Giant batteries are transforming the way the U.S. uses electricity
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
And cables, and a rack to hold them, and a tool to crimp those big huge cables, etc.
For professional installers, they can install these pretty easily, or install the more 'integrated' systems with a much, much larger margin for faster..
[0] https://www.currentconnected.com/product/eg4-ll-48v-100ah-se...
2. Financing. Most likely you are driving a EV financed by a bank. They've got the process so streamlined you can know within minutes if your 4-wheeled battery bank is coming home with you or not. Trying to get a house battery financed is such a convoluted mess. If it was advertised like a dealership, "Come down to Big Al's Battery Barn. We'll set you up with a 10kWh bank with 0% financing!", I imagine these things would fly off the shelf. Leading back to 1.
Standalone batteries will be in the low $200/kwh and DIY in the low $100s.
What is striking about this is that usable Sodium Ion is just entering the market in volume. It should:
- push any and all electric-battery platforms under ICE equivalents by substantial margins, possibly 30-50% price reductions. Tools, Cars, Trucks, etc
- that will enable lithium chemistries to get cheaper, because they don't need to be used where their density isn't needed.
Sodium-Sulfur, which hopefully becomes viable in 5 years (might be dependent on commercial graphene so....), offers even more potential.
The dendrite formation and other things are of course problematic. What I think is going to happen is that solid state battery techs will be applied.
For example, I think they DO have a successfully cycling high-capacity room temp sodium sulfur chem ... they just need to use graphene.
And the joke about graphene is that it can do anything EXCEPT get out of the lab/commercialize.
I'm considering adding solar to my existing inverter/battery setup.
I had to read this several times before I understood... The grid is so unstable that batteries were installed even before any PV panels. We western people have the luxury of reasoning the other way around.
I'm by no means implying that you're do anything wrong btw, I'm genuinely curious how this is affecting things. In the US I've wondered what the impact would be but it's too early to tell.
On the one hand, private solar does lessen the burden on the grid. We currently have had a good few weeks without load shedding, one major contributing factor of which (acknowledged by Eskom themselves) has been a combination of good weather and off-grid solar households. But on the other hand, Eskom is increasingly deprived of the rates to pay for the large capital investments needed to upgrade the grid. Eskom has continually hiked those rates (which means more people are incentivized to go solar - it is a vicious cycle perhaps).
Our government is finally moving forward with a policy of allowing private enterprise to contribute to the grid. I think this will definitely help. But realistically, I think South Africa will have to deal with load shedding for a good few years.
I'm of two minds about this: OT1H, I participate in Kiva and would for sure accept a microloan for any solar, but OTOH it may be that folks who use Kiva (both the supply and demand sides) may think of it as just business or farming loans, and thus may not be on-board with infrastructure upgrades. So a hypothetical infra.kiva.com that targets any kind of infrastructure management goals (solar, batteries, sand batteries, water purification, ...) could draw the two interested parties together
All of this is, of course, setting aside the colossal failure of the local government or markets to provide such things, but if I hold my breath on that to be fixed, I'll pass out
Case in point: https://www.climatechangenews.com/2023/01/11/eskom-poisoning...
I lived for 3 years with 1040 watts of solar, traveling around the US in a motorhome. I really did not even feel like I was compromising on anything to save power, I had a tower PC, I watched movies with television + stereo system, etc. 1 kW of solar is tiny by residential solar standards. It's not hard to go solarpunk and live off of just solar, once you let go of large homes.
Anecdote (but interesting): Channel 5's recent coverage of homeless populations living in the Las Vegas tunnels highlighted that they have electricity in there! A single cracked panel (salved from the trash!) provides more than enough juice to charge phones and even power TVs.
The household paying the latter just installed 15kW of solar panels and a battery bank to cut their costs to the $16/mo hookup fee and it's not even the height of summer yet. It's almost to the point where their backup propane generator is cheaper to run than pay for utility power! The solar/battery installation will pay for itself in under five years assuming no price increases (hah!).
Everyone is building it at every level of the producer/consumer curve.
I'd probably be better off disconnecting from the grid fully, but that's riskier in a climate that still has serious winters and would need more planning than I have spare cycles for, and would have more up-front costs.
