to them — set to repost.
It is no different from the restriction on this Hacker News site; if you post too much here, you get a message like "Please slow down, you're posting too fast.", and you cannot repost for several hours. I have not seen anyone crying "CENSORSHIP!!" over that restriction. I also doubt there exists anyone who would think that the discussion on Twitter is better than HN.
So, why are you crying "CENSORSHIP!!" about a similar proposal for other social media (and be sure to address how a restriction on volume has zero restriction on any specific content)?
Really? It sure looks to me like it's advocating putting limits on people's ability to say things.
It only suggests constraining the rate of broadcasting
You can go to the town square and shout all you want, you'll still be limited by how much you can enunciate in 24 hours. That is not censorship.
Similarly constraining an automated system to act like physical reality is not censorship.
If I constrain WHAT you say in your allotted time, THAT is censorship.
I think what’s wrong about this narrative is the idea that fake news is good for the people spreading it. Like I don’t think that obsessing about the Russia investigation was great for liberals and I think there’s a ton of examples of Republican infighting that is the result of people believing things that aren’t true, and just like factually so. There’s a difference between spreading all sorts of malicious opinions about LGBT; and I’m not happy about that but whatever and the recent story of a woman who got elected to the school board to get the LGBT curricula out of schools, read the whole curricula, realized that there was no LGBT curricula in schools, told her supporters how happy she was to realize that and then was viciously attacked for it. Or the guy who actually attacked a pizza restaurant, or the Romney campaign being surprised they lost in 2012, because they believed a conservative propaganda site performing intentionally biased polling to show a not favorable result.
Like looking at the current American political situation, I think you could make a strong argument that fake news is worse for Republicans than it is for Democrats.
This ties right into your desire for tools, because tech companies don't actually want people using independent tools to access their systems. They're already giving us the tools they want us to use - poor ones designed around slowing us down, confusing our unadorned human brains, and creating a slow drip of partial accomplishment rather than letting us complete a task and move on. Attempts to even augment their tools with things like Adblock are met with a lot of grumbling and sometimes even outright blocking. Full blown third party clients (eg yt-dlp) are continually seen as a fringe thing, and churn between names/maintainers/hosts due to legal shakedowns. The nonsense of prior-restrained-based "API keys" runs roughshod over developers' thought processes. A sustainable ecosystem of independent third party clients in the mainstream app stores is essentially impossible - a wink, nod, and specious reference to trademark, DMCA, or CFAA is all it takes to get the other tech gatekeepers to collude.
Unfortunately, this all points to the only way we're fixing any of this is some kind of regulation. The centralized tech companies have set up their positions at a Schelling point of individual agency, and have heartily grown into the power vacuum. Like atoms in a gas, it's impossible for us to all just individually move in the same direction at the same time, and so the only way to get a lever big enough to move them is collective action via the government, as imperfect as that is.
Personally I'm in favor of antitrust enforcement that breaks up this bundling between hosting and client software (and hardware devices as well). They should be considered separate products, when developed at the same company be completely independent business units, with backroom communication (eg unpublished APIs) prohibited. I'd say this would get us 80% of the way there to having the choice of tools that don't themselves encourage the spreading of disinformation. Then additional functionality of automated filtering etc could grow organically on top of that, in a user-representing way. But for any of that to happen, the client ecosystems have to be freed first.
Setting aside the inflammatory tone of your take on this - I think your argument would be strengthened by an example or two of where you're suggesting the line should be drawn - this just is not how running social media sites currently works at all. Companies can and do censor user content all the time, for better or worse. What "tough cookies"? More like tough cookies for people that don't like living in a country where a third of the population believes we're ruled by baby blood drinking reptile people.
I just don't see how a site about the latest drama, crime, war, or tragedy happening at the moment anywhere on the planet or on the Internet can be good for anyone's mental health.
If you asked me, I'd say more social media should strive to be like Pinterest, where people don't share their wordy opinions nobody will be better off reading, they just share pictures of things that interest them (or in many cases pictures of products they're selling).
Like, if you're a gamer, which is the better site: one that keeps telling you about the latest drama among Twitch streamers, or one that just had 30 screenshots and short video clips of various games displayed on screen at the same time?
Very true.
I feel so sorry for the people who can not use the Scientific Method to determine the credibility of news sources.
Here is what I do: I find a news story from the source that is about events close to me. Then I go over and check. I hope you try this.
I test politicians the same way. I try to find video of them discussion something from my area, and then check it. If they lied about my local area, they probably lie about everything.
You can still publish whatever you want, but if the word "news" appears in the page then you must provide links to all original sources.
You claim a source told you that POTUS will have a press conference today? I want a video of the conversation you had with that source and full documentation of who spoke with who, where, when, and under what circumstances.
Oh, it's an anonymous source and you put it on a web page that says it's news? That's 6 months in confinement for whoever did that. Someone will serve 6 months if it means hunting down every last stockholder.
Problem solved.
Mathematically, it was very interesting. And with an occasional reminder from management, they could pretty-well control their RSD at work.
These days, there's a toxic hot mess of politics and emotions laid over the whole situation. But it might be useful to recall that the underlying problem is mostly a network with a very large N, and the bell-curve distributions of certain human behaviors.
The distinction I’d draw is that email was a push model, but today it’s platforms that decide what we see. If platforms wanted, I think it’d be trivial for them to make a setting for their users to filter out politics/outrage/whatever
For example Reddit will (unprompted) put links to videos of police brutality on the home page when I’m not part of that subreddit.
