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Comment by giarc | Hacker News Reader

I saw a video just this morning where he said that the chance of getting pregnant when having unprotected sex is 20%, so if you have sex 5 times and are not pregnant then you should see your doctor because something is likely wrong with your eggs or your partners sperm.

Just terrible advice.

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He did not say "have sex," he said "attempt to conceive." He even states at the end "at the end of six months." He's talking about menstrual cycles.

Be less cynical.

He said "the probability of getting pregnant on any 1 attempt to conceive is 20%" with a heavy emphasis on "1 attempt" I figure he was talking about sex. Either way, the logic isn't correct if he was talking about cycles either.

People are thinking in terms of the male mechanism of reproduction and not the female mechanism of reproduction.

Trying to conceive is heavily reliant on timing the cycles so I doubt this something Huberman was unaware of. 6 cycles sounds about right as well. People shouldn't wait around when they're running out of time to have kids.

I just saw the clip your mentioning[0], I don't think he understands statistics.

[0] https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1788605009535655951

Was the second part of that statement ("so if you have sex 5 times") what he said or what you inferred from what he said? If he said that exactly, that's pretty bad.

See comment above with link. He said if it doesn't work the first time, "she should probably repeat that 5 or 6 times" and then said something about it being cumulative because 20 + 20 + 20.... is 120%.

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