I have installed 21 solar panels and I have a propane powered generator. My intention is to eventually move to batteries as well so I can be as independent of PgE as possible.
https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-almanac/califo...
In a world where companies have to keep consumers happy we get better and better products each year. You want meat without killing animals ? You get that too.
In a world where companies have to only make government employees happy you get outcomes that make government employees happy and consumers being treated as shit.
California is not a good model for almost anything these days, just look at the high speed rail project. Cost of living is worsening for the middle and lower classes who are emigrating to other states. The government is corrupt and inefficient, spending vast sums on homelessness while achieving effectively nothing. Progressives can't blame anyone but themselves since California is a one party state with no real opposition.
https://thundersaidenergy.com/downloads/california-electrici...
Calling SONGS-2 or 3 functional is a stretch given their steam generator problems.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting
A more laymans' terms comic that explains it with some FAQ built in: https://www.chickennation.com/voting/
It won't instantly change the world, but it will allow people to vote their true conscience vs. strategic voting, and allows smaller parties a chance at real power.
Seattle voted the two progressives on city council out (and Sawant retired) some time ago, homelessness has gone nowhere but worse since then. Like clockwork, we're adding another ~1000 street homeless/year.
As it turns out, the opposite-of-progressives don't have a solution for it either. Which isn't surprising, since they've held most of the council seats and the mayor's office for decades, it's just that now they don't have a progressive boogieman to blame for their failures. Meanwhile, Broadway and Pike and Denny and Pine look worse than they ever have, and so do the streets surrounding them.
It's almost like homelessness is an emergent property of a housing shortage.
The slate's politics seems to be pro-out-of-state-business/landlord/police, anti-density, anti-pedestrian, anti-homeless NIMBYism. Politically positioned as the common-sense solution to the insane progressive politics that have been ruining the city.
The metrics aren't exactly on their side. SPD continues to be an incredible combination of overpaid, unaccountable, incapable of hiring, useless, and actively dangerous to the public, the homeless numbers keep growing, rents and cost of living are rising, and the council is doing everything it can to stonewall the state's efforts to solving the housing crisis in the city.
> Why do you think things are so bad in the PNW compared to other places, if not the governance?
It might have something to do with the hundreds of thousands of highly paid people moving into an area which didn't build enough housing units to support them, thus displacing tens of thousands of people out of the margins and onto the street.
It probably didn't have as much to do with (a loud) minority of progressives that were on the council as we've been told.
I've only got a child's grasp of free market economics (and of musical chairs), but this seems to be the most predictable outcome of that sort of thing. When the number of people in an area exceeds the number of beds, some of those people will eventually be sleeping in tents.
Seattle has five-year waiting lists[1] for low-income housing, and practically no housing options for someone who is actually broke and homeless, even if they don't have an addiction.
It has some shelters, but shelters aren't housing. A shelter is a place you can (sometimes) sleep, it's not a place you can live in. And it doesn't have 9,000 empty shelter beds, to house all the street homeless, either.
You know where has abundant housing? NYC. A city with 10 times the population, but half the street homeless. Because the rest are housed. (A foreign concept to this city.)
But sure, I guess you like seeing thousands of street homeless all day, every day.[1] Because that's what you'd get, even if they were all sheltered (which Seattle won't do, either).
P.S. It damn well is the public's responsibility when public policies create the housing crisis.
[1] Which certainly put you in opposition to the expressed preferences of this entire city.
Or even, like, talked about enacting?
Last time I checked, 11 states received the majority of their electricity from renewable sources, and 10/11 had cheaper rates than the national average, with California being the exception.
1: https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/energy-storage/texas-wi...
> In Texas, many batteries today are actually increasing carbon-dioxide emissions, according to one analysis. That’s because operators focus on maximizing revenue and sometimes charge with coal or gas power.
Sounds like they're still using using environmental externalities to subsidize their costs.
Regardless, the results are the same. Batteries are the future.
It's also reasonable to assume internalizing externalities can drive efficiency improvements everywhere. Would batteries by as efficient and available for installation in TX if CA hadn't subsidized them for a decade prior?
There’s a massive housing crisis in CA. Getting people out of it reduces demand which is the only solution if you persistently cannot or will not solve supply.
