There was a time when HN would recognise technological acheievement on its own merit, without allowing personal politics to cloud our judgement.
But sadly, we're in a perverse era of political tribalism where FSD is bad because https://elonbad.com/
It will get better but definitely does not live up to the “full self driving” marketing hype. That kills the magic.
Meanwhile look at Waymo. They don’t make a lot of noise. They take safety really seriously and keep on improving actual “self driving cars” city by city. Zero people dead.
I’ve sat in both. FSD was a great demo, but Waymo truly felt like magic. No driver at all!
While sad, mile for mile FSD is better than humans.
For this statement to be correct, we’d need to have full disclosure of all travel using FSD at any point, accidents which happened anytime FSD was active or had been recently deactivated (for example, that guy who fell asleep counts even if FSD deactivated a minute before the vehicle crashed), and be able to compare that to the same trips driven by human drivers. You especially need to avoid including incidents in the human stats which are in conditions where FSD would do even worse.
It has a very long way to go before it is better than a human. We won’t know the true stats until it is allowed to operate without supervision.
FSD will be "close to magic" when it's 11pm on a Pittsburgh night in January, with the snow coming down, road markings barely visible, if at all, and it still gets you home.
If FSD didn't work in those conditions, and this encouraged you to wait it out, then it might have just saved your life (or the lives of other road users).
It's a sad state of affairs - though I imagine its mostly cross-over of younger generations blending in their polarizing reddit politics over here. It is a dilutive process unfortunately.