The best trillion dollar companies can do is a token generator that defies logic. And they have personified these generators to make them seem intelligent. For AGI to exist, I doubt it will have anything to do with LLMs.
Intelligence is next-token prediction.
See: active inference, predictive processing.
Maybe, but on the other hand, I imagine the stock price of the first company that can go public with having AGI would go up by a lot. It would be an expensive secret to maintain.
I would be very surprised and question my existence.
Since the Cold War days and analog computers were turned into a psyop
If AGI were already here, we'd probably all be dead, IMHO.