To me this anti pattern reminds me of putting candy bars in the checkout lane — pitting me against my self control on purpose
But if you recall the 1987-ish to 2007-ish era - there was enormous growth in the anger-positive, fact-indifferent conservative talk radio and TV segment. Which was not 100% opt-in...but still far more so than most modern social media.
Another anecdote: Back about 2002, an old friend of mine cut off all contact with a life-long, retired friend of his. In retirement, the friend-of-friend had been bitten by the Viral Conservative Anger bug - and refused to stop forwarding dozens of VCA emails to my friend every week. Similar for discussing any other topic on the phone, or ...
(Pre-retirement, the friend-of-friend had been a highly skilled engineer, and had seemed to be a wonderful person.)
What? Yes if you go to r/popular/ or r/all/ but on home page it wont (I just tested to be sure and it shows only my subscribed subreddits).
So I think there's definitely an algorithm at play here.
For whatever reason, an employee in one of the lead administrative groups at 'HQ' was forwarding very high resolution photos of the previous day's events and the group email address they were using happened to include everyone in any organization that was in some way under the management chain, so anywhere from 10,000 to 20,000 people likely received those pictures. They sent about three emails before stopping, or being stopped.
For better or worse, the people suffering from RSD have moved to Facebook.
Better for me. They've stopped sending emails, and I don't use FB! So win-win for me. Although, that email filter that sequestered all of "that uncle's" emails is still ready to go if needed. Which is one advantage of the emails vs socials.
Who decides what should be hidden? You can do it yourself, or align with some trusted source, the same way we subscribe to ad blocking feeds. Yes, there is a risk of a bubble, but you have the tools to avoid it, LLMs are very flexible in how they get prompted.
This only saves you from having to endure the garbage, but if you're actually interested in stopping others from seeing it, no help. I think that's a social problem, not a technological one.
Eventually mainstream media came around, but they did a lot of damage to their credibility. Not to mention the whole Iraq having weapons of mass destruction narrative that many of us grew up seeing proven false firsthand.
At this point I just don’t trust anything. It’s fortunate to be of a scientific mindset, since you can make up your own mind with some confidence that you’re not crazy. That doesn’t really work for most people, which seems like the main problem you touch on.
Surely you trust a lot of things and people every day.
One cannot make up ones mind about almost anything without being influenced by others, nor without taking into account information received from others. The point is to always be willing to question and revise one's opinions while consciously making decisions despite uncertainty.
It’s probably more accurate to say that whenever someone says something, it’s treated as an independent data point, each of which is assigned somewhere between "probably true" and "probably false". The datapoints get updated as more observations about the world come in.
Observations are different than taking someone’s word for it.
…but they didn’t. The lab leak theory is still mostly the realm of conspiracy theorists, and is (rightly, imo) treated as such. I’ve seen stories reporting on efforts investigating the lab leak hypothesis, but they’re always about how the study turned up nothing and thus the best evidence continues to point at direct animal -> human transmission.
Occasionally conspiracy theories do turn out to be true, but that’s vanishingly rare next to the number of them which turn out to be false.
> At this point I just don’t trust anything. It’s fortunate to be of a scientific mindset, since you can make up your own mind with some confidence that you’re not crazy. That doesn’t really work for most people, which seems like the main problem you touch on.
Be very careful about this. It’s crucial to think critically and evaluate sources. However, if there’s a theory among domain experts (like epidemiologists or climatologists) which is overwhelmingly believed (Covid didn’t come from a lab) and you believe something which has the reputation of being a conspiracy theory, the odds of you being right don’t look good. Your odds get worse the longer the prevailing theory has been accepted, as in the intervening time the people in the minority will have been searching for convincing support.
https://www.reuters.com/world/no-direct-evidence-covid-19-pa...
Apparently including the raving nutjobs at the FBI and Department of Energy (https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/28/politics/wray-fbi-covid-origi...).
> In February 2023, The Wall Street Journal reported that the US Energy Department, based on new intelligence, had shifted its view from "undecided" to "low confidence" that the pandemic originated with a lab leak. In the intelligence community, "low confidence" means the information is sourced to low-quality or otherwise untrustworthy sources. In the wake of these reports, FBI Director Christopher Wray reiterated the bureau's assessment, saying that the Government of China was doing its best to thwart any investigation. White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan responded to the report saying "some elements of the intelligence community have reached conclusions on one side, some on the other. A number of them have said they just don't have enough information to be sure", and there was still "no definitive answer" to the pandemic origins' question. The reassessment renewed the political debate around the issue in the US.
> In June 2023, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence declassified their report on the virus' origins, in compliance with an Act of Congress compelling it to do so. The report stated that while the lab leak theory could not be ruled out, the overall assessment of the National Intelligence Council and a majority of IC assets (with low confidence) was that the pandemic most likely began as a zoonotic event. No evidence was found that SARS-CoV-2 or a progenitor virus existed in a laboratory, and there was no evidence of any biosafety incident. Proponents of the lab leak hypothesis reacted by accusing the agencies of conspiring with the Chinese, or of being incompetent. Covering the story for the Sydney Morning Herald, its science reporter Liam Mannix wrote that the US report marked the end of the lab leak case, and that it had ended "not with a bang, but a whimper".
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_lab_leak_theory#Intel...
No, because I saw people talking about it continuously throughout the period. The conspiracy nuts and right-wing activists making wild evidence-free claims that COVID was a Chinese bio weapon or genetic engineering mistake were rightly dismissed, but people approaching it scientifically and trying to assess evidence for clues that it might have been a mishandled lab sample were not. That’s always been the problem with this: “lab leak” meant different things to different people, and the erstwhile martyrs tried to represent themselves as representing some broader truth when they had always been trying to work backwards from a politically-advantageous explanation.
