A lot of our water comes from groundwater and I guess the leaks go back into the ground so it all works out sort of.
Quite frankly unless there is a US intervention in Mexico (never gonna happen as the US would lose) or a large scale revolt this will probably never change meaningfully.
But, I am not Mexican so I’m just speculating really.
One of the cartels would have to basically pull a 9/11 level event for an intervention to ever happen, and they will never do that because they know the US is content to leave them be as long as they stay in their own lane, and they’re right because the US doesn’t care about them at all as long as they don’t kidnap american tourists (this is why whenever it does happen, the cartel will happily investigate and bring them into custody)
A lot of mexicans dislike the US and much as they dislike the cartels. Latin american politicians love to blame the US for their own political failings and corruption, so a large minority of people legitimately believes their local warlords have their interests in mind over imperialist usa. I’m mexican (moved to the USA) so maybe I’m biased or maybe things changed over the last few years but the average mexican is more likely to side with Russia than America purely because they dislike usa. I mean even young latin americans that live in america think all of their countries problems are because of america, its not unrealistic to think they will turn around and start fighting the US if there was ever an intervention.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/mexican-drug-cartels-terrorist-...
This is such a strange hypothetical. The US is not expansionist, why would it attack Mexico? Helping people with the barrel of a gun was tried in Iraq and Afghanistan, and a very large part of the US population did not like that at all. But you could say that the Iraq and Afghanistan regimes were enemies of the US. Mexico is in no way an enemy, the idea that the US would start a military action against Mexico is baffling. I never heard of anything like that. And if the US starts such an action, but the popular will is against it, it's a certain recipe for disaster. The defeat in Vietnam was not due to the US being beaten on the battlefield, it was due to the domestic anti-war protests.
Mark Esper says in his memoir that Donald Trump in 2020 asked about the possibility of launching missiles into Mexico to destroy the cartels' drug labs.
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/05/us/politics/mark-esper-bo...
Given that he didn't launch any missiles, just like everyone else, I'm not sure there's anything to get worked up about.
It would be like if California Highway Patrol was in the drug business, and they used their legitimate power to create a system to ensure they could legally do this all in the open because the guy in charge of keeping them in check is getting a cut of whatever they sell, all while sabotaging efforts to do anything about what’s going on. Even if someone did finally get enough evidence, there’s enough paid off government employees that it will just get lost. If all else fails and government officials start acting to remove you, well, there’s a reason being a mexican politician is so deadly…
It would not be USA vs Mexico, it would be USA and part of the mexican military under Mexican control vs Fuerza Tamaulipas mixed in with cartel foot soldiers and “”””civilians””””.
The cartels would make sure to frame it as Mexico vs USA (calling the mexican government collaborators in the pocket of big bad usa of course), so they could replenish their foot soldiers fighting the “anti imperialist revolution” (straight from the terrorist playbook, because they are terrorists holding the entire population as blackmail).
I know I'm being a little silly here, but this kind of thing is what you get with under-/post-/non-industrialized populations that crank their GDP from . . somewhere. Classic example are oil states[1], but it goes to some extent for the US as well, where our dominance results from the USD's reserve status[2], rather than any great vitality among the citizenry.
Anyway, when you don't really care about how well the citizens do, then . . why spend money getting them nice water? Especially if you've gone with professional, high tech militaries and all the state surveillance money can buy.
[1] Where the Maximum Leader is genuinely better off without pesky citizens, just (possibly foreign!) wage slaves to mine/pump and a chunk of loyal soldiers.
[2] I also have a personal theory, that started as a joke (and now it's not quite a joke anymore), called "The Blood Standard". How many people can your nation kill in 24 hours? This gives you a baseline for your foreign exchange. UU, Russia, China? They could probably kill a good chunk of the world's cities, so their currencies have a hard floor. Mexico or Brazil? Good frickin' luck.