The Texas energy grid is actually greening rapidly. Although everyone deploying solar in Texas should also deploy a local battery. If you don’t you can’t run your solar when the grid is down.
One needs to specify if this means "cheaper than a new construction fossil fuel plant" or "cheaper than operating an existing fossil fuel plant". Whether a CO2 tax is involved should also be specified. Things will really take off when existing plants can no longer compete (particularly in places like the US where overall demand is growing slowly, if at all). Of course, this will depress the price of the fuel (natural gas is in the doldrums in the US) which will delay things.
Gas is very good for those consistent other times. Batteries are not. Batteries are better for the excess demand during those off times. they offset the backup peaker gas plants as mentioned in the article.
All of which to say the batteries can eat away at the margins of gas plants, but it is incrementally less cost effective to replace each one.
If you operate in an environment where you can supply renewables outside of solar time in quantities high enough to not need the gas, the gas plants will become a lot less useful. Hydro power is the king here. If you don’t have that gas is still probably pretty important.
It might get to the point where a lot of these gas plants are less profitable because they expected to be more relevant and will not be able to justify their fixed costs. But shutting down those plants is probably more expensive to society than just subsidizing them to stay open.
So it’s complicated. The energy and battery side of the inflation reduction act has been HUGE though. Society doesn’t really get how much of an important investment the Biden admin has done here
The problem is that Western elites are corrupt and incompetent. They foolishly outsourced their manufacturing to a rival nation, which is now the rising superpower. Germany shut down its nuclear reactors and spent hundreds of billions on solar, while their manufacturing sector implodes from high electricity prices.
Corporate elites are increasingly extractive as exemplified by rising wealth gap, housing / healthcare / education costs, enshittification of internet platforms, etc. Any narrative which justifies price increases is gleefully propagated by the media hegemons. Climate change is used to markup prices on everything so consumers can feel self-righteous paying through the nose. Yet none of this will make a difference. China, India, and Africa will continue burning the cheapest fuels available to support their development.
Other parts of California pay pretty normal rates.
I think a lot of folks there have solar. And by 2026 they say they will have 50% of electricity sourced via sustainable means.
Sounds like an amazing opportunity to make bank trading energy off-hours (as modeled by TX). Guess what technology enables exactly this!
You can of course charge them however you like, but I have a feeling Santa Clara's purported 3x price fluctuations are not due entirely to natural gas.
[1] https://www.siliconvalleypower.com/home/showpublisheddocumen...
If you have the option, the best time to charge your car would be during the day when there is abundant solar.
In the long run, it makes sense to consume power when renewables can supply it, instead of having to store it in a battery and use it later.
In the short term however, renewables can't scale up in demand, so you're actually likely to require that the load is served from dispatchable power, which is probably either gas, hydro, or battery.
I don't think there's really any good time to charge it then. If solar was ever underutilized, I would assume there would be no gas in the mix at that point in time, but there is no such time.
You can see some hourly prices in Denmark here: https://andelenergi.dk/el/timepris/ — it's often cheaper in the middle of the day.
You can see the production mix here, and the gas is reduced to near-zero when the sun shines: https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/DK-DK1
Its... several GW in the middle of the day recently. So, this suggests charging EVs during this time would actually allow for better utilization of available renewables.
Another metric you can look at is if the grid scale batteries are currently charging or not. If they are charging, this suggests there is excess capacity available (or at least inexpensive capacity). The hours when grid batteries are charging are probably also good hours to charge EVs.
With a battery and minimal software, you can buy low, sell high, keep enough for yourself, factor in EV charging, solar generation, etc etc.
Battery pays for itself in 5 years, and with enough takers, the grid gets superb smoothing, delaying the need for central infra upgrades.
Homeowner still benefits from reduced bills, and the grid gains massive distribution diversification. Win win.
You can't figure out who's good online, interview the local companies. Locals will also get you through the permitting and code compliance process too.
Solar is great, but IMO we should be somehow encouraging rooftop solar (which, yes, is more expensive!) in order to reduce pressure on wilderness and agriculture.
Before someone jumps in with the efficient market hypothesis, fundamentally the problem is that wilderness services aren't easily priced correctly, but solar has suddenly made chopping down wilderness (more) easily monetizable.
