La Niña is coming, raising the chances of a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season

Not much about possible consequences for Europe. This is mainly about the Atlantic and the US.

Some time ago (beginning 2023?) I read that El Nino meant more rain for Europe and indeed the last Winter brought more than average rain there. It is funny that I never read any references to this relationship. Only articles expressing surprise how that rain 'suddenly' fell.

so I assume for Europe we get a more dry and warm period by the end of the Summer.

I’d love to see historical statistics on annual prediction vs what actually happened with regards to El Niño/ La Niña. Spend most of my teens and early twenties chasing storms in the pnw and vividly remember prediction years not panning out but I’d rather see stats than relying on my memory.

From NOAA:

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal...

Tropical Tidbits also has a good explanation of the factors that are at play:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QFID_jfNId4

50% of the time, they are right every time.

Depending on which camp you are in, you have evidence that it works well or evidence that it does not. All it takes is a bit of selective memory.