Megaconstellations like SpaceX's could weaken Earth's magnetic field, atmosphere
livescience.com
livescience.com
Having people in the field argue against a paper is expected, and the whole point of peer reviewing. That's how they (hopefully) converge on a model everyone agrees on. However, if you're not actively researching space debris, the better stance in the matter would be "oh, shit, we should probably tread carefully until we know more."
I think the fundamental problem is that the ending makes it polarized, instead of curious, and makes no attempt to explain what the precautionary path would be. I'm sure even the refuters would like to know if this is true or not.
For me, not in the field, this writing style feels dismissive. I'm no wiser if this is a problem or not, but I guess it doesn't matter, because it's three refuters against two believers. Were they cherry-picked to have three refuters by some journalistic formula, or are there actually more opponents than proponents?
It's not helped by the fact that it is (only) a proponent (Lawler) who says "we need more studies," not an opponent.
(If I knew how to write, I would be writing science news, not complaining about it.)
"A claim that is asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence"
Generally, no this isnt possible. The planet's magnetic field is generated naturally by the movement of so much hot iron and other elements it eclipses the total of most of the other freely available metals in the solar system.
The Earth isn't the biggest planet, but we have the biggest single conglomeration of metals outside of the gas giants. Combine Luna, Mars, and all of the known asteroids and it only almost comes to a similar mass.
A few dozen tons of launched material isn't going to have any noticeable impact on our magnetic field.
I tried to keep the same name as the article, but had to shorten it due to HN's character restrictions. The shortening could be interpreted to sensationalize. But it's purely intended to include all relevant elements in the title. While within the character limit. I tried & this was the best I could do.
I was hoping that the word *could* would imply the speculative nature of the article.
lol
The cited paragraph puts down big numbers and scary words in random order to basically say "zomg the MaGnEtOsPhErE might climate change!".
It's worthless, waste of time FUD.
And on the off chance what they're saying has any scientific basis: They should have cited papers and explained the process in detail. That they didn't means this is still a waste of time FUD.
I say "would-be" because that's what the article has to say about the would-be paper:
>In the new theoretical paper, uploaded to the pre-print database arXiv in December 2023 but not yet peer-reviewed, Sierra Solter-Hunt, a doctoral candidate at the University of Iceland, proposed that this atmospheric spacecraft dust may compromise the magnetosphere — the part of Earth's magnetic field that extends into space and protects the atmosphere from solar radiation.
So it's not a paper yet and namely hasn't been reviewed by peers, nor is the author a doctor (as in PhD) proper yet. This isn't something layman can refer to for information, not yet anyway.
Given that, I stand by my initial claim that this is fearmongering and FUD. Nothing in there has been confirmed as worthy of our time to discuss.
Interesting
I assume you apply this standard to every arXiv paper posted here or referenced by a science publication?
Also, in this case it would be counter productive: you’d create huge amounts of space debris and accelerate the accumulation of material in the ionosphere.
If I'm shooting down US satellites, and can therefore expect a military response, Id rather have the skies above me free from navigation and recon satellites above.
Shooting down satellites just accelerates the timeframe on which they re-enter and burn up, while making the pieces smaller and hence more likely to completely combust.
That’s counter-productive to your goal.