Fortunately I don't think I have ever curbed my reason or logic because of possibly being "labeled".
> At this point I just don’t trust anything.
That's sad to read. It suggests those that would sow disinformation have won. All my life I have been skeptical — somehow I was raised with the mind of a scientist - likely many of us here have. But I have also learned to be skeptical of skepticism if you know what I mean — contrarians, doubting Thomasii, etc.
EDIT: I see your comment here: "Observations are different than taking someone’s word for it." You should have led with that. Still, as we can't all be on the ground in Anytown, China or conducting a scientific test on superconductivity, we have to have a framework of what "sounds reasonable based on life experiences" and accept a certain amount of what we hear/read.
What amount of censure would break your steely resolve? Maybe you are ok with your posts being down-ranked. What if your accounts are disabled next?
As an example, I'm pretty sure there are a few subreddits that would ban me for my beliefs. I have no interest in those subreddits.
To take an extreme example, I'm also old enough to remember enjoying life before there was an internet. If all of the internet tossed me out ... might be the best thing that happened to me in many, many decades.
That is what the spreaders of fake news want, it is literally the agenda to sow mistrust, and it’s working. This, I fear, is going to be the real and lasting damage of this effort, it’s breaking down our ability to find common ground and have civil discourse, it’s breaking our ability to function democratically.
It’s Pareto essentially. And yes it’s in everything. In any organization a well organized minority will exert power over the disorganized majority, or remainder of people.
It’s why you see ridiculous municipal codes, etc. Small but well organized groups of people create pressure to bring them into existence. Opposition to it is disorganized and apathetic. The minority group can’t be too small but because it’s small it’s easier to organize a larger group of outer supporters (sympathizers, useful idiots, etc) that will march with you on a nice Saturday afternoon, etc. Now your fringe idea looks like it is majority held and enough otherwise disinterested people say “sure, whatever”.
On Mastodon, I discovered someone via a boost who had wrote a great blog post. I followed them but found my feed was now full of bird photography (their main hobby, and something I don't care for). I added a filter for "#BirdsOfMastodon" (or something), but there were still too many without that tag. So I unfollowed them and now I don't see any bird photos.
There are a few ways a toot can get boosted massively, politically oriented outrage is by far the most common.
I sometimes read literature outside my comfort zone. Sometimes I put it down -- not for me. But occasionally I discover a new genera I enjoy.
If you see ads for Ground News on YouTube they make it sound like you need add up what the right-wing ideologues say and what the left-wing ideologues say you get the truth. I get accused of being a “centrist” when I point out that people are using a toxic, hateful and othering style of communication (e.g. capitalizing Black doesn’t do anything about the difficult and long-standing problems of racism, maybe even mocks or trivializes the problem, but it sure polarizes the world into big B and little B people)
I mean, if you don't actually know someone yet, is it really a good idea to hang on their every word the way social media does?
If your hobby is e.g., NFL Football, then yeah, the signal/noise ratio makes retweets a terrible thing that just clutters your feed.
That would be the benefit.
You can trust tradition, your instincts, logic, or science, whatever.
If you are stuck on constant skepticism questioning even the most blatant truths you will be stuck on step 1.
Chance for what?
RTs were done manually before they were a thing. Hashtags, the same (so you could search for #something more easily as a topic).
However, most things FB promotes (i.e. suggests, or that just shows up in my feed for no reason) are the same, and they are all there for the same reason. To increase engagement.
The problem is people uncritically believe the original source which is just someone saying something like "I just heard X is happening!" with no actual evidence at all.
One could imagine doing the same for any tweet starting with "RT @username" or its variants.
While to a degree I believe people (even Twitter themselves) when they say tweet with links are downgraded, it clearly isn't crippling.
Meanwhile with 7k followers I barely get ten.
But I’ll try it more and see. Thanks for pointing that out.
EDIT: it’s possible you might be preempting the downweight because you’re including a screenshot with all of your links. I.e. the downweight only happens if twitter shows the expando for an external link, which doesn’t happen when screenshots are included. Either way, I’ll be implementing your technique. :)
Interesting. The reason I've always done this is just because I want to give people a meaningful preview of the first few paragraphs. And I figured that it's been effective. In more than one ways, perhaps, now I see.
Your previews are very good, by the way. Much better than anything you’d see from a default expando. I’ll try the same.
You can experiment with the no link vs link thing for yourself by putting the link it a followup reply like some news accounts do btw.
Early webs of trust were on personal knowledge of others. I think a similar web of trust needs to reemerge. Vouching and relationships and when the vouchee messes up it affects the voucher. Imagine if your relationship graph could crumble when you let someone into the circle of trust who ends up a wolf.
If you could cut out whole circles of trust when they are compromised, we could maybe get more authentic web back. See shit ads or blog spam, penalize the circle that houses it by no longer seeing its content.
Many smaller circles join to other circles, where irl know people in the first circle. Like a new take on web rings.
If your only portal to the internet was through your rings and related rings, we may get echo chambers but we may also gain the ability to remove bad actors from our immediate rings. Fake news propaganda? Penalized the ring and all members until that wolf is removed.
#MorningThoughts.
They'd just wear nice clothes and be well groomed enough, bonus point if they're in uniform, and everybody would trust them.
Knowing who to trust has never been our forte.
If there were some theoretical framework that would assist users in judging strangers on the internet, according to their own personal settings, that could be effective.
For example, one thing you see on Reddit is when somebody starts posting disagreeable comments in a community, a concerned member might look at the offending user’s entire post history and discover“oh, the only thing this guy does is make pro-[topic] statements”. The member then shares this information with the rest of the community, hoping to discredit all statements by the offender.
