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At the risk of this comment aging poorly, I am not convinced there is a magic GPT-5 around the corner, waiting to wallop anybody. I have a suspicion that we’re into diminishing returns with model scaling. All of the recent flagship releases (Gemini Ultra, Claude Opus, GPT-4 updates) have only advanced the frontier a little. Could OpenAI train something another 1-2 orders of magnitude bigger? Perhaps, but then it wouldn’t be economical to deploy it.

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Sora is a thing. It literally walloped everything else in the field to the point the second closest video generation model looked like a broken nonfunctional mess compared to it.

GPT5 might not be the thing we are all assuming it would be. It might not just be a chatbot but an actual AI that can "see" and "talk". By that point, I don't care if performance wise it isn't a big improvement over GPT4 (though it should as we know these models improve significantly when trained with another modal of data, e.g. text+image was much better than text only)

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