Other plusses are that they are close to electric demand (business, homes, and EVs), and people prefer to park in shade.
The downside is there's no existing structure to install the panels, so that's more steel used to mount the panels.
There are numerous examples of that around where we live, in the foothills of the mountains north of Phoenix, where there are also lots of recent modern construction projects. One nice installation at a school a few minutes away has the panels on structures providing shade, all over blacktop, as you thought of.
In addition to the sibling comments, another better approach is to blend solar with farming, to grow shade-loving crops and reduce evaporation. They'll still use pesticides, no doubt, but not more than ordinary farming.
https://theconversation.com/how-shading-crops-with-solar-pan...
That wilderness isn’t going to be there anyway if we don’t address climate change as fast as we can.
>That wilderness isn’t going to be there anyway if we don’t address climate change as fast as we can.
By the same token, fixing climate change won't matter if we don't have any wilderness services left.
Either crisis will be catastrophic, and we need to fix both. I sometimes worry that we focus too much on just GHG climate change, to the exclusion of other issues like biodiversity, water, soil, etc.
Unless you have some weird quirk where you think it's impossible for manmade objects to be beautiful
I agree :)
We have the same issue around me with people chaining themselves to bulldozers and pushing for animal sanctuary designations just so they can avoid having to see windmills on the horizon.
However, you're doing the right thing. It's important to not let the great become the enemy of the good. Yes, there is work to be done to make batteries zero impact. But no matter what's happening in the world of batteries it is nothing compared to the extraordinary destructive force of coal, oil, and gas globally.
https://acespace.org/blog/2024/01/12/top-10-oil-and-gas-indu...
https://www.miningreview.com/coal/the-top-10-coal-mines-of-t...
It should be noted that if an electric vehicle has 70 KWh of batteries in it, then electrifying the 283 million motor vehicles in the US would need 20 TWh of batteries. This is considerably more than would be needed to convert the US grid to 100% renewables (assuming proper use of non-battery storage technologies as well for longer term storage). The implication here is that if BEVs win, then a renewable grid is not a big additional step.
This is a very odd belief to have when it comes to batteries, because we are nowhere close to even discovering how much, say, lithium we have easily available, and more deposits are discovered all the time these days. Nobody bothered to identify them in the past, so we are looking now.
Also, batteries will be far more recycled than, say, your furniture or all the other things in the house. They are expecting >90% recovery of the materials, and in the 10-20 years of use, battery technology advances so much that when they get remade into more batteries, that 90% recovery will store even more electricity than the 100% of materials did the first time.
While I'm glad people are having these concerns, in general, they should be concerns about all aspects of consumed goods, not just the goods that are already doing the most to reduce environmental impact.
I'd be interested in seeing an estimate of the battery costs to the grid, and also next winter's data. but if battery costs and material requirements are reasonable, and this deployment is not the result of an overinvestment in renewables, this is probably the first significant example of renewables getting a reasonable deployment plan.
That’s why it’s a strategic plus to go for electric vehicles build upon lithium to have a certain amount available locally for the recycling process.
Up to a point. Very long term storage is another thing again.
This twitter/X post has a very nice animated graphic of the predicted evolution of storage technologies over time (from 2020 to 2030), plotted against two attributes: duration of discharge, and # of cycles per year.
https://twitter.com/iain_staffell/status/1722544993179504965
Li-ion batteries and hydrogen are expanding the areas where they would dominate; pumped hydro is shrinking. Compressed air is getting squeezed out (no pun intended).
If I have to explain the natsec implications and dangers of that... Let's just say its "unwise" at best, and suspicious at worst.
They pitched me and tried to recruit me.
I turned them down, in part for that and for other anti-patterns they demonstrated.
Gigajoules were right there!
Grid scale batteries are treated as alternate supplies of energy, but yes, they are storage, and cannot indefinitely run at a constant output.
That's the confusion. Directly comparing them is not useful, except when describing a finite time span.
Gigajoules doesn't really help clarify the confusion, because it doesn't change that they're not directly comparable.
The journalists did not mess up anything, they are actually using the correct units used by people who run grids, build grid assets, plan grids, etc. The only people who are confused are those who don't know about grids, but know a few things about electricity in other contexts.