I almost think there could be a personal LLM that does this for you, and preemptively“tags” trolls and spreaders of misinformation in a way that allows you to automatically filter or dismiss their comments.
And I think most people are also of a similar mindset, even if they might not necessarily realize it. It's how you get things like a democracy where everybody ostensibly votes for the candidate they want to win, and then we get a congressional approval rating that's trending to the single digits. [1] That's only possible because are extremely dissatisfied even when their guy and his party are both in control, otherwise it'd at least hover around 50%.
[1] - https://news.gallup.com/poll/1600/congress-public.aspx
Also think hard about the number of things you believe to be true but haven’t verified yourself.
My list of truths I know first-hand isn’t very big, I don’t know first-hand how an airplane or computer works (even though I design software and hardware), I don’t know first-hand that people landed on the moon, and I don’t know first hand anything about national politics. Pretty much everything we do is based on belief and things other people tell us (which includes stories we read or watch on video).
I don’t know it for a fact, but I believe that most people have about the same level of first-hand knowledge as me, that most people know very few truths, and the majority of how we function day-to-day is based on beliefs that we haven’t and won’t take the time to prove.
This is perhaps a generalization of Brandolini’s Law. [1] I briefly looked for whether there’s a broader and less negative version of this that applies to all information and not just misinformation, and didn’t find it yet. But if you think about it, it’s true that the amount of energy needed to know something is true first-hand is far, far higher (way more than an order of magnitude) than the amount of energy needed to use that information effectively. We basically don’t have the option to spend all of our time verifying the truthfulness of every opinion we have, or nothing at all would get done.
A more nuanced classification than the "fake news/good news" binary is sorely needed.
The behavior I’ve observed is consistent with the article, in that the timings of their flood of retweets could very well indicate a real human pressing the buttons, and I suspect they are. And, it does not surprise me that when looking at the long tail of the most absurd fake news that has a small audience on an individual tweet level, that one would find the majority of the retweets for such obvious fakeness is coming from such blind retweeters.
The effect overall is that whatever bubble such users are in gets amplified a bit, absurdity and all, though I’m skeptical they play any role at all in what becomes truly popular.
The real problem is far more nuanced with the less obvious fake news that even those not tapping blindly are taken in by, the less obvious fake news that gets a large audience because a lot of people find it believable, hoaxes that persist in the collective unconscious long after their time in the spotlight has faded, regardless of any debunking or fact checking that played a role in its popularity dying out.
I think the effect of these super spreaders repeating complete nonsense is minuscule compared to the effect of organically popular almost reasonable nonsense that truly goes mainstream.
The so-called 1/9/90 rule posits that on a social media network or review site, only 1 percent of users will actively create content. Another 9 percent, the editors, will participate by commenting, rating or sharing the content. The other 90 percent watch, look and read without responding.
This is my experience as well. So also true on HN, where are majority are just lurkers. (Hi there lurkers, good time to get an account! ;)
I think if you are lurking you far more likely to just consume something without actively giving it a second thought. I think of the adagio that to really know something, you have to teach it (or being able to explain at least) and that doesn’t happen in passivity. It happens in dialogue.
I think you meant 'adage'. 'adagio' is a slow musical tempo, which left me confused for a while :)
Sounds like “adagio” is a contraction of “ad agio” as in “at leisure” in Italian, while the usual references suggest that “adage” might have a couple possible derivations. The main one being that it comes through French from the Latin “ad” + a form of “aio,” or “I say,” so in the straightforward sense “a saying”; another etymlogy positing a root in “adigo” as in “drive, force.” [0]
:)
Thank you for the correction!
Or you've learnt the hard way that voicing your opinion leads to getting invested in your viewpoint (and worthless internet points) and more time, energy and emotion spent on social media, whereas "passively" consuming you can just walk away from any silly argument that you weren't even trying to start, without it staying with you the rest of the night.
I do think you highlight a certain skill thats advantageous to have , like knowing when something is indeed a silly argument or lost cause of an emotional drain.
It doesn't happen often, requiring effort from all sides, but I've found the 3rd day is about when a superannuated HN discussion starts getting interesting.
(but some email threads I'm in have lasted for years, so YMMV)
I think it’s a fundamental flaw to assume that anything on SoMe is actual dialogue.
Take our exchange here as an example. You may never read my reply, you may never respond to it and if you do I may never read it. On top of that, we will probably never talk again and we certainly won’t remember each other.
So what is really happening isn’t really dialogue. It’s talking into the vast nothingness for a shot of dopamine or whatever our brains use to reward voicing our opinion. Maybe it started with dialogue long ago, when online communities were smaller and you’d actually talk with the same people every day. But in 2024 I might as well have written this reply on my notes app where no one would ever read it.
Twitter especially is the modern version of standing on a box in Hyde park, screaming nonsense at passers by. Some of them will tell their friends about the idiot on the box in a pub later, but nobody will remember it. Probably not even the person doing the screaming, because they’ll be on with a new topic the next day.
I'd say this is a dialogue though. Twitter however, seems like one way com mostly and those who are not notable shout into the void for no good reason.
Other platforms or certain subs on reddit? Quality differs wildly.
I can't tell the fake people from the real ones anymore, much less accurately judge information quality. That's the cesspool that ad-driven internet created and here we are, no exit in sight.
I've worked with many organizations in crisis and on the way out. There comes a time that everybody knows they're in the endgame, but they march on anyway. People's actions become a bit like those in a Potemkin Village. The end days of the Soviet Union was like that.
To me, the tools we're going to need to go forward have frack-all to do with coding. Small trust groups of real people, incremental sharing, overlapping interests and groups, devices that do one and only one things at a time (so that you and your social group can help you monitor your usage to optimize). We know these things work for humans. We've been doing them thousands of years.
