"That is, in any given recent year, if you take a sample of 1000 random males, within a year, almost 16% of them will have died."
Surely this can't be true.
Surely this can't be true.
The underlying point though is valid: whether the rate of people dying is particularly high depends on quite a few factors. The estimate for 2023 in Q2 is 944 / 100,000 = 0.9% or so. So within a population of 100, you'd still be unsurprised to find 1 person has randomly died of some cause. So if you take say, the 30 presumed people who have complained about Boeing over the last 3 years and tracked them as a quorum...
[1] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/mortality-dashboard.htm
[1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.AMRT.MA?end=2022...
[2] https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/health-nutri...