It's talking about the ability to supply power to the grid, not how long it can supply that power. It's arguable how useful a measure that is but they're certainly using it correctly. IMO they're also talking about it in a reasonable way- capacity and power are pretty closely related for batteries, and the ability to pick up demand is critical to handling instability.
Watts are SI, hours are used all over metric countries. I don't see how watt hours aren't metric?
I have, however, seen fellow laypeople regularly confuse power with energy (describing kW when they mean kWh and vis-a-versa) as OP thought the quote did. I'm not sure if sticking to kW and kJ would actually fix that.
3600 seconds in an hour. 39.3700787402 inches in a meter.
Next you'll be telling me pounds are more convenient than kilograms.
"battery storage capacity on the nation’s grids has grown tenfold, to 16,000 megawatts"
"California now has 10,000 megawatts of battery capacity on the grid"
After reading all of the comments below, i only find tangential reference to the fact that MW (or any kind of Watts) is not a measure of capacity. Even the tangential comment, that MWh is not MKS, doesn't highlight that the article never mentions MWh, everything is described in terms of MW, which is obviously power, not energy.
It seems even the referenced state reports make the same error:
https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-almanac/califo...
And the governor's office:
https://www.gov.ca.gov/2024/04/25/california-achieves-major-...
As an actual lefty (not a woke-nut (or a wing-nut)) I'm not a fan of Gov Gavin. But the article wasn't really political, whereas the overwhelming majority of comments here are.
It doesn't shine a favorable light on the HN community in terms of being technically focused...
The problem with used EV batteries is that they've started to degrade, and they degrade in chaotic ways, so you can't offer a predictable product made from old cells. Some cells may have shorts internally, others may have evaporated some electrolyte, or the electrodes may have degraded. Right now, lithium recovery is quite primitive from used cells. I've tried to reuse used batteries myself for storage, and the unpredictable wear made me give up.
Also, EV batteries, which are optimized for power density, may not be the best choice for home storage, where you want the ability to deep cycle to buffer power usage as the NYT article describes. The NMC cells common in EV's don't like to sit at above 90% state of charge (this cutoff is arbitrary, but > 90% results in fast breakdown), and they don't like to go below 20%, so you have a useful range of 70% of the capacity. You can over-provision by 30% or you can use lithium-iron-phosphate cells, which are less power dense, but much more tolerant of deep cycling.
I set my home up like this a long time ago. I use 100% of my solar and export nothing to the CA grid due to batteries. It's not cost effective to do this given the cost of storage when I set this up, but it's really neat to someone of my nerdy predisposition. My goals originally were to have solar based backup power, because I lose power quite a lot despite living in silicon valley, and it's worked great for that too.
Not that I am blaming anyone, I think it was handled pretty well. It seems to me that people fail to realize it's only an easily balanced equation when looking at it historically and a shit show looking forward.
https://www.councilforeconed.org/policy-advocacy/survey-of-t...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/lizfrazierpeck/2024/04/01/2024-...
https://www.costco.ca/coffee-tea.html?sortBy=item_location_p...
I'm no expert on shit coffee. But even Folgers is $6.3 lb. And is Folgers even 100% real coffee?
It tastes like it was extracted once before and freeze dried and something added to it.
Plus Costco might be subsidizing their coffee the way they do their rotisserie chicken.
Everything I see for US costco is roughly 5$/lb
Good coffee is 20$/lb. That was largely true before covid and "inflation". Most actual premium stuff has not increased in price much, as compared to the """premium""" lines of household brands which HAVE increased in price
Hank Green runs https://good.store/collections/all-coffee which is specialty/premium sourced coffee, with ethical business management where the coffee growers get to own and be involved with more of the process.
They sell 5 pounds of beans for $60
And just wait until you hear about chocolate.
(The truth is the cost probably needs to rise to handle humane labor conditions, but supply shock is also an issue.)
Article claims that between 2021 and 2023 (a span of 3 years) these regions experienced "Too-hot conditions", prior it was too cold.
Ideal regions have climate similar to Hawaii, where it fluctuates between 16 and 28 degrees celsius, all year round.
Assuming I take the articles seriously:
Using your last 3 data points to make sweeping projections, when they counter the previous year's data doesn't seem like very good science.