Probably not a popular thing to say on HN, but these are the tools we need to move forward as a species. Tech can certainly help, but it can never even come close to replacing the shared social/evolutionary experience we all have baked in.
I'm positive long-term about tech and progress, but just like any other massive change in tooling, we need to cut out the bullshit and re-adapt social norms. We've done this kind of thing many times before and hopefully we'll continue to do so.
This is a good solution. I remember a while ago, I believe it was in India, WhatsApp limited the number of users you could share something with as a response to the platform being used for riling up ethnic violence. Putting an inhibitor on this cascading virality has to improve the sanity in any communication network.
Individual accounts broadcasting at the rate of major TV news stations with no scrutiny isn't a combination that was ever going to produce something approaching the truth. The entire premise of how groups produce truth is through a representative wisdom-of-the-crowds effect. 0.1% of highly correlated users swinging every discussion is extremely pathological.
Most glaring problem is of course that limiting your most viral users is complete anathema to the business incentives of any for-profit social media platform, so in particular I don't see it happening on Twitter.
And nor would you want to as many times what people mean by fake news is dissenting news.
The key is to educate people to think for themselves and question everything.
It is a pretty common tactic for the spreaders of true misinformation to claim their position is dissent rather than lying, that they are the underdog and being ostracized for dissenting…
Getting you to question everything is part of what they want. The goal of misinformation is mistrust. It’s too difficult to question everything, see e.g., Brandolini’s Law.
I don’t know what the solution is, but I personally know highly educated people myself who are stuck in the misinformation rabbit hole. The problem with mistrust and conspiracy theory is that once it takes hold, it breaks people’s ability to evaluate trustworthy and even scientific sources. Don’t assume education is the key. Fake news is very, very effective, which is why they are doing it.
it's also a common tactic of people to label things they don't agree with as misinformation...
> Getting you to question everything is part of what they want.
What is the alternative you're proposing here?
Blind belief?
If you do respond can you try to keep it short and sweet and in a single paragraph.
I agree some people label dissent as misinformation. I suppose that’s another form of fake news. Maybe part of the solution is to stop discussing politics all the time, stop listening to it, and stop taking sides. We don’t need to decide whether every thing a politician said is true or not, we have better things to talk about.
Yes it would be nice if we could teach people to have the right level of skepticism that fake news wouldn’t work, that’s a good goal to have. It would also be good to find a way to build some trust and stop the cycle of increasing polarization. We do have shared values. Figuring out how to talk about those again would be great. The trend has been in the opposite direction, maybe because gossip and drama and tribalism are easier. On the other hand, I do reserve a lot of optimism that most people are good and aren’t obsessed with politics. This article provides some evidence of that, if the majority of the talking points are spread by a tiny minority. Maybe there is a solution here that can address this tiny minority directly, maybe this isn’t a general populace education issue but one we have hope of fixing because the audience is rather small…
I bet that's what a further study will conclude.
> Tiny number of 'supersharers' spread the majority of democracy
If the trouble makers are a small minority, it should be easy to cut them off then.
And for those who will cry "freedom of speech", liberty does not mean everyone gets to do whatever they want. Everyone's freedoms are bounded by the freedoms of others
We all know about adding "reddit" or "site:reddit.com" as a search term. So does Google. We saw in the recent leaks how Google is increasingly value reddit as a source. Why do we do this? Because it's one of the few remaining places that isn't completely astroturfed.
But this is a temporary situation. You can see this on any controversial topic. It is incredibly easyto hijack a subreddit or simply change what bubbles by brigading posts. This can be with real people (usually coordinated via a Discord) or with bots. This is not simply a bot detection problem. It might be viewable as a voting ring problem but I have my doubts.
Depending on the size of the subreddit this may only take dozens of people acting in concert. Even larger subreddits may only take a few hundred. But such a group can completely change what posts make it to the top and also what comments on each post make it to the top.
My point here is taht many on HN and elsewhere like to bemoan "fake news" on social media, which is a real problem to be sure. But at the same time they will extoll the virtues of reddit. The only difference is they're either unaware of reddit manipulation or it hasn't happened to their favorite subreddits yet.
I do not see a lot of benefit in allowing Grinberg to speak on policy matters.
What it boils down to is who decides what is the truth and whether they have the right to censor everything and everybody else.
In the 90's, the internet came as a salvation for free speech because now everybody got to have their voice heard. I definitely don't like this trend of censorship, it's not what our western democracy is built upon.
Before the russians invaded, Western mainstream media reported that the russians were preparing to invade Ukraine.
Mainstream media [kremlin propaganda] in the russian federation mocked Western mainstream media and insisted that the russians weren't about to invade.
The two are not the same.
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Everyone from Daniel Patrick Moynihan all the way through to Mike Pence.
There are some things that are demonstrably true and untrue. Society gains nothing, and loses much, by simply throwing up our hands and saying "well, nothing to be done!" in the face of this.
> who decides what is the truth and whether they have the right to censor everything and everybody else
That is one heck of a leap.
Screaming the cries of censorship when faced with people who disagree--either on your point, your presentation of your point, or the facts underlying your point--is escaping to a place where your position is no longer the one being debated, it's the "terms of the debate." Thus, one no longer needs to defend their position; they can simply stand to the side and feign being the actual aggrieved party.
> I definitely don't like this trend of censorship, it's not what our western democracy is built upon.
It is not censorship. Censorship is not saying "you are incorrect about this and I am calling you out for it and encouraging others to take note of your being incorrect." Heck, censorship is not even being shouted down for one's beliefs. If you say something and other people yell at--or praise!--you for it, that's not censorship.
