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I wonder if the US has the appetite for an all-out war with Iran. Could jeopardize 1/3rd of the world's oil production and drive the price of everything to levels never seen before. Furthermore, it would mean fighting on multiple fronts, Israel, Ukraine, and possibly Taiwan. Seeing as the US is struggling to provide enough ammunition for Ukraine, it's hard to see how there'd be enough for multiple full-scale wars.

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Nothing has happened after North Korea got a nuke, nothing will happen when Iran will get a nuke. Both powers knows very well that with a nuke, invasion by a superpower is unlikely. Without a nuke invasion by a superpower can actually happen - see Ukraine.

It had the appetite but not the pretext under the foolish warmongers GWB and Cheney. The US was rehearsing for exactly this with a high tempo of operations including naval air sorties in the area during their administration. Unfortunately, their other "mission accomplished" wars didn't go so well.

Now, the US doesn't have them anymore and so this is extremely unlikely because Biden has zero interest in military adventurism.

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