This article alone says there is no active censorship since people can, and do, merrily spread incorrect statements and half-baked "just asking questions" that even the Weekly World News would have found too preposterous to print.
Is there any evidence either of them believe that view to be a fact? Politicians routinely make up their own facts. In practice people are actually entitled to their own facts. There are mechanisms to mediate disagreements as best we can but we rely on a certain amount of goodwill rather than an ability to determine the truth.
Certain demagogues are fond of nonstop lying, but in U.S. politics that hasn’t been the dominant approach until recently. It’s dramatically harder to compromise on governance when Congress stops agreeing on facts, instead of how to interpret facts and what conclusions to draw from them.
Different pronunciations of the same word; what they do is a juvenile ritual on top of lying. They don't observe facts neutrally or build a solid argument that they test against reality, they start with the conclusion and work out what they need to say to get other people there. And I'm not saying it is a failing on the part of politicians - the voters demand that sort of behaviour from them. But if that is acceptable, flat lying is acceptable. The intent and outcome aren't different as long as bargains are honoured.
> It’s dramatically harder to compromise on governance when Congress stops agreeing on facts, instead of how to interpret facts and what conclusions to draw from them.
I don't know if there is any particular evidence that is a bad thing. The main lesson from the 2000s and 2010s was if Congress is united on a course of action it is probably going to be a disaster.
The US still hasn't managed to shake off the PATRIOT act or clean out the secret law court that was established. We seem to be well into a trend where every president will be subject to a spying campaign before entering office. The US economy has been out-capitaled by literal communists in China. It seems like an excellent time to have someone challenging the basic facts that the congress has been agreeing on.
The fact is, there are many bullshitters, and their bullshit isn't up for interpretation as you suggest.
The only facts are what I can perceive with my own senses and what comes directly from people I know enough to have a judgment I consider reliable on their trustworthiness.
Fact is that entities using the expression fake news are often not better than the ones they accuse.
Our perception and memories are known to be very unreliable.
Massive amounts of fake news.
Suggesting that nobody can really know the difference between fantasy and reality is a misinformation tactic used by the kremlin to create more useful idiots who suggest the same.
Reading your comments in this thread, I know beforehand that my replying will be useless, but I'm bored.
If you can’t see which one is right and which one is wrong, then yes, there’s no point in you replying, to anyone, about anything.
"My Mama says that alligators are ornery because they got all them teeth and no toothbrush!" - The Waterboy
If the Waterboy trusts Mama does this make it a fact?
Ultimately, the word "fact" in this context means "what someone considers a fact". You can be wrong, but if you can't trust your own senses or judgment, how can you live in this world? Well, rhetorical question, since there are no sincere solipsists.
The problem is that what you think of as "made up shit" and "lying" can be manipulated without you knowing.
For example, Covid lab leak theory was deliberately made to look like fake news by some guys who would lose money if it were true: https://web.archive.org/web/20210709212358id_/https://www.bm...
There is no need to be a conspiracist to simply understand that with 100% likelihood at any time there is something true that you think is fake news, no matter which side you are on.
Then it became clear that the Chinese govt wasn't going to investigate or admit if it was a leak, accidental or not. At which point I file as we'll never know + who cares at this point.
And then after that it blew up as a political football in the US. It's not fake news, it's just pointless opinions.
Fake news is saying it was a lab leak, or it wasn't a lab leak. Neither is a true statement. Both are polarising and ill informed positions.
In any case, I don't disagree with your premise that we can be manipulated quite easily.
I'm talking when reputable media reports on people who say "it may be a lab leak" as conspiracists, stories and posts get demoted on FB an IG, etc. That's manipulation and "fake news". It was widely believed on US left apparently, yet those who bought that angle and who talk about "fake news" like they have some magic radar are mostly the same people.
> At which point I file as we'll never know + who cares at this point
We just went through a traumatic pandemic with pretty bad effects and pretty massive human life toll, so... everyone?
Yes you misunderstood because I worded that badly and glibly. We can't know and the issue is so muddied and we had a lot to deal with. The virus was already out, knowing wouldn't put it back. The best reaction is to reconsider all these labs anyway.
There's also kind of an odd contradiction. This is an idea you don't like, and suggesting it should be stopped.
We can tell "organic" from "forced", perhaps, but then the results will not be pretty for any political camp.
And yet a lot of contributors here see no difference between that and factual information or honest reportage. It’s distressing that so many people seem to swim in this mire of relativity, and see calls for truthfulness and adherence to reality as some sort of sin, an admission of bias and a desire to suppress the other side.
The problem is not so much in the research itself, but that it is presented and reported unaware or indifferent to those events.
But unfortunately they also saw that these people were 90% aligned with the same political party and Joel Kaplan helped Zuck understand that actioning it would mean declaring war on the party.
So Zuck tucked his tail.
Proving once again that most of our problems today are not tech problems and don’t have tech solutions but are societal in nature.
We know what to do on climate change, we just don’t like the tradeoff. Or more precisely our governmental systems can not overcome the resistance because we forgot to incentivize long term survival.
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/10/25/facebook-fatal-flaw...
We know what to do about misinformation.
We know what to do about micro plastics pollution
We know what to do about antibiotic resistance
We know what to do about gun violence.
So we hold out for magical technology fixes.
The special trick in the US is that everything can be made a partisan problem, which instantly means paralyzing government intervention.
What? Arrest Co2 increase in the atmosphere
The same from my friends in Dheli who have 45C/12xF head.
The same for Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia dealing with coastal erosion and drowning in western shit plastics.
Spare the fake bullshit about being concerned about the rest of the world. We have a word for people like you. Fascists.
Apparently we moved from denial to denial of human effect to the “it’s good for you” phase of colonialism again.
[1] https://www.npr.org/2021/05/13/996570855/disinformation-doze...
Edit: kudos for being reasonable and changing your mind! :)
> On twitter
is litterally in the papres title, they dont claim to represent public discourse in its entirety.
> Limitations and future directions
> Several limitations should be noted. First, our sample may contain systematic differences from a fully representative sample.
Your argument is nothing but a fluffy ad hoc reaction which ironically imho enables these supersharers.
Most Republicans didn't share misinformation about the 2020 U.S. presidential election on Twitter.
https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9rvroo/most...
That certain individuals had a noticeable propensity for forwarding chain letters and other garbage on the early internet, from which they received _no economic benefit_, may have informed the tactics of today's "Big Tech" intermediaries but what these so-called "tech" companies do today is to _encourage_ this behaviour for their _own_ economic benefit. Truthfully, it goes beyond merely "promoting" sharing. The www user visiting a so-called "tech" company website does not _make a choice_ to share, like someone sharing e-mail chain letters on the early internet, the www user using a so-called "tech" company website _has no choice_.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/09/the-p...
https://adage.com/article/digitalnext/facebook-s-frictionles...
It is in the economic interests of the so-called "tech" company intermediary to _promote_ what is referred to as "viral" content. The quality of the content is irrelevant. If it is "viral", shared and viewed by large audiences, then it has potential to generate revenue for the so-called "tech" company. It has sufficient audience size and therefore it has value to advertisers.
Thus, for example, one can visit the YouTube website to search for videos titles and descriptions that contain a certain keyword. As a result of so-called "tech" company tactics, the results of the search may contain videos whose titles and descriptions do not contain the keyword and in fact have no relevance at all to what is being searched for. The sharing of this content is not optional. It is being forced, without any voluntary user input, by so-called "tech" companies hoping to profit from advertising services.
In sum, the so-called "tech" companies want end users of the www to be looking at the _same_ content. These intermediaries manipulate people who use their websites so that users look at the _same_ pages. There could be millions of people all wanting to view different pages but if each page has an audience of one this is not useful for selling advertising services, hence the so-called "tech" company will manipulate users so that they look at the _same_ pages. It is not doing this for the benefit of the people using the www, or even for the benefit of the "content creators", it is doing this for its _own_ economic benefit.
What is misinformation can be debatable too, and it can affect the results. For example, a study by Kings College London on Covid misinformation in the UK during lockdown looked at mostly very clear cut things (e.g. its caused by 5G etc) but also included the lab leak theory as misinformation. That shifted the results because they lab leak theory appealed to a different group of people (older, right wing) to the others (younger, left wing).
I am pretty sure you would get different results in other countries, but my point is what you include changes the results.
My personal experience of political misinformation on social media (mostly FB) is that it is subtle (e.g. quotes out of context to change their meaning, or with misleading commentary), sometimes originates from mainstream media, and comes mostly from the "left". However, that is because my friends, at least those who are inclined to discuss politics on social media, are mostly affluent professional British people who vote Labour (the historically left wing party). A hopelessly biased sample.
{start of message}
Read all of this one, it is interesting!!
Near the bottom--the part highlighted in green--will give you GOOSEBUMPS!!!
You don't want to miss this!VERY INTERESTING-
1. The Garden of Eden was in Iraq
2. Mesopotamia, which is now Iraq, was the cradle of civilization!
3. Noah built the ark in Iraq
4. The Tower of Babel was in Iraq
5. Abraham was from Ur, which is in Southern Iraq
6. Isaac's wife Rebekah is from Nahor , which is in Iraq
7. Jacob met Rachel in Iraq
8. Jonah preached in Nineveh - which is in Iraq
9.. Assyria, which is in Iraq, conquered the ten tribes of Israel
10. Amos cried out in Iraq
11. Babylon, which is in Iraq, destroyed Jerusalem
12. Daniel was in the lion's den in Iraq
13. The three Hebrew children were in the fire in Iraq (Jesus had been in Iraq also as the fourth person in the Fiery Furnace!)
14. Belshazzar, the King of Babylon saw the 'writing on the wall' in Iraq
15. Nebuchadnezzar, King of Babylon, carried the Jews captive into Iraq
16... Ezekiel preached in Iraq
17... The wise men were from Iraq
18. Peter preached in Iraq
19. The 'Empire of Man' described in Revelation is called Babylon --which was a city in Iraq
And you have probably seen this one: Israel is the nation most often mentioned in the Bible.
But do you know which nation is second?
It is Iraq !
However, that is not the name that is used in the Bible..
The names used in the Bible are Babylon , Land of Shinar , and Mesopotamia ... The word Mesopotamia means between the two rivers, more exactly between the Tigris And Euphrates Rivers ..
The name Iraq means country with deep roots.
Indeed Iraq is a country with deep roots and is a very significant country in the Bible.
No other nation, except Israel , has more history and prophecy associated
With it than Iraq
And also, This is something to think about:
Since America is
Typically represented by an eagle.
Saddam should have read up on his Muslim passages ....
The following verse is from the Koran, (the Islamic Bible)
Koran ( 9:11 ) - For it is written that a son of Arabia would awaken a fearsome Eagle.. The wrath of the Eagle would be felt throughout the lands of Allah and lo, while some of the people trembled in despair still more rejoiced; for the wrath of the Eagle cleansed the lands of Allah;
And there was peace.
(Note the verse number!) Hmmmmmmm?!
I BETTER NOT HEAR OF ANYONE BREAKING THIS ONE OR SEE IT DELETED.
This is a ribbon for soldiers fighting in Iraq ..
Pass it on to everyone and pray.
Something good will happen to you tonight at 11:11 PM
This is not a joke.
Someone will either call you or will talk to you online and say that they love you.
Do not break this chain..
Send this to 13 people in
The next 15 minutes.
Go
{End of message}
There were a variety of common topics, religion, support for soldiers, funny stories about old people, pet stories, and then the odd political or social message.
And perhaps to spread the occasional political message urging people to "write your congresspeople", etc. I remember getting a few that were obviously racist or which spread lies. I used to collect all the spam email I got and besides those pushing porn there were a lot of them that were twisted. Maybe those were early attempts to create "word of mouth", peer-to-peer communication channels.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/344339739_Internet_...
I could totally see this kind of thing being co-opted for spreading political messages.
Subject: Lead, follow or get the hell out of the way!
Lead, follow or get the hell out of the way!
{picture of Lee Iococca's book} Just as true today as it was when his book first came out.
He was, and still is, a brilliant businessman!
Often we need to be reminded of Iococca's words.
Remember Lee Iacocca, the man who rescued Chrysler Corporation from its death throes? He's now 82 years old and has a new book, 'Where Have All The Leaders Gone?'.
Lee Iacocca Says:
'Am I the only guy in this country who's fed up with what's happening? Where the hell is our outrage with this so called president? We should be screaming bloody murder! We've got a gang of tax cheating clueless leftists trying to steer our ship of state right over a cliff, we've got corporate gangsters stealing us blind, and we can't even run a ridiculous cash-for-clunkers program without losing $26 billion of the taxpayers' money, much less build a hybrid car. But instead of getting mad, everyone sits around and nods their heads when the politicians say, 'trust me the economy is getting better..'
Better? You've got to be kidding. This is America , not the damned, 'Titanic'. I'll give you a sound bite: 'Throw all the Democrats out along with Obama!'
You might think I'm getting senile, that I've gone off my rocker, and maybe I have. But someone has to speak up. I hardly recognize this country anymore..
The most famous business leaders are not the innovators but the guys in handcuffs.. While we're fiddling in Afghanistan , Iran is completing their nuclear bombs and missiles and nobody seems to know what to do. And the liberal press is waving 'pom-poms' instead of asking hard questions. That's not the promise of the ' America ' my parents and yours traveled across the ocean for. I've had enough. How about you?
I'll go a step further. You can't call yourself a patriot if you're not outraged. This is a fight I'm ready and willing to have. The Biggest 'C' is Crisis! (Iacocca elaborates on nine C's of leadership, with crisis being the first.)
Leaders are made, not born. Leadership is forged in times of crisis. It's easy to sit there with thumb up your butt and talk theory. Or send someone else's kids off to war when you've never seen a battlefield yourself. It's another thing to lead when your world comes tumbling down.
On September 11, 2001, we needed a strong leader more than any other time in our history. We needed a steady hand to guide us out of the ashes. A hell of a mess, so here's where we stand.
We're immersed in a bloody war now with no plan for winning and no plan for leaving. But our soldiers are dying daily.
We're running the biggest deficit in the history of the world, and it's getting worse every day!
We've lost the manufacturing edge to Asia , while our once-great companies are getting slaughtered by health care costs.
Gas prices are going to skyrock again, and nobody in power has a lucid plan to open drilling to solve the problem. This country has the largest oil reserves in the WORLD, and we cannot drill for it because the politicians have been bought by the flea-hugging environmentalists.
Our schools are in a complete disaster because of the teachers union.
Our borders are like sieves and they want to give all illegals amnesty and free healthcare.
The middle class is being squeezed to death every day.
These are times that cry out for leadership.
But when you look around, you've got to ask: 'Where have all the leaders gone?' Where are the curious, creative communicators? Where are the people of character, courage, conviction, omnipotence, and common sense? I may be a sucker for alliteration, but I think you get the point.
Name me a leader who has a better idea for homeland security than making us take off our shoes in airports and throw away our shampoo?
We've spent billions of dollars building a huge new bureaucracy, and all we know how to do is react to things that have already happened.
Everyone's hunkering down, fingers crossed, hoping the government will make it better for them. Now, that's just crazy.. Deal with life.
Name me an industry leader who is thinking creatively about how we can restore our competitive edge in manufacturing. Who would have believed that there could ever be a time when 'The Big Three' referred to Japanese car companies? How did this happen, and more important, look what Obama did about it!
Name me a government leader who can articulate a plan for paying down the debit, or solving theenergy crisis, or managing the health care problem. The silence is deafening. But these are the crises that are eating away at our country and milking the middle class dry.
I have news for the Chicago gangsters in Congress. We didn't elect you to turn this country into a losing European Socialist state. What is everybody so afraid of? That some bonehead on NBC or CNN news will call them a name? Give me a break. Why don't you guys show some spine for a change?
Had Enough? Hey, I'm not trying to be the voice of gloom and doom here. I'm trying to light a fire. I'm speaking out because I have hope - I believe in America . In my lifetime, I've had the privilege of living through some of America 's greatest moments. I've also experienced some of our worst crises: The 'Great Depression,' 'World War II,' the 'Korean War,' the 'Kennedy Assassination,' the 'Vietnam War,' the 1970's oil crisis, and the struggles of recent years since 9/11.
Make your own contribution by sending this to everyone you know and care about. It's our country, folks, and it's our future. Our future is at stake!!
***********************************
LET'S GET THE MUSLIM ROOKIE OUT OF THE WHITEHOUSE!!!… Ever met any rich people? There are some seriously confused rich people out